Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Equity Bottom-Up

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite short-term demand headwinds, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a> remains well-positioned for structural growth via product premiumization(e.g.,CTF Rouge,Palace Museum), omni-channel scaling, and selective global expansion in culturally aligned markets.</li>
<li>Company continues to defend margins through product mix optimization (fixed-price gold up to 25.6% of gold RSV),disciplined SG&amp;A control, and aggressive retail network rationalization.</li>
<li>Trading at ~26xx TTM P/E, it commands premium to peers, backed by industry-leading ROE (~25%),brand strength,and high dividend payout (~79%), though clear earnings rebound remains key to justify the multiple.</li>
</ul>


Despite short-term demand headwinds, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK) remains well-positioned for structural growth via product premiumization(e.g.,CTF Rouge,Palace Museum), omni-channel scaling, and selective global expansion in culturally aligned markets.
Company continues to defend margins through product mix optimization (fixed-price gold up to 25.6% of gold RSV),disciplined SG&amp;A control, and aggressive retail network rationalization.
Trading at ~26xx TTM P/E, it commands premium to peers, backed by industry-leading ROE (~25%),brand strength,and high dividend payout (~79%), though clear earnings rebound remains key to justify the multiple.


Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK) – H2FY25 Outlook, Cost Management & Pricing Optimization to Drive Growth.

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The performance slowdown and decrease in number of newly opened stores from 2023 to 2024 was due to the rapid surge in gold prices,which would put franchise model at risk.</li>
<li>Future performance of Zhou Liu Fu may not be benefit from the high gold prices, but could be under pressure due to rising raw material costs and reduced customer demand.</li>
<li>Valuation of Zhou Liu Fu could be lower than peers and the industry average. A comfortable P/E range could be 10-15x if based on 2025 net profit.</li>
</ul>


The performance slowdown and decrease in number of newly opened stores from 2023 to 2024 was due to the rapid surge in gold prices,which would put franchise model at risk.
Future performance of Zhou Liu Fu may not be benefit from the high gold prices, but could be under pressure due to rising raw material costs and reduced customer demand.
Valuation of Zhou Liu Fu could be lower than peers and the industry average. A comfortable P/E range could be 10-15x if based on 2025 net profit.


Pre-IPO Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Nicholas Tan

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhou-liu-fu-jewellery-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43706:1" rel="noopener">Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery Co., Ltd. (1716396D CH)</a> is looking to raise $US200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>It is a leading and fast growing jewellery franchise in China offering a diverse range of products through offline and online sales channels.</li>
<li>In this note, we provide updates on the firm’s past performance.</li>
</ul>



Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery Co., Ltd. (1716396D CH) is looking to raise $US200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. 
It is a leading and fast growing jewellery franchise in China offering a diverse range of products through offline and online sales channels.
In this note, we provide updates on the firm’s past performance.


Zhou Liu Fu Pre-IPO: Business Is Deteriorating Despite Rosy Gold Prices

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food / Equity Capital Markets

Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food (3288 HK)

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong's IPO market has gathered momentum lately, especially with the overwhelming response to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-catl-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">CATL (3750 HK)</a>. Consumer IPOs are the next ones to gather interest. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/foshan-haitian-flavouring-food-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44279:1" rel="noopener">Foshan Haitian Flavouring &amp; Food Co (FHF HK)</a> is the most imminent one, potentially seeking up to US$1bn. Without significant peers in Hong Kong, it should attract good attention.</li>
<li>The other interesting ones include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhou-liu-fu-jewellery-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43706:1" rel="noopener">Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery Co., Ltd. (1716396D CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/three-squirrels" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45113:1" rel="noopener">Three Squirrels (TRS HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eastroc-beverage-group-co-ltd-f3283290-a611-4cb4-8857-93101786e283" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45048:1" rel="noopener">Eastroc Beverage Group (EBG HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Hong Kong's IPO market has gathered momentum lately, especially with the overwhelming response to CATL (3750 HK). Consumer IPOs are the next ones to gather interest. 

