External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Budget a big signalling event, though we expect investment continuity: In the interim FY25 union budget, allocation towards capex saw an increase of 7% YoY, with Roads, Railways, Defence and Water as key beneficiaries</li><li>As the final FY25 union budget gets tabled in Jul-24, we expect continued investment in these segments</li><li>Whilst questions have emerged on cut in capex with the expectation of some allocation moving towards social infra, we believe that allocation may remain similar or marginally increase to high single-digit YoY growth</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Budget a big signalling event, though we expect investment continuity: In the interim FY25 union budget, allocation towards capex saw an increase of 7% YoY, with Roads, Railways, Defence and Water as key beneficiariesAs the final FY25 union budget gets tabled in Jul-24, we expect continued investment in these segmentsWhilst questions have emerged on cut in capex with the expectation of some allocation moving towards social infra, we believe that allocation may remain similar or marginally increase to high single-digit YoY growthContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Industrials (Q1FY25 Results Preview): All eyes on the budget

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>In Real-time market (RTM) Power volumes surged by 20% in June, reflecting the need for immediate power delivery during sudden high-demand periods.</li>
<li>Indian Govt has extended the blending period of imported coal to Jun-24 to meet the rising demand. </li>
<li>Rising Power demand will create a lot more opportunity across value chain including transformers, cables, smart meters etc.</li>
</ul>


In Real-time market (RTM) Power volumes surged by 20% in June, reflecting the need for immediate power delivery during sudden high-demand periods.
Indian Govt has extended the blending period of imported coal to Jun-24 to meet the rising demand. 
Rising Power demand will create a lot more opportunity across value chain including transformers, cables, smart meters etc.


Thematic Report- Indian Power at Peak: Value Chain Stocks

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

<ul>
<li>Gautam Adani to Launch Shipbuilding at Mundra Port Amid Global Demand Surge</li>
<li>Hyundai Faces Pressure from Tata and Mahindra Ahead of $3.5 Billion India IPO</li>
<li>Xiaomi plans to double shipments in India, targeting 700 million devices within a decade</li>
</ul>


Gautam Adani to Launch Shipbuilding at Mundra Port Amid Global Demand Surge
Hyundai Faces Pressure from Tata and Mahindra Ahead of $3.5 Billion India IPO
Xiaomi plans to double shipments in India, targeting 700 million devices within a decade


#27 India Insight: Adani to Launch Shipbuilding, Xiaomi Plans to Double Shipment, Hyundai IPO

<ul>
<li>Government Hikes Windfall Tax on Crude Oil to Rs.6,000 per Tonne from Rs.3,250</li>
<li>Larsen &amp; Turbo Secures Significant Offshore Order worth Rs. 2,500 crores from ONGC</li>
<li>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra Total volume Rise 11% YoY to 69,397 Units in June 2024</li>
</ul>


Government Hikes Windfall Tax on Crude Oil to Rs.6,000 per Tonne from Rs.3,250
Larsen &amp; Turbo Secures Significant Offshore Order worth Rs. 2,500 crores from ONGC
Mahindra &amp; Mahindra Total volume Rise 11% YoY to 69,397 Units in June 2024


#22 India Insight: Increase in Windfall Tax on Crude Oil, L&T Offshore Order, M&M Volume Rise

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The average Indian allocation among active GEM funds broke through the 15% barrier at the start of 2024, despite an increasing underweight versus the benchmark index.</li>
<li>Valuation-Driven Underweight: The average weight versus the iShares MSCI EM ETF hit record underweights of -2.44%, with only 27.6% of funds positioned overweight. EM Value funds hit record -8.7% underweight.</li>
<li>HDFC Bank is the most widely held stock, owned by 60.5% of funds, while a majority of Indian names, such as Reliance Industries, are underweighted by active GEM funds.</li>
</ul>


The average Indian allocation among active GEM funds broke through the 15% barrier at the start of 2024, despite an increasing underweight versus the benchmark index.
Valuation-Driven Underweight: The average weight versus the iShares MSCI EM ETF hit record underweights of -2.44%, with only 27.6% of funds positioned overweight. EM Value funds hit record -8.7% underweight.
HDFC Bank is the most widely held stock, owned by 60.5% of funds, while a majority of Indian names, such as Reliance Industries, are underweighted by active GEM funds.


India:  Record Exposure Gives Rise to Caution

India

Larsen & Toubro Limited (L&T) is an Indian multinational conglomerate specializing in engineering, procurement, construction (EPC), hi-tech manufacturing, and services. The company operates across diverse segments including infrastructure, hydrocarbon, power, heavy engineering, defense engineering, IT and technology services, financial services, and development projects. L&T was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

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Larsen & Toubro (LTOD LI)

Industrials (Q1FY25 Results Preview): All eyes on the budget

In the interim FY25 union budget, allocation towards capex saw an increase of 7% YoY, with Roads, Railways, Defence and Water as key beneficiaries

HDFC Securities

Thematic Report- Indian Power at Peak: Value Chain Stocks

Real-time market power volumes surged by 20% in June, highlighting the need for immediate power delivery. This is creating opportunities across...

Nimish Maheshwari

#27 India Insight: Adani to Launch Shipbuilding, Xiaomi Plans to Double Shipment, Hyundai IPO

Adani expands into shipbuilding, Hyundai faces competition in India IPO, Xiaomi aims to double device shipments in India.

Sudarshan Bhandari

#22 India Insight: Increase in Windfall Tax on Crude Oil, L&T Offshore Order, M&M Volume Rise

Government increases windfall tax on crude oil, Larsen & Turbo wins Rs. 2,500 crore offshore order from ONGC, Mahindra & Mahindra sees 11% YoY...

Sudarshan Bhandari

India: Record Exposure Gives Rise to Caution

Despite record MSCI India highs, valuations keep India as a significant underweight for active EM managers. Underweights client to -2.44% versus...

Steven Holden

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Industrials (Q1FY25 Results Preview): All eyes on the budget

In the interim FY25 union budget, allocation towards capex saw an increase of 7% YoY, with Roads, Railways, Defence and Water as key beneficiaries

HDFC Securities

Thematic Report- Indian Power at Peak: Value Chain Stocks

​Real-time market power volumes surged by 20% in June, highlighting the need for immediate power delivery. This is creating opportunities across...

Nimish Maheshwari

#27 India Insight: Adani to Launch Shipbuilding, Xiaomi Plans to Double Shipment, Hyundai IPO

​Adani expands into shipbuilding, Hyundai faces competition in India IPO, Xiaomi aims to double device shipments in India.

Sudarshan Bhandari

#22 India Insight: Increase in Windfall Tax on Crude Oil, L&T Offshore Order, M&M Volume Rise

​Government increases windfall tax on crude oil, Larsen & Turbo wins Rs. 2,500 crore offshore order from ONGC, Mahindra & Mahindra sees 11% YoY...

Sudarshan Bhandari

India: Record Exposure Gives Rise to Caution

Despite record MSCI India highs, valuations keep India as a significant underweight for active EM managers. Underweights client to -2.44% versus...

Steven Holden

Real-time market power volumes surged by 20% in June, highlighting the need for immediate power delivery. This is creating opportunities across...

Adani expands into shipbuilding, Hyundai faces competition in India IPO, Xiaomi aims to double device shipments in India.

Government increases windfall tax on crude oil, Larsen & Turbo wins Rs. 2,500 crore offshore order from ONGC, Mahindra & Mahindra sees 11% YoY...