Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<p>SK Bio, as well expected, began the day with a 100% gain to the offering price and ended at a daily ceiling (+30%), making the total daily gain 160% from the offering price</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="200">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Market debut (March 18)"}'>Market debut (March 18)</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Close"}'>Close</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":169000}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0","3":1}'>₩169,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - % to opening"}'>- % to the opening price</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R[-1]C[0]-R[0]C[1])/R[0]C[1]">30.00%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - % to IPO price"}'>- % to the IPO price</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.6}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=(R[-2]C[0]-R[0]C[1])/R[0]C[1]">160.00%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX"}'>Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>Again unsurprisingly, it was all about local retail trading.</p><p>Local retail ended with a 176,243 net buy position and accounted for 77% of all trades.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Trade by investor type"}'>Trade by investor type</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Retail"}'>Retail</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Inst."}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}'>Inst.</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Foreign"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}'>Foreign</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Sell"}'>Sell</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":576646}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}'>576,646</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":102294}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}'>102,294</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":178783}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}'>178,783</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Buy"}'>Buy</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":752889}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}'>752,889</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":20300}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}'>20,300</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":100850}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}'>100,850</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Net"}'>Net</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":176243}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]-R[-2]C[0]">176,243</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-81994}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]-R[-2]C[0]">-81,994</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-77933}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]-R[-2]C[0]">-77,933</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="4" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX"}'>Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><div>
<p>Now, KOSPI 200 fast entry?</p>
<p>It now seems a done deal.</p>
<p>The current MC sits at ₩12.9T, the 29th place right behind Amorepacific.</p>
<p>It has to stay within the top 50 ordinary shares on KOSPI for the first 15 trading days.</p>
<p>Given the lockup release schedule, retail-driven trading will likely continue at least for the first 15 trading days, <strong>suggesting a less likelihood of price correction during the fast entry review period</strong>.</p>
<div><div><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 215px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Float schedule"}'>Float schedule</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 220px;"><p>Float shares</p></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 193px;">% of SO</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 215px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Immediate"}'>Immediate</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 220px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":8897510}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-7]C[0]+R[-6]C[0]+R[-5]C[0]">8,897,510</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 193px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.1163073202614379}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R28C2">11.63%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 215px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"15 days"}'>15 days</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 220px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":9261890}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]+R[-9]C[0]">9,261,890</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 193px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.12107045751633987}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R28C2">12.11%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 215px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1 month"}'>1 month</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 220px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":12592890}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]+R[-12]C[0]">12,592,890</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 193px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.1646129411764706}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R28C2">16.46%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 215px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"3 months"}'>3 months</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 220px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":15923890}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]+R[-13]C[0]">15,923,890</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 193px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.2081554248366013}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R28C2">20.82%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 215px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"6 months"}'>6 months</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 220px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":72221990}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]+R[-15]C[0]+R[-18]C[0]">72,221,990</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 193px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.9440783006535948}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R28C2">94.41%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 215px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1 year"}'>1 year</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 220px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":76712390}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]+R[-18]C[0]">76,712,390</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 193px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.002776339869281}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[0]C[-1]/R28C2">100.28%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" style="width: 628px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table></div></div>
</div>

SK Bio, as well expected, began the day with a 100% gain to the offering price and ended at a daily ceiling (+30%), making the total daily gain 160% from the offering price





Market debut (March 18)

Close
₩169,000


- % to the opening price
30.00%


- % to the IPO price
160.00%

Source: KRX

Again unsurprisingly, it was all about local retail trading.Local retail ended with a 176,243 net buy position and accounted for 77% of all trades.








Trade by investor type
Retail
Inst.
Foreign


Sell
576,646
102,294
178,783


Buy
752,889
20,300
100,850


Net
176,243
-81,994
-77,933

Source: KRX


Now, KOSPI 200 fast entry?
It now seems a done deal.
The current MC sits at ₩12.9T, the 29th place right behind Amorepacific.
It has to stay within the top 50 ordinary shares on KOSPI for the first 15 trading days.
Given the lockup release schedule, retail-driven trading will likely continue at least for the first 15 trading days, suggesting a less likelihood of price correction during the fast entry review period.








