IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexus-select-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36566:1" rel="noopener">Nexus Select Trust (NST IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adicon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33786:1" rel="noopener">ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-construction-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35117:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aag-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:501:1" rel="noopener">Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/penguin-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10190:1" rel="noopener">Penguin International (PBS SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN), Nexus Select Trust (NST IN), Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN), ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK), Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK), Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP), Lian Beng (LBG SP), Penguin International (PBS SP), Estia Health (EHE AU),  Liontown Resources (LTR AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (07 May) - Mankind, Nexus, Tata Tech, AAG, Golden Energy, Lian Beng, Penguin

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On the 21st January 2021, Singapore-based builder and operator of aluminum high-speed boats <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/penguin-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10190:1" rel="noopener">Penguin International (PBS SP)</a> announced a Voluntary Conditional Offer from its Chairman and Dymon Group at S$.65/share. </li>
<li>In <a href="https://skr.ma/gppcr," target="_blank" rel="noopener">Penguin International (PBS SP): Friendly Privatization Deal Might Need A Bump</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/janaghan-jeyakumar-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3173" rel="noopener">Janaghan Jeyakumar</a> expected a bump in terms. No to be, and the Offeror held 80.05% at the close.</li>
<li>The Offeror, via a new vehicle, has returned to the fold with a S$0.82/share Offer Price. The Offer is unconditional. This is done.</li>
</ul>


On the 21st January 2021, Singapore-based builder and operator of aluminum high-speed boats Penguin International (PBS SP) announced a Voluntary Conditional Offer from its Chairman and Dymon Group at S$.65/share. 
In Penguin International (PBS SP): Friendly Privatization Deal Might Need A BumpJanaghan Jeyakumar expected a bump in terms. No to be, and the Offeror held 80.05% at the close.
The Offeror, via a new vehicle, has returned to the fold with a S$0.82/share Offer Price. The Offer is unconditional. This is done.


Penguin International (PBS SP): Chairman & Dymon Return To the Well

<ul>
<li>On the 11th April, construction firm <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a> announced an Offer from the controlling Ong family of S$0.62/share, a 59.7% discount to the November 2022 NAV of S$1.538/share.</li>
<li>After media articles judged the Offer price as being too low - it is - the Ongs have now bumped the Offer Price 9.7% to S$0.68/share and declared terms final.</li>
<li>It's still the wrong price. Yet Lian Beng is illiquid, And the revised price is a lifetime high.</li>
</ul>


On the 11th April, construction firm Lian Beng (LBG SP) announced an Offer from the controlling Ong family of S$0.62/share, a 59.7% discount to the November 2022 NAV of S$1.538/share.
After media articles judged the Offer price as being too low - it is - the Ongs have now bumped the Offer Price 9.7% to S$0.68/share and declared terms final.
It's still the wrong price. Yet Lian Beng is illiquid, And the revised price is a lifetime high.


Lian Beng: The Family Bumps. Still <50% of NAV

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a>/LBG disclosed a revised final voluntary unconditional offer from the Ong family at S$0.68 per share, a 9.7% premium to the previous offer of S$0.62 per share. </li>
<li>The final offer price remains unattractive in comparison to peer multiples and precedent transactions. The offer is open and closes on 26 May.</li>
<li>The Ong Family aims to privatise LBG. Hitting the 90% compulsory acquisition threshold implies a minority acceptance rate of around 64%, which could prove to be a challenge.</li>
</ul>



Lian Beng (LBG SP)/LBG disclosed a revised final voluntary unconditional offer from the Ong family at S$0.68 per share, a 9.7% premium to the previous offer of S$0.62 per share. 
The final offer price remains unattractive in comparison to peer multiples and precedent transactions. The offer is open and closes on 26 May.
The Ong Family aims to privatise LBG. Hitting the 90% compulsory acquisition threshold implies a minority acceptance rate of around 64%, which could prove to be a challenge.


Lian Beng (LBG SP): Ong Family’s Final, Unconditional and Derisory S$0.68 Offer

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-malt-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29116:1" rel="noopener">United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aag-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:501:1" rel="noopener">Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pushpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13737:1" rel="noopener">Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackmores-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:928:1" rel="noopener">Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 111 Inc (YI US), Estia Health (EHE AU), United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU), Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK), HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), Origin Energy (ORG AU).
Lowest spreads - Healius (HLS AU), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), Lian Beng (LBG SP), Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU), Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ), Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU).


Merger Arb Mondays (01 May) - HKBN, AAG Energy, United Malt, Blackmores, Origin, Metro Pacific

Singapore

Lian Beng Group Ltd is a Singapore-based company primarily engaged in construction and civil engineering, property development and investment, and the manufacturing of construction materials. It also operates dormitory businesses and provides construction-related services. The company was established in 1973 and is headquartered in Singapore.

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Lian Beng (LBG SP)

Weekly Deals Digest (07 May) - Mankind, Nexus, Tata Tech, AAG, Golden Energy, Lian Beng, Penguin

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Estia, Healius, Liontown, Golden Energy, Lian Beng, Penguin, Oishi) and ECM (Mankind,...

Arun George

Penguin International (PBS SP): Chairman & Dymon Return To the Well

This is a full Offer. Penguin will be compulsory acquired. This will trade tight. Buy a spread or two below terms. This deal is unconditional.

David Blennerhassett

Lian Beng: The Family Bumps. Still <50% of NAV

Optically, and taking into account Lian Beng's illiquid volume, this should get up. Buy here at S$0.65 or below. This deal is unconditional. You...

David Blennerhassett

Lian Beng (LBG SP): Ong Family’s Final, Unconditional and Derisory S$0.68 Offer

The token bump is unlikely to appeal to minorities. Hitting the 90% compulsory acquisition threshold implies a minority acceptance rate of around...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (01 May) - HKBN, AAG Energy, United Malt, Blackmores, Origin, Metro Pacific

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (34.3%), Estia (14.1%), United Malt (13.6%), AAG (12.8%), HKBN (8.5%), Origin Energy (6.6%), Toshiba...

Arun George

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