Foshan Haitian Flavouring &amp; Food Co (FHF HK) is the most imminent one, potentially seeking up to US$1bn. Without significant peers in Hong Kong, it should attract good attention.
The other interesting ones include Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery Co., Ltd. (1716396D CH), Three Squirrels (TRS HK), and Eastroc Beverage Group (EBG HK). 


HK Strategy: Some Consumer IPO Pipelines and Their Proxies

<ul>
<li>Zhou Liu Fu's fundamentals would not significantly improve due to the surge in gold prices, but would deteriorate instead due to rising raw material costs and reduced customer demand.</li>
<li>The franchise model and declining profit margins have always been the issues. Zhou Liu Fu also has faced dual competition from traditional jewelry companies and emerging jewelry brands.</li>
<li>We are not optimistic about Zhou Liu Fu’s performance outlook. Valuation of Zhou Liu Fu could be lower than peers and the industry average.</li>
</ul>


Zhou Liu Fu's fundamentals would not significantly improve due to the surge in gold prices, but would deteriorate instead due to rising raw material costs and reduced customer demand.
The franchise model and declining profit margins have always been the issues. Zhou Liu Fu also has faced dual competition from traditional jewelry companies and emerging jewelry brands.
We are not optimistic about Zhou Liu Fu’s performance outlook. Valuation of Zhou Liu Fu could be lower than peers and the industry average.


Pre-IPO Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery - It Is Hard to Capitalise on the Soaring Gold Price

China

Laopu Gold is a leading Chinese designer, manufacturer, and retailer of heritage gold jewelry, offering products with Chinese culture-inspired designs and craftsmanship. The company sells pure gold, gem-set, and non-gold jewelry through both offline retail stores and online platforms, and provides maintenance and repair services. Founded in 2009, its headquarters are located in Beijing, China.

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Laopu Gold (6181 HK)

Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK) – H2FY25 Outlook, Cost Management & Pricing Optimization to Drive Growth.

Chow Tai fook will report its H1FY26 results on 12 June 2025. We look forward to following metrics - a) Ongoing product and pricing optimisation,...

Sreemant Dudhoria

Pre-IPO Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Rapid surge in gold prices poses risk to Zhou Liu Fu's franchise model. The future performance may suffer from rising raw material costs and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Zhou Liu Fu Pre-IPO: Business Is Deteriorating Despite Rosy Gold Prices

Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery is looking to raise $US200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we provide updates on the firm’s past performance.

Nicholas Tan

HK Strategy: Some Consumer IPO Pipelines and Their Proxies

HK's IPO market gains momentum with CATL leading the way. Consumer IPOs like Foshan Haitian are next in line, attracting attention. Others include...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Pre-IPO Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery - It Is Hard to Capitalise on the Soaring Gold Price

Zhou Liu Fu's fundamentals could deteriorate despite a surge in gold prices due to rising costs and reduced demand. Competition/declining profit...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK) – H2FY25 Outlook, Cost Management & Pricing Optimization to Drive Growth.

Chow Tai fook will report its H1FY26 results on 12 June 2025. We look forward to following metrics - a) Ongoing product and pricing optimisation,...

Sreemant Dudhoria

Pre-IPO Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

​Rapid surge in gold prices poses risk to Zhou Liu Fu's franchise model. The future performance may suffer from rising raw material costs and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Zhou Liu Fu Pre-IPO: Business Is Deteriorating Despite Rosy Gold Prices

Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery is looking to raise $US200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we provide updates on the firm’s past performance.

Nicholas Tan

HK Strategy: Some Consumer IPO Pipelines and Their Proxies

HK's IPO market gains momentum with CATL leading the way. Consumer IPOs like Foshan Haitian are next in line, attracting attention. Others include...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Pre-IPO Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery - It Is Hard to Capitalise on the Soaring Gold Price

​Zhou Liu Fu's fundamentals could deteriorate despite a surge in gold prices due to rising costs and reduced demand. Competition/declining profit...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Rapid surge in gold prices poses risk to Zhou Liu Fu's franchise model. The future performance may suffer from rising raw material costs and...

Zhou Liu Fu's fundamentals could deteriorate despite a surge in gold prices due to rising costs and reduced demand. Competition/declining profit...