External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The big news is that not much has changed in the past few months</li><li>Most of the demand indicators are trailing 10-15% below levels at the beginning of the year and only slightly better than the July lows, the supply-side factors remain favourable, supporting operational resilience despite soft growth</li><li>In Q2FY24, the IT sector is expected to deliver a soft quarter, although Q2 has historically been a seasonally strong quarter.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The big news is that not much has changed in the past few monthsMost of the demand indicators are trailing 10-15% below levels at the beginning of the year and only slightly better than the July lows, the supply-side factors remain favourable, supporting operational resilience despite soft growthIn Q2FY24, the IT sector is expected to deliver a soft quarter, although Q2 has historically been a seasonally strong quarter.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish global equities if the major $93 support level on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) continues to hold (1+ year base support and the 10.5-month uptrend)</li>
<li>The 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35% resistance (a positive), but the DXY is climbing above $103.70-$104.70 resistance, and $105.70 is the last line of defense (9-month resistance).</li>
<li>Japan and India remain top overweights, with many of today's buy recommendations from these countries (Real Estate, Energy, Tech/Services, Discretionary). Also downgrading Taiwan and Greece to market weight.</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish global equities if the major $93 support level on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) continues to hold (1+ year base support and the 10.5-month uptrend)
The 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35% resistance (a positive), but the DXY is climbing above $103.70-$104.70 resistance, and $105.70 is the last line of defense (9-month resistance).
Japan and India remain top overweights, with many of today's buy recommendations from these countries (Real Estate, Energy, Tech/Services, Discretionary). Also downgrading Taiwan and Greece to market weight.


Remain Overweight Japan and India; Key Supports Holding; Buys in Energy, Tech/Services (India)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Using the current index methodology throws up 5 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in September. Turnover will be BIG.</li>
<li>Using the proposed index methodology throws up 11 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in September. Turnover will be HUGE.</li>
<li>The market consultation being put on hold could indicate pushback from index users or the possibility of F&amp;O contracts being introduced on some of the non-F&amp;O index constituents.</li>
</ul>


Using the current index methodology throws up 5 changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in September. Turnover will be BIG.
Using the proposed index methodology throws up 11 changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in September. Turnover will be HUGE.
The market consultation being put on hold could indicate pushback from index users or the possibility of F&amp;O contracts being introduced on some of the non-F&amp;O index constituents.


NIFTY/NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Loads of Changes if Proposed Methodology Is Implemented

<ul><li>LTIMindtree: LTIMindtree (LTIM) reported largely in-line performance in Q1FY24</li><li>With flat sequential revenue performance in Q1, the ask rate is substantial (&gt;4% CQGR) for LTIM to achieve its ‘aspirational’ double-digit growth for FY24E</li><li>We believe that LTIM will continue to grow at a considerable growth premium to tier-1 IT and the company will take market share from tier-1 IT (5% of India tier-1 IT but ~9% share of incremental growth)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

LTIMindtree: LTIMindtree (LTIM) reported largely in-line performance in Q1FY24With flat sequential revenue performance in Q1, the ask rate is substantial (&gt;4% CQGR) for LTIM to achieve its ‘aspirational’ double-digit growth for FY24EWe believe that LTIM will continue to grow at a considerable growth premium to tier-1 IT and the company will take market share from tier-1 IT (5% of India tier-1 IT but ~9% share of incremental growth)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily -  LTIMindtree, Tata Elxsi, Karur Vysya Bank

HSIE Results Daily - LTIMindtree, Tata Elxsi, Karur Vysya Bank

India

LTIMindtree Limited provides information technology services and solutions. The Company offers analytics and information management, enterprise integration, applications management, cloud computing, testing, and consulting services, as well as geographical information and manufacturing execution systems. LTIMindtree serves customers worldwide.

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LTIMindtree (LTIM IN)

IT Sector - Soft Q2, Status Quo Remains

Most of the demand indicators are trailing 10-15% below levels at the beginning of the year and only slightly better than the July lows

HDFC Securities

Remain Overweight Japan and India; Key Supports Holding; Buys in Energy, Tech/Services (India)

We remain bullish on global equities as long as major $93 support on $ACWI continues to hold (1+ year base support and the 10.5-month uptrend)....

Vermilion Research

NIFTY/NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Loads of Changes if Proposed Methodology Is Implemented

There could be 5 changes with the current methodology or 11 with the proposed methodology. Turnover will be big in both cases. There is a lot of...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily - LTIMindtree, Tata Elxsi, Karur Vysya Bank

LTIMindtree (LTIM) reported largely in-line performance in Q1FY24. With flat sequential revenue performance in Q1 the ask rate is substantial (>4%...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily - LTIMindtree, Tata Elxsi, Karur Vysya Bank

With flat sequential revenue performance in Q1, the ask rate is substantial (>4% CQGR) for LTIM to achieve its ‘aspirational’ double-digit growth...

HDFC Securities

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