Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes rebounded to US$16bn a day over the past week (four trading days) and NET buying was decent at nearly HK$7bn a day. Very Un-beautiful skew again though.</li>
<li>The recommended name was long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-automobile-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11082:1" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)</a>.   From Monday's close to Friday's close, the stock was down 2+% and the H underperformed the A by 5.7%. Awful.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free - for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes rebounded to US$16bn a day over the past week (four trading days) and NET buying was decent at nearly HK$7bn a day. Very Un-beautiful skew again though.
The recommended name was long Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK).   From Monday's close to Friday's close, the stock was down 2+% and the H underperformed the A by 5.7%. Awful.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free - for all SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Wk To 31 Oct 2025) - Volatile Unwinding But Net SOE Buying

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 24th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Shandong Gold Mining, CSPC Pharma, CCB, Zhaojin Mining Industry.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 24th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Shandong Gold Mining, CSPC Pharma, CCB, Zhaojin Mining Industry.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Shandong Gold Mining, CSPC Pharma, CCB, Zhaojin Mining Industry

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 31st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CNOOC, SMIC, Alibaba, China Mobile, CSPC Pharma, Tencent, Meituan, Li Auto.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 31st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for CNOOC, SMIC, Alibaba, China Mobile, CSPC Pharma, Tencent, Meituan, Li Auto.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 31st): CNOOC, SMIC, Alibaba, China Mobile, CSPC Pharma, Tencent

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Seres Group is target price of 189.9 CNY which represents a 17% upside from current levels over a 6-12 month period.</li>
<li>Our target P/S multiple of 1.4x is 50% premium to the average valuation multiple of the comps in 2026. </li>
<li>We used a premium valuation multiple for Seres Group due the company's higher sales growth, EBITDA margins, and ROE.</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Seres Group is target price of 189.9 CNY which represents a 17% upside from current levels over a 6-12 month period.
Our target P/S multiple of 1.4x is 50% premium to the average valuation multiple of the comps in 2026. 
We used a premium valuation multiple for Seres Group due the company's higher sales growth, EBITDA margins, and ROE.


Seres Group Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on MEITUAN, TME, BIDU, JD.COM, BYD, ASMPT, SENSETIME, Meituan, Jd, BYD, Bidu, Sensetime, Tme, Asmpt.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on MEITUAN, TME, BIDU, JD.COM, BYD, ASMPT, SENSETIME, Meituan, Jd, BYD, Bidu, Sensetime, Tme, Asmpt.


HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Oct): MEITUAN, TME, BIDU, JD.COM, BYD, ASMPT, SENSETIME, Meituan, Jd

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

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Li Auto (2015 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Wk To 31 Oct 2025) - Volatile Unwinding But Net SOE Buying

HK SOUTHBOUND volumes were again slightly limited - $16bn a day vs $21bn a day two weeks prior - but net flows were still decent. For a third week...

Travis Lundy

HK Short Interest Weekly: Shandong Gold Mining, CSPC Pharma, CCB, Zhaojin Mining Industry

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 24th and highlight short interest changes in Shandong Gold Mining, CSPC...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 31st): CNOOC, SMIC, Alibaba, China Mobile, CSPC Pharma, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for CNOOC, SMIC, Alibaba, China Mobile, CSPC Pharma, Tencent,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Seres Group Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Seres Group is target price of 189.9 CNY which represents a 17% upside from current levels over a 6-12 month period.

Douglas Kim

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Oct): MEITUAN, TME, BIDU, JD.COM, BYD, ASMPT, SENSETIME, Meituan, Jd

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for Oct 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in MEITUAN, TME, BIDU, JD.COM, BYD, ASMPT, SENSETIME, Meituan, Jd, BYD,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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