Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>LG Chem's deletion is almost a done deal. The pouch-type pack goes to LG Energy, and the cathode business is not big enough to beat L&amp;F.</li>
<li>Chunbo is an additive field that this index has not included so far. So, Chunbo will be added as a new addition rather than replacing someone else.</li>
<li>SK IE Tech is quite tricky. The key is to see separator and elecfoil as the same field. If so, SK IET is likely to replace Iljin Materials.</li>
</ul>


LG Chem's deletion is almost a done deal. The pouch-type pack goes to LG Energy, and the cathode business is not big enough to beat L&amp;F.
Chunbo is an additive field that this index has not included so far. So, Chunbo will be added as a new addition rather than replacing someone else.
SK IE Tech is quite tricky. The key is to see separator and elecfoil as the same field. If so, SK IET is likely to replace Iljin Materials.


Solactive Lithium Index Rebalancing: Noteworthy Names in Korea Before the Announcement

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 12,752 won per share, which is 15% lower than the low end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>Given the low target price relative to the IPO price range, we have a Negative view of JEIO IPO.  </li>
<li>We estimate its sales to increase by 29.5% YoY to reach 117.1 billion won and operating profit to improve to 6.1 billion won in 2023 (turned black YoY).</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 12,752 won per share, which is 15% lower than the low end of the IPO price range.
Given the low target price relative to the IPO price range, we have a Negative view of JEIO IPO.  
We estimate its sales to increase by 29.5% YoY to reach 117.1 billion won and operating profit to improve to 6.1 billion won in 2023 (turned black YoY).


<ul>
<li>On 27 September, it was announced that Lotte Chemical (011170 KS) is close to acquiring a 53.3% stake in Iljin Materials (020150 KS) for about 2.7 trillion won (US$1.9 billion).</li>
<li>Iljin Materials has relatively high valuation multiples. Despite recent share price decline, its shares are trading at 32.4x P/E and 15.7x EV/EBITDA in 2022. </li>
<li>At such a high valuation premium (93% higher than current prices), there are going to be significant concerns that Lotte Chem may have overpaid for this acquisition. </li>
</ul>


On 27 September, it was announced that Lotte Chemical (011170 KS) is close to acquiring a 53.3% stake in Iljin Materials (020150 KS) for about 2.7 trillion won (US$1.9 billion).
Iljin Materials has relatively high valuation multiples. Despite recent share price decline, its shares are trading at 32.4x P/E and 15.7x EV/EBITDA in 2022. 
At such a high valuation premium (93% higher than current prices), there are going to be significant concerns that Lotte Chem may have overpaid for this acquisition. 


Lotte Chemical Close to Acquiring Iljin Materials

<ul>
<li>JEIO is getting ready to complete its IPO in Korea in early November. The IPO price range is from 15,000 won to 18,000 won.</li>
<li>Based on the bankers' valuation, the expected market cap of the company is from 500 billion won to 600 billion won.</li>
<li>JEIO had a production capacity of 300 tons in 2021 for carbon nanotubes which is expected to increase to 1,000 tons in 2022 and to 3,000 tons by 2025. </li>
</ul>


JEIO is getting ready to complete its IPO in Korea in early November. The IPO price range is from 15,000 won to 18,000 won.
Based on the bankers' valuation, the expected market cap of the company is from 500 billion won to 600 billion won.
JEIO had a production capacity of 300 tons in 2021 for carbon nanotubes which is expected to increase to 1,000 tons in 2022 and to 3,000 tons by 2025. 


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wcp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36076:1" rel="noopener">WCP (WCP KS)</a>, a lithium-ion batteries separator company, has set its IPO price at KRW60,000 per share, a hefty 25-40% discount on the "desired" IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000. </li>
<li>The target raise has declined from KRW720-900 billion (US$517-646 million) to KRW432 billion (US$310 million) due to the lower IPO price and offer shares.</li>
<li>While the final IPO price is now reasonable, the process smacks desperation and calls into question the credibility of the syndicate's forecasts. This is still an avoid.</li>
</ul>



WCP (WCP KS), a lithium-ion batteries separator company, has set its IPO price at KRW60,000 per share, a hefty 25-40% discount on the "desired" IPO price range of KRW80,000-100,000. 
The target raise has declined from KRW720-900 billion (US$517-646 million) to KRW432 billion (US$310 million) due to the lower IPO price and offer shares.
While the final IPO price is now reasonable, the process smacks desperation and calls into question the credibility of the syndicate's forecasts. This is still an avoid.


WCP IPO: Final IPO Price Set, Still an Avoid

South Korea

Lotte Energy Materials Corporation manufactures and distributes electric foils. The Company produces printed circuit board and lithium ion secondary batteries elecfoil, electrolytic and epoxy copper foil, electrolytic capacitor aluminum foil, and other related products. Lotte Energy Materials also offers energy and glass and window construction services.

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Lotte Energy Materials (020150 KS)

Solactive Lithium Index Rebalancing: Noteworthy Names in Korea Before the Announcement

This post discusses the notable Korean stocks in the upcoming rebalancing of the Solactive Lithium Index (Global X ETF: LIT).

Sanghyun Park

JEIO IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 12,752 won per share, which is 15% lower than the low end of the IPO price range.

Douglas Kim

Lotte Chemical Close to Acquiring Iljin Materials

On 27 September, it was announced that Lotte Chemical (011170 KS) is close to acquiring a 53.3% stake in Iljin Materials (020150 KS) for about 2.7...

Douglas Kim

JEIO IPO Preview

JEIO's IPO price range is from 15,000 won to 18,000 won. JEIO's production capacity of carbon nanotubes is expected to increase by 10x from 2021 to...

Douglas Kim

WCP IPO: Final IPO Price Set, Still an Avoid

While the final IPO price is now reasonable, the process smacks desperation and calls into question the credibility of the syndicate's forecasts....

Arun George

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