Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 2nd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were HSBC (5 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Bidu (9888 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bidu (9888 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 2nd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were HSBC (5 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Bidu (9888 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bidu (9888 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 2nd): HSBC, Tencent, Bidu

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Our "Buy the Worst" strategy made a strong comeback in 2025, outperforming the HSI by 11.1pp YTD, reversing the losses in the last two years.</li>
<li>For 2026, the strategy will hold <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK)</a>.  </li>
<li>The position in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK)</a> may be replaced by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-oriental-education-techn" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32210:1" rel="noopener">New Oriental Education (9901 HK)</a> or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a>, depending on their closing prices on 31 Dec. </li>
</ul>


Our "Buy the Worst" strategy made a strong comeback in 2025, outperforming the HSI by 11.1pp YTD, reversing the losses in the last two years.
For 2026, the strategy will hold Meituan (3690 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), BYD Electronics (285 HK), JD.com (9618 HK), and China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK).  
The position in China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK) may be replaced by New Oriental Education (9901 HK) or Zhongsheng Group (881 HK), depending on their closing prices on 31 Dec. 


"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: A Fruitful 2025, Our Picks for 2026

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Both passenger vehicle (PV) retail sales and wholesale volumes in China are likely to hit new highs in 2025E.</li><li>That, along with trade-in subsidy and purchase-tax saving phase-out, could make 2026 interesting and complex.</li><li>Resilient industry growth despite subsidy cuts. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Both passenger vehicle (PV) retail sales and wholesale volumes in China are likely to hit new highs in 2025E.That, along with trade-in subsidy and purchase-tax saving phase-out, could make 2026 interesting and complex.Resilient industry growth despite subsidy cuts. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - 2026 Outlook: Second half of the NEV match

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on BIDU, TONGCHENG TRAVEL, TRIP.COM, MINIMAX, Kuaishou, LI AUTO, SENSETIME, NIO.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on BIDU, TONGCHENG TRAVEL, TRIP.COM, MINIMAX, Kuaishou, LI AUTO, SENSETIME, NIO.


HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Sep): BIDU, TONGCHENG TRAVEL, TRIP.COM, MINIMAX, Kuaishou, LI AUTO

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN.


HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Sep): ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN

China

Li Auto Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium smart electric vehicles, including extended-range electric vehicles (EREVs) and battery electric vehicles (BEVs). Their product line includes multi-purpose vehicles (MPVs) and sport utility vehicles (SUVs). The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Li Auto (2015 HK)

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 2nd): HSBC, Tencent, Bidu

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were HSBC (5 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: A Fruitful 2025, Our Picks for 2026

The "Buy the Worst" strategy outperformed the HSI by 11.1pp YTD in 2025. For 2026, it will hold Meituan, Li Auto, BYD Electronics, JD.com, and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Auto - 2026 Outlook: Second half of the NEV match

Resilient industry growth despite subsidy cuts. We project China’s PV retail sales volume to be largely flat YoY and wholesale volume to rise 2.9%...

CMB International

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Sep): BIDU, TONGCHENG TRAVEL, TRIP.COM, MINIMAX, Kuaishou, LI AUTO

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in BIDU, TONGCHENG TRAVEL, TRIP.COM, MINIMAX, Kuaishou, LI AUTO,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Sep): ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN

We analyzed HSCEI's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 2nd): HSBC, Tencent, Bidu

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were HSBC (5 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: A Fruitful 2025, Our Picks for 2026

​The "Buy the Worst" strategy outperformed the HSI by 11.1pp YTD in 2025. For 2026, it will hold Meituan, Li Auto, BYD Electronics, JD.com, and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Auto - 2026 Outlook: Second half of the NEV match

Resilient industry growth despite subsidy cuts. We project China’s PV retail sales volume to be largely flat YoY and wholesale volume to rise 2.9%...

CMB International

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Sep): BIDU, TONGCHENG TRAVEL, TRIP.COM, MINIMAX, Kuaishou, LI AUTO

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in BIDU, TONGCHENG TRAVEL, TRIP.COM, MINIMAX, Kuaishou, LI AUTO,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Sep): ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN

We analyzed HSCEI's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in ICBC, PING AN, BIDU, NTES, CCB, LI AUTO, HORIZONROBOT, MEITUAN.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The "Buy the Worst" strategy outperformed the HSI by 11.1pp YTD in 2025. For 2026, it will hold Meituan, Li Auto, BYD Electronics, JD.com, and...