Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In response to media feedback calling out the low-balled Offer, the Ong family bumped the Offer Price for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a> by 9.7% to S$0.68/share and declared terms final.</li>
<li>At 0.43x P/RNAV, and with the bulk of the assets related to investment/development property, the price was still wrong,  </li>
<li>The Circular is now out. The IFA considered terms to be not fair and not reasonable. The same opinion as in the 2021 Offer.</li>
</ul>


In response to media feedback calling out the low-balled Offer, the Ong family bumped the Offer Price for Lian Beng (LBG SP) by 9.7% to S$0.68/share and declared terms final.
At 0.43x P/RNAV, and with the bulk of the assets related to investment/development property, the price was still wrong,  
The Circular is now out. The IFA considered terms to be not fair and not reasonable. The same opinion as in the 2021 Offer.


Lian Beng: Circ Out. IFA (Rightfully) Says Not Fair

<ul>
<li>On the 11th April, construction firm <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a> announced an Offer from the controlling Ong family of S$0.62/share, a 59.7% discount to the November 2022 NAV of S$1.538/share.</li>
<li>After media articles judged the Offer price as being too low - it is - the Ongs have now bumped the Offer Price 9.7% to S$0.68/share and declared terms final.</li>
<li>It's still the wrong price. Yet Lian Beng is illiquid, And the revised price is a lifetime high.</li>
</ul>


On the 11th April, construction firm Lian Beng (LBG SP) announced an Offer from the controlling Ong family of S$0.62/share, a 59.7% discount to the November 2022 NAV of S$1.538/share.
After media articles judged the Offer price as being too low - it is - the Ongs have now bumped the Offer Price 9.7% to S$0.68/share and declared terms final.
It's still the wrong price. Yet Lian Beng is illiquid, And the revised price is a lifetime high.


Lian Beng: The Family Bumps. Still <50% of NAV

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a>/LBG disclosed a revised final voluntary unconditional offer from the Ong family at S$0.68 per share, a 9.7% premium to the previous offer of S$0.62 per share. </li>
<li>The final offer price remains unattractive in comparison to peer multiples and precedent transactions. The offer is open and closes on 26 May.</li>
<li>The Ong Family aims to privatise LBG. Hitting the 90% compulsory acquisition threshold implies a minority acceptance rate of around 64%, which could prove to be a challenge.</li>
</ul>



Lian Beng (LBG SP)/LBG disclosed a revised final voluntary unconditional offer from the Ong family at S$0.68 per share, a 9.7% premium to the previous offer of S$0.62 per share. 
The final offer price remains unattractive in comparison to peer multiples and precedent transactions. The offer is open and closes on 26 May.
The Ong Family aims to privatise LBG. Hitting the 90% compulsory acquisition threshold implies a minority acceptance rate of around 64%, which could prove to be a challenge.


Lian Beng (LBG SP): Ong Family’s Final, Unconditional and Derisory S$0.68 Offer

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35638:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/merdeka-battery-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36864:1" rel="noopener">Merdeka Battery Materials (2012725D IJ)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcland-service-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2392:1" rel="noopener">Arcland Service (3085 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/essential-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9645:1" rel="noopener">Essential Metals (ESS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Rakuten Bank (5838 JP), ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK), Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) and Merdeka Battery Materials (2012725D IJ) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Lian Beng (LBG SP), Arcland Service (3085 JP), Essential Metals (ESS AU), Genesis Minerals (GMD AU), Healius (HLS AU), Newcrest Mining (NCM AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (16 Apr) - Lian Beng, Arcland, Essential, Genesis, Newcrest, Rakuten Bank, ZJLD

<ul>
<li>Singaporean construction firm <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a> has <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Offer_Announcement.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=753708" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a voluntary unconditional cash Offer from the controlling Ong family, via investment holding company OSC Capital.</li>
<li>The Offer Price of S$0.62/share (not declared final) is a mediocre 8.8% premium to last close and a 59.7% discount to the 30 November 2022 NAV of S$1.538/share.</li>
<li>The announcement fails to mention the NAV/share. The IFA considered the 2021 Mandatory Offer of S$0.50/share not fair and not reasonable. Expect a similar conclusion </li>
</ul>


Singaporean construction firm Lian Beng (LBG SP) has announced a voluntary unconditional cash Offer from the controlling Ong family, via investment holding company OSC Capital.
The Offer Price of S$0.62/share (not declared final) is a mediocre 8.8% premium to last close and a 59.7% discount to the 30 November 2022 NAV of S$1.538/share.
The announcement fails to mention the NAV/share. The IFA considered the 2021 Mandatory Offer of S$0.50/share not fair and not reasonable. Expect a similar conclusion 


Singapore

Lian Beng Group Limited provides building construction and civil engineering services for both the private and public sectors. The Group also sells, leases, and maintains construction machinery and equipment, and develops and invests in properties.

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Lian Beng (LBG SP)

Lian Beng: Circ Out. IFA (Rightfully) Says Not Fair

This deal is unconditional. If already in for the arb, sell in the market. If this were to dip below terms, get involved. Otherwise, this is an avoid.

David Blennerhassett

Lian Beng: The Family Bumps. Still <50% of NAV

Optically, and taking into account Lian Beng's illiquid volume, this should get up. Buy here at S$0.65 or below. This deal is unconditional. You...

David Blennerhassett

Lian Beng (LBG SP): Ong Family’s Final, Unconditional and Derisory S$0.68 Offer

The token bump is unlikely to appeal to minorities. Hitting the 90% compulsory acquisition threshold implies a minority acceptance rate of around...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (16 Apr) - Lian Beng, Arcland, Essential, Genesis, Newcrest, Rakuten Bank, ZJLD

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Essential, Genesis, Healius, Newcrest, Arcland, Toyo, Lian Beng) and ECM (Rakuten Bank,...

Arun George

Lian Beng: Family Takeout At <50% of NAV

Optically, and factoring in Lin Beng's illiquid volume, there's probably enough here to get it over the line. Buy a spread or two below terms. This...

David Blennerhassett

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