Float schedule
Float shares
% of SO


Immediate
8,897,510
11.63%


15 days
9,261,890
12.11%


1 month
12,592,890
16.46%


3 months
15,923,890
20.82%


6 months
72,221,990
94.41%


1 year
76,712,390
100.28%

Source: DART




SK Bioscience to KOSPI 200 Is a Done Deal & A Likely Deletion

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<p>In this insight, we highlight 26 Korean companies that are/may be seeking to find new owners through M&amp;As in 2021. Key sectors of M&amp;A in Korea in 2021 include consumer and industrial. We also provide a review of our M&amp;A research in 2020. We wrote 29 reports about the M&amp;As in 2020. The M&amp;A market in Korea is estimated to be about 35 trillion won in 2020, down 8% YoY. The local media have mentioned that the M&amp;A market in Korea could be nearly <a href="https://finance.naver.com/news/news_read.nhn?article_id=0004711778&amp;office_id=009&amp;mode=LSS2D&amp;type=0&amp;section_id=101&amp;section_id2=258&amp;section_id3=&amp;date=20201207&amp;page=3" target="_blank" rel="noopener">45 trillion won</a> in 2021, up 29% YoY, which would surpass the all-time high of 38 trillion won in 2019.  </p>

In this insight, we highlight 26 Korean companies that are/may be seeking to find new owners through M&amp;As in 2021. Key sectors of M&amp;A in Korea in 2021 include consumer and industrial. We also provide a review of our M&amp;A research in 2020. We wrote 29 reports about the M&amp;As in 2020. The M&amp;A market in Korea is estimated to be about 35 trillion won in 2020, down 8% YoY. The local media have mentioned that the M&amp;A market in Korea could be nearly 45 trillion won in 2021, up 29% YoY, which would surpass the all-time high of 38 trillion won in 2019.  

Review of Our M&A Research in 2020 & Korea M&A Market Outlook in 2021: What’s For Sale?

<p><span data-hook="tip" data-type="arken" data-lang="en">On 26 November, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6653:1" rel="noopener">LG Corp (003550 KS)</a> officially announced the formation of another Holdco (tentatively named 'LG NewCo') and the split of 4 companies (out of 13 affiliates) from LG Corp including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-international-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3281:1" rel="noopener">LG International (001120 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-hausys-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11613:1" rel="noopener">LG Hausys Ltd (108670 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silicon-works-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20670:1" rel="noopener">Silicon Works (108320 KS)</a>, and LG MMA. In addition, Pantos will become an affiliate of LG International. The LG NewCo will be operated separately from LG Corp and the former company will have its own separate BOD and senior professional managers who will oversee the company. </span>The new BOD will be headed up by Koo Bon Joon, the uncle of the current LG Chairman Koo Kwang Mo. </p><p>Overall, we believe this creation of the LG NewCo will have a positive impact on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6653:1" rel="noopener">LG Corp (003550 KS)</a>. However, the overall impact is likely to be much bigger for LG NewCo than LG Corp. Therefore, once the two stocks start to trade again on May 27th, 2021, there is a good chance that LG NewCo stock price rises higher than LG Corp.</p><p>In this insight, we have also provided an updated SoTP valuation of LG Corp and a SoTP valuation of LG NewCo.</p>

On 26 November, LG Corp (003550 KS) officially announced the formation of another Holdco (tentatively named 'LG NewCo') and the split of 4 companies (out of 13 affiliates) from LG Corp including LG International (001120 KS), LG Hausys Ltd (108670 KS), Silicon Works (108320 KS), and LG MMA. In addition, Pantos will become an affiliate of LG International. The LG NewCo will be operated separately from LG Corp and the former company will have its own separate BOD and senior professional managers who will oversee the company. The new BOD will be headed up by Koo Bon Joon, the uncle of the current LG Chairman Koo Kwang Mo. Overall, we believe this creation of the LG NewCo will have a positive impact on LG Corp (003550 KS). However, the overall impact is likely to be much bigger for LG NewCo than LG Corp. Therefore, once the two stocks start to trade again on May 27th, 2021, there is a good chance that LG NewCo stock price rises higher than LG Corp.In this insight, we have also provided an updated SoTP valuation of LG Corp and a SoTP valuation of LG NewCo.

LG Group Announces the Formation of LG NewCo & Split of 4 Companies from LG Corp

Equity Bottom-Up

<div class="content-highlight">
<p><strong>In this insight, we provide an updated SoTP valuation analysis on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6653:1" rel="noopener">LG Corp (003550 KS)</a>. We have a positive view of this stock. Our base case valuation analysis suggests an implied price of 120,787 won per share, representing a 60% upside from current levels.</strong></p>
</div>
<p>In addition to its deep discount versus its NAV, there are also 4 key catalysts for the company which are as follows:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Potential for higher dividends</strong></li>
<li><strong>IPO of LG Energy Solutions</strong></li>
<li>
<strong>Split of LG International and LG Hausys </strong><strong>from the LG Group </strong>
</li>
<li><strong> Time to Close to the Gaps With Major Affiliates </strong></li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide an updated SoTP valuation analysis on LG Corp (003550 KS). We have a positive view of this stock. Our base case valuation analysis suggests an implied price of 120,787 won per share, representing a 60% upside from current levels.

In addition to its deep discount versus its NAV, there are also 4 key catalysts for the company which are as follows:

Potential for higher dividends
IPO of LG Energy Solutions

Split of LG International and LG Hausys from the LG Group 

 Time to Close to the Gaps With Major Affiliates 


<p>It was announced this morning that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-international-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3281:1" rel="noopener">LG International (001120 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-hausys-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11613:1" rel="noopener">LG Hausys Ltd (108670 KS)</a> will split from the LG Group. Following this announcement, LG International and LG Hausys shares are up 2.9% and 5.4%, respectively. Koo Bon-Joon, the second eldest member of the Koo brother of the LG Group, is leading this split. Koo Bon-Joon has a 7.7% stake in LG Corp (003550 KS), which is currently worth 992 billion won. </p><p>Both LG International and LG Hausys' share price are rising because many investors believe that once they are split from the LG Group, they believe that the new owner Koo Bon-Joon could revitalize these companies and that this M&amp;A event is a key signal that Koo Bon-Joon is trying to complete this deal when these two companies are highly undervalued. </p>

It was announced this morning that LG International (001120 KS) and LG Hausys Ltd (108670 KS) will split from the LG Group. Following this announcement, LG International and LG Hausys shares are up 2.9% and 5.4%, respectively. Koo Bon-Joon, the second eldest member of the Koo brother of the LG Group, is leading this split. Koo Bon-Joon has a 7.7% stake in LG Corp (003550 KS), which is currently worth 992 billion won. Both LG International and LG Hausys' share price are rising because many investors believe that once they are split from the LG Group, they believe that the new owner Koo Bon-Joon could revitalize these companies and that this M&amp;A event is a key signal that Koo Bon-Joon is trying to complete this deal when these two companies are highly undervalued. 

LG International & LG Hausys To Split from the LG Group

South Korea

LX Hausys, Ltd. manufactures various building materials such as wallcoverings, windows, floor coverings, and acrylic solid surfaces. The Company also produces finishing materials like high-gloss sheets used in home appliances and injection -molded parts & interior coverstocks for auto industry. LX Hausys markets its products worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

LX Hausys Ltd (108670 KS)

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This post has the latest update on KOSPI 200 June rebalancing and examines SK Bioscience's KOSPI 200 fast entry situation along with a likely...

Sanghyun Park

Review of Our M&A Research in 2020 & Korea M&A Market Outlook in 2021: What’s For Sale?

In this insight, we highlight 26 Korean companies that are/may be seeking to find new owners through M&As in 2021. We also provide a review of our...

Douglas Kim

LG Group Announces the Formation of LG NewCo & Split of 4 Companies from LG Corp

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Douglas Kim

LG Corp: Deep Value + 4 Key Catalysts

In this insight, we provide 4 key catalysts of LG Corp as well as an updated SoTP valuation analysis on the company. Our base case value suggests a...

Douglas Kim

LG International & LG Hausys To Split from the LG Group

It was announced this morning that LG International and LG Hausys Ltd will split from the LG Group. Koo Bon-Joon, the second eldest member of the...

Douglas Kim

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