Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Once again, the profit from Long Short basket trading has also been significant this time. The returns were quite juicy even if the period is shortened to From-February. </li>
<li>The critical question now is whether the juice remains until the effective date. From what I can see, there is still some juice left.</li>
<li>This is because it is generally observed that the flow trading window for this event tends to continue beyond the effective date.</li>
</ul>


Once again, the profit from Long Short basket trading has also been significant this time. The returns were quite juicy even if the period is shortened to From-February. 
The critical question now is whether the juice remains until the effective date. From what I can see, there is still some juice left.
This is because it is generally observed that the flow trading window for this event tends to continue beyond the effective date.


KOSPI Size Indexes Migrants: Official Results & Price Performances So Far

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ended on 31 January, changes will be announced in the next few days and implemented at the close of trading on 9 March.</li>
<li>We forecast one add/delete for the Secondary Battery Index and Game Index, and a couple of adds/deletes for the BBIG Index. There will be a lot of capping changes.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are expected on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12421:1" rel="noopener">Posco Chemical (003670 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a>; the largest outflows are expected on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-innovation-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1268:1" rel="noopener">SK Innovation (096770 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmw-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2834:1" rel="noopener">KMW (032500 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ended on 31 January, changes will be announced in the next few days and implemented at the close of trading on 9 March.
We forecast one add/delete for the Secondary Battery Index and Game Index, and a couple of adds/deletes for the BBIG Index. There will be a lot of capping changes.
The largest inflows are expected on Posco Chemical (003670 KS) and Douzone Bizon (012510 KS); the largest outflows are expected on SK Innovation (096770 KS) and KMW (032500 KS).


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Flows as Announcement Looms

<ul>
<li>One constituent change is expected in the BATTERY index rebalancing as <strong>Ecopro Co Ltd</strong> surpassed <strong>Iljin Materials</strong> based on the average daily market cap during the review period.</li>
<li>Ecopro Co Ltd is a pure holding company, so it may not be subject to inclusion. However, KRX recognizes related sales from unlisted subsidiaries as sales from the holding company.</li>
<li>The actual passive impact of the rebalancing day will likely be 0.15x or more for both. This level can enable a long-short setup for these from a day trading perspective.</li>
</ul>


One constituent change is expected in the BATTERY index rebalancing as Ecopro Co Ltd surpassed Iljin Materials based on the average daily market cap during the review period.
Ecopro Co Ltd is a pure holding company, so it may not be subject to inclusion. However, KRX recognizes related sales from unlisted subsidiaries as sales from the holding company.
The actual passive impact of the rebalancing day will likely be 0.15x or more for both. This level can enable a long-short setup for these from a day trading perspective.


Long Short Idea: Ecopro Co Ltd & Iljin Materials on March 9 with K-New Deal Rebalancing

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices ends 28 February. The results will be announced early March and implemented at the close on 9 March.</li>
<li>We see 5 migrations between MidCap and LargeCap, 8 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap, 3 new adds to MidCap, and 11 migrations from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices ends 28 February. The results will be announced early March and implemented at the close on 9 March.
We see 5 migrations between MidCap and LargeCap, 8 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap, 3 new adds to MidCap, and 11 migrations from MidCap to SmallCap.
Stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Potential Changes in March

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Jeio (418550 KS) announced its IPO price of 13,000 won, which was at the high end of the recently revised down IPO price range of 10,000 won to 13,000 won.</li>
<li>There were 1,174 institutional investors that participated in this IPO survey. The demand ratio was 352.6 to 1.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 12,575 won per share, which is 3.3% lower than the IPO price 13,000 won.</li>
</ul>


Jeio (418550 KS) announced its IPO price of 13,000 won, which was at the high end of the recently revised down IPO price range of 10,000 won to 13,000 won.
There were 1,174 institutional investors that participated in this IPO survey. The demand ratio was 352.6 to 1.
Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 12,575 won per share, which is 3.3% lower than the IPO price 13,000 won.


South Korea

Lotte Energy Materials Corporation manufactures and distributes electric foils. The Company produces printed circuit board and lithium ion secondary batteries elecfoil, electrolytic and epoxy copper foil, electrolytic capacitor aluminum foil, and other related products. Lotte Energy Materials also offers energy and glass and window construction services.

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Lotte Energy Materials (020150 KS)

KOSPI Size Indexes Migrants: Official Results & Price Performances So Far

KRX announced the official results of the KOPSI Size Indexes migration for the March rebalancing. This post offers key takeaways and trading...

Sanghyun Park

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Flows as Announcement Looms

We forecast one change to the Secondary Battery and Game indices and two changes to the BBIG Index. There are big flows and impact on a few stocks....

Brian Freitas

Long Short Idea: Ecopro Co Ltd & Iljin Materials on March 9 with K-New Deal Rebalancing

This post looks at the Long Short setup opportunity on Ecopro Co Ltd and Iljin Materials on March 9 at the K-New Deal rebalancing.

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI Size Indices - Potential Changes in March

The review period for the March rebal of the KOSPI Size Indices ends on 28 February. We see quite a lot of potential migrations. Some stocks could...

Brian Freitas

JEIO IPO: Book Building Results Analysis

Jeio (418550 KS) announced its IPO price of 13,000 won, which was at the high end of the recently revised down IPO price range of 10,000 won to...

Douglas Kim

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