Independent Sell Side Equity Research Analyst, ChartSmarter

Douglas Busch

Independent Sell Side Equity Research Analyst

ChartSmarter

ChartSmarter is a service dedicated to the art of technical analysis.

On a daily basis we write up actionable ideas on a specific, major S&P sector on both the long and short side, in an easy yet thorough way. In the notes we give precise entries and exits, while looking to capture the "meat" of a trend.

Technical Analysis.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Gold breaks above MONTHLY bull flag suggesting possible move to 3000.</li>
<li>Is China ready to duplicate prior move we witnessed in Nikkei?</li>
<li>BABA looks technically attractive and could reach par by year-end.</li>
</ul>


Gold breaks above MONTHLY bull flag suggesting possible move to 3000.
Is China ready to duplicate prior move we witnessed in Nikkei?
BABA looks technically attractive and could reach par by year-end.


Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>ATAT US/TCOM US:Daily Traffic Volume growth on highways is flattish YoY During the Summer Travel Season(-/-)</li>
<li>BEKE US: Decrease in New Short-term Loans to Residents in July, but Increase in New Long-term Loans(+)</li>
<li>BEKE US:House prices continued to decline in July . (-)</li>
</ul>


ATAT US/TCOM US:Daily Traffic Volume growth on highways is flattish YoY During the Summer Travel Season(-/-)
BEKE US: Decrease in New Short-term Loans to Residents in July, but Increase in New Long-term Loans(+)
BEKE US:House prices continued to decline in July . (-)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/BEKE US/NIO US/LI US/1810 HK/1211 HK/XPEV US/LKNCY US

<ul>
<li>Consumer Industry Update:Hubei province takes the lead in implementing the home appliance replacement policy (+)</li>
<li>ATAT US/TCOM US:The year-on-year decline in hotel RevPAR narrowed in the second week of August, showing resilient in hotel demand.(+/+)</li>
<li>ATAT US/TCOM US: MCT plans to cut the prices of scenic spot tickets, bodes well to tourism demand. (+/+)</li>
</ul>


Consumer Industry Update:Hubei province takes the lead in implementing the home appliance replacement policy (+)
ATAT US/TCOM US:The year-on-year decline in hotel RevPAR narrowed in the second week of August, showing resilient in hotel demand.(+/+)
ATAT US/TCOM US: MCT plans to cut the prices of scenic spot tickets, bodes well to tourism demand. (+/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/1810 HK/AAPL US/1519 HK/ZTO US/XPEV US/2454 TT/QCOM US/LKNCY US

Andy Fu

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On August 7th, Meituan's on-demand order volume reached a historical high of 98mn on surging orders from street drinks. Meituan has connected to the backend systems of street drink vendors;</li>
<li>Delivery order is a double-edged sword. It boosts volume at the expense of margin. Further, the ownership of the volume is questionable;</li>
<li>With Pin-hao-fan, Meituan already atomized the small restaurants. Now Meituan is playing the same trick with street drinks. The result will be more dramatic to the benefit of Meituan.</li>
</ul>


On August 7th, Meituan's on-demand order volume reached a historical high of 98mn on surging orders from street drinks. Meituan has connected to the backend systems of street drink vendors;
Delivery order