HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akeso-biopharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28830:1" rel="noopener">Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK)</a> and Summit Therapeutics entered into a collaborative and licensing agreement for AK112, which has set a new record for China's innovative drug license-out cooperation. </li>
<li>While the market remained positive about the transaction, there are also doubts. We deep dive the potential logic of the deal. </li>
<li>We recommended investors not to neglect “the nature of the deal” and “the real motivation” behind. It’s also important to see whether the subsequent operations can make some achievements overseas.</li>
</ul>



Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK) and Summit Therapeutics entered into a collaborative and licensing agreement for AK112, which has set a new record for China's innovative drug license-out cooperation. 
While the market remained positive about the transaction, there are also doubts. We deep dive the potential logic of the deal. 
We recommended investors not to neglect “the nature of the deal” and “the real motivation” behind. It’s also important to see whether the subsequent operations can make some achievements overseas.


Akeso Biopharma (9926.HK) - Behind the Deal with Summit: A Snake Swallows an Elephant?

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>It is estimated that a large number of biotech companies will be liquidated or willing to be acquired at low prices starting from the second half of 2023.</li>
<li>If strictly speaking, the so-called import substitution is not really good logic, but investors need to know "when to participate in this story" and "when to exit".</li>
<li>Economic downturn would lead to consumption downgrade. We suggest that investors temporarily avoid medical companies with consumption attributes, since we have concerns on their performance.</li>
</ul>


It is estimated that a large number of biotech companies will be liquidated or willing to be acquired at low prices starting from the second half of 2023.
If strictly speaking, the so-called import substitution is not really good logic, but investors need to know "when to participate in this story" and "when to exit".
Economic downturn would lead to consumption downgrade. We suggest that investors temporarily avoid medical companies with consumption attributes, since we have concerns on their performance.


China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.7)- Biotech Accept Reality, Import Substitution Logic, Consumer Medical

<ul>
<li>Genscript’s four business segments are the horizontal and vertical extension based on gene synthesis technology. There is also synergy between Genscript and its subsidiaries, which can promote each other's development.</li>
<li>If only from the business level, GenScript is a worthy target for investment. It has the exponential growth potential in valuation and could reach a new high in the future.</li>
<li>However, our biggest worry lies in the “black swans events” . We don't know what “new surprises” GenScript will bring us in the future. </li>
</ul>


Genscript’s four business segments are the horizontal and vertical extension based on gene synthesis technology. There is also synergy between Genscript and its subsidiaries, which can promote each other's development.
If only from the business level, GenScript is a worthy target for investment. It has the exponential growth potential in valuation and could reach a new high in the future.
However, our biggest worry lies in the “black swans events” . We don't know what “new surprises” GenScript will bring us in the future. 


Genscript Biotech (1548.HK) 22H1 - The Outlook and the Risks Behind

<ul>
<li>The Development and Reform Commission of Shenzhen Municipality issued a document about the subsidy for VBP, which is a positive policy and is good for innovation.</li>
<li>The approval of Genuine Biotech’s Azvudine could greatly increase the unpredictability of the approval of domestic innovative drugs, thus greatly increasing the unpredictable risk of domestic innovative drug enterprises.</li>
<li>In terms of internationalization, we summarized what Chinese pharmaceutical companies could do at the current stage. But they are hard to become the mainstream in pharmaceuticals globally in short term.</li>
</ul>


The Development and Reform Commission of Shenzhen Municipality issued a document about the subsidy for VBP, which is a positive policy and is good for innovation.
The approval of Genuine Biotech’s Azvudine could greatly increase the unpredictability of the approval of domestic innovative drugs, thus greatly increasing the unpredictable risk of domestic innovative drug enterprises.
In terms of internationalization, we summarized what Chinese pharmaceutical companies could do at the current stage. But they are hard to become the mainstream in pharmaceuticals globally in short term.


China Healthcare Weekly (July.29)-Subsidy for VBP, Unpredictable NMPA, Ways for Internationalization

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Country Garden Holdings Co / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>There were no major IPO launches during the week. Soosan will list early next week.</li>
<li>There were a number of placements/blocks across the region, including GDR launches for Swiss listing.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
There were no major IPO launches during the week. Soosan will list early next week.
There were a number of placements/blocks across the region, including GDR launches for Swiss listing.


ECM Weekly (31st Jul 2022) - Soosan, WCP, GDRs, Yancoal, Country Garden, Legend Biotech, MEP, PSMC

China

Legend Biotech Corporation operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company engages in discovery and development of novel cell therapies for oncology and other indications. Legend Biotech serves customers in the State of New Jersey.

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Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US)

Akeso Biopharma (9926.HK) - Behind the Deal with Summit: A Snake Swallows an Elephant?

The deal between Akeso and Summit set a new record of China license-out. We deep dive the logic of the deal. Investors are advised not to neglect...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.7)- Biotech Accept Reality, Import Substitution Logic, Consumer Medical

Although unwilling, biotech will face the harshest truth in 2023; Import substitution isn't good logic. Investors should know "when to join" &...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Genscript Biotech (1548.HK) 22H1 - The Outlook and the Risks Behind

If seen from the business level, GenScript has investment value,with high growth potential in valuation. The biggest worry is "black swan event"....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (July.29)-Subsidy for VBP, Unpredictable NMPA, Ways for Internationalization

The policy about subsidy for VBP is a positive sign for innovation. NMPA is unpredictable, increasing the uncertainty of drug approval. Here's what...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

ECM Weekly (31st Jul 2022) - Soosan, WCP, GDRs, Yancoal, Country Garden, Legend Biotech, MEP, PSMC

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)