Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares Russell 2000 ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Last week's FOMC announcement and quad witching allowed for some breadth improvement, and the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000, and Russell Micro Cap indexes broke above their respective downtrends.</li>
<li>While this is undoubtedly a positive, we are waiting for more confirmation. It is not uncommon to have misdirection following important FOMC meetings.</li>
<li>The Russell 2000(IWM) remains below major resistance at $209, which was support for all of 2021. This is arguably the most important resistance level in regards to the broad market.</li>
</ul>


Last week's FOMC announcement and quad witching allowed for some breadth improvement, and the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000, and Russell Micro Cap indexes broke above their respective downtrends.
While this is undoubtedly a positive, we are waiting for more confirmation. It is not uncommon to have misdirection following important FOMC meetings.
The Russell 2000(IWM) remains below major resistance at $209, which was support for all of 2021. This is arguably the most important resistance level in regards to the broad market.


Russell 2000 Testing Resistance; Buying Steel, Copper, Uranium, Ag Equipment Stocks

The recent rate surge has upset the picture for growth stocks and, consequently, the S&amp;P 500 is going through a consolidation phase. While we cannot say precisely how deep this pullback will be or if the lows are already in, ongoing positive market dynamics tell us the pullback is likely to be contained and therefore should be viewed as a buying opportunity. With that said, a break below 3789 would signal additional downside ahead. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy and Manufacturing (Agricultural Equipment).

The recent rate surge has upset the picture for growth stocks and, consequently, the S&amp;P 500 is going through a consolidation phase. While we cannot say precisely how deep this pullback will be or if the lows are already in, ongoing positive market dynamics tell us the pullback is likely to be contained and therefore should be viewed as a buying opportunity. With that said, a break below 3789 would signal additional downside ahead. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy and Manufacturing (Agricultural Equipment).

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Financials, Downgrading Technology & Consumer Discretionary

Our bullish outlook, intact since early November, has been based on the fact that virtually all signals from the market have been consistent with risk-on behavior that we would expect to see in bull markets. Now, the picture is less clear; we are still bullish, just slightly less so than we have been over the past 2-3 months. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, Manufacturing, and Technology.

Our bullish outlook, intact since early November, has been based on the fact that virtually all signals from the market have been consistent with risk-on behavior that we would expect to see in bull markets. Now, the picture is less clear; we are still bullish, just slightly less so than we have been over the past 2-3 months. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, Manufacturing, and Technology.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Downgrading Manufacturing & Transports

We take a look at actionable stocks within the U.S. manufacturing sector, a Vermilion Research overweight.  The following industry groups are represented: Aero/Defense, Auto Parts , Industrial Rental Equipment, Building Products &amp; Fixtures.<ul><li>List of highlighted charts: ALV, BDC, BLDR, CW, EMR, HDNG, HEES, HII, HURC, HXL, ITT, KAMN, LCII, LNN, MGRC, MLR, MOD, NNBR, NPO, PCAR, SPAR, SSD, SXI, TEX, TRN, TRS, TXT, URI, VICR, VMI, WSO, WTS</li></ul>

We take a look at actionable stocks within the U.S. manufacturing sector, a Vermilion Research overweight.  The following industry groups are represented: Aero/Defense, Auto Parts , Industrial Rental Equipment, Building Products &amp; Fixtures.List of highlighted charts: ALV, BDC, BLDR, CW, EMR, HDNG, HEES, HII, HURC, HXL, ITT, KAMN, LCII, LNN, MGRC, MLR, MOD, NNBR, NPO, PCAR, SPAR, SSD, SXI, TEX, TRN, TRS, TXT, URI, VICR, VMI, WSO, WTS

U.S. Manufacturing Sector Breaking Out to All-Time Relative Strength Highs; Actionable Stocks

United States

Lindsay Corporation manufactures and markets center pivot and lateral move irrigation equipment, as well as large diameter steel tubing, for use to irrigate agricultural crops.  The Company also provides outsourced manufacturing and production services to original equipment manufacturers in the United States.

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Lindsay Corp (LNN US)

Russell 2000 Testing Resistance; Buying Steel, Copper, Uranium, Ag Equipment Stocks

The Russell 2000 $IWM remains below major resistance at $209, which was support for all of 2021. This is arguably the most important resistance...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Financials, Downgrading Technology & Consumer Discretionary

The recent rate surge has upset the picture for growth stocks and, consequently, the S&P 500 is going through a consolidation phase.

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Downgrading Manufacturing & Transports

In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, Manufacturing, and Technology

Vermilion Research

U.S. Manufacturing Sector Breaking Out to All-Time Relative Strength Highs; Actionable Stocks

We take a look at actionable stocks within the U.S. manufacturing sector, a Vermilion Research overweight. The following industry groups are...

Vermilion Research

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