IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Lithium Power International / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lithium-power-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30603:1" rel="noopener">Lithium Power International (LPI AU)</a> IE considers Codelco’s A$0.57 offer fair and reasonable as it is above the midpoint of its A$0.30-0.68 per share valuation range. </li>
<li>The scheme is conditional on FIRB approval, which should be forthcoming as LPI’s assets are outside Australia in Chile.</li>
<li>Irrevocables represent 32.05% of outstanding shares. At the last close and for the 16 February payment, the gross/annualised spread was 3.6%/26.3%.</li>
</ul>


The Lithium Power International (LPI AU) IE considers Codelco’s A$0.57 offer fair and reasonable as it is above the midpoint of its A$0.30-0.68 per share valuation range. 
The scheme is conditional on FIRB approval, which should be forthcoming as LPI’s assets are outside Australia in Chile.
Irrevocables represent 32.05% of outstanding shares. At the last close and for the 16 February payment, the gross/annualised spread was 3.6%/26.3%.


Lithium Power (LPI AU): Scheme Vote on 23 January

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a> has entered a new transaction implementation deed with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sociedad-quimica-y-minera-de-chile-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27977:1" rel="noopener">Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile (SQM US)</a> and Hancock at A$3.70, a 51.6% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The emergence of Hancock and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mineral-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15103:1" rel="noopener">Mineral Resources (MIN AU)</a> as substantial shareholders necessitated the new offer. The off-market takeover offer is A$3.65 per share if the scheme fails. </li>
<li>The scheme's completion hinges on MinRes’ acceptance. MinRes could potentially block the scheme but has a history of selling into Hancock offers.</li>
</ul>



Azure Minerals (AZS AU) has entered a new transaction implementation deed with Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile (SQM US) and Hancock at A$3.70, a 51.6% premium to the undisturbed price.
The emergence of Hancock and Mineral Resources (MIN AU) as substantial shareholders necessitated the new offer. The off-market takeover offer is A$3.65 per share if the scheme fails. 
The scheme's completion hinges on MinRes’ acceptance. MinRes could potentially block the scheme but has a history of selling into Hancock offers.


Azure Minerals (AZS AU): SQM/Hancock Team up for a New Offer

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>This makes life a lot simpler. Gina Rinehart’s Hancock Prospecting will now team up with Chile’s <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sociedad-quimica-y-minera-de-chile-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27977:1" rel="noopener">SQM</a> to take control of lithium play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a>.</li>
<li>In a<a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02755714-6A1187098" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> binding Offer</a>, by way of a Scheme, the joint bidders (collectively holding ~37.79%) are offering A$3.70/share, a 5.1% bump in terms to SQM's prior Scheme Offer. </li>
<li>
An off-market takeover at A$3.65/share unfolds IF this Scheme were to fail. If both fail/lapse,  SQM will, "in certain circumstances", be required to proceed with its off-market transaction of A$3.50/share.</li>
</ul>


This makes life a lot simpler. Gina Rinehart’s Hancock Prospecting will now team up with Chile’s SQM to take control of lithium play Azure Minerals (AZS AU).
In a binding Offer, by way of a Scheme, the joint bidders (collectively holding ~37.79%) are offering A$3.70/share, a 5.1% bump in terms to SQM's prior Scheme Offer. 

An off-market takeover at A$3.65/share unfolds IF this Scheme were to fail. If both fail/lapse,  SQM will, "in certain circumstances", be required to proceed with its off-market transaction of A$3.50/share.


Shinko Electric Industries / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20649:1" rel="noopener">Irc Ltd (1029 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orecorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8120:1" rel="noopener">Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lithium-power-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30603:1" rel="noopener">Lithium Power International (LPI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benefit-one-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14502:1" rel="noopener">Benefit One Inc (2412 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijtt-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19461:1" rel="noopener">IJTT Co., Ltd. (7315 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-rakutenchi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2078:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Rakutenchi (8842 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shidax-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7754:1" rel="noopener">Shidax Corp (4837 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - Irc Ltd (1029 HK), Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU), Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP), JSR Corp (4185 JP), Lithium Power International (LPI AU), Benefit One Inc (2412 JP). 
Lowest spreads  Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU), Azure Minerals (AZS AU), IJTT Co., Ltd. (7315 JP), T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP), Tokyo Rakutenchi (8842 JP), Shidax Corp (4837 JP).


Merger Arb Mondays (18 Dec) - Shinko Electric, Benefit One, Toyo, CPMC, Vinda, Costa, Volpara

<ul>
<li>I tally 46 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Four new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a>'s reverse takeover; Tanotos' tilt for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinda-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:475:1" rel="noopener">Vinda (3331 HK)</a>; and Tender offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric (6967 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/outsourcing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7431:1" rel="noopener">Outsourcing (2427 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allkem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3572:1" rel="noopener">Allkem (AKE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 46 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Four new deals discussed this week: Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)'s reverse takeover; Tanotos' tilt for Vinda (3331 HK); and Tender offers for Shinko Electric (6967 JP) and Outsourcing (2427 JP).
Key updates took place on: Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU), Allkem (AKE AU), Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU), T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP) and Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Sigma Health, Vinda, Outsourcing, Allkem, Costa, Hollysys

Australia

Lithium Power International Limited explores and mines lithium. The Company acquires and develops lithium projects focusing within three lithium regions in Western Australia and Argentina.

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Lithium Power International (LPI AU)

Lithium Power (LPI AU): Scheme Vote on 23 January

This is a done deal. Irrevocables represent 32.05% of outstanding shares. At the last close and for the 16 February payment, the gross/annualised...

Arun George

Azure Minerals (AZS AU): SQM/Hancock Team up for a New Offer

The scheme's completion hinges on MinRes’ acceptance. MinRes could potentially block the scheme but has a history of selling into Hancock offers....

Arun George

Gina Joins SQM In Bid For Azure (AZS AU)

This is done. Trading super tight at A$3.68/share as I type. If in, stay in. Alternatively get involved on any material pull-back.

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (18 Dec) - Shinko Electric, Benefit One, Toyo, CPMC, Vinda, Costa, Volpara

This week, the highest gross spreads are IRC (26.9%), OreCorp (17.7%), Shinko Electric (9.2%), JSR (6.6%), Lithium Power (5.6%), Benefit One...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Sigma Health, Vinda, Outsourcing, Allkem, Costa, Hollysys

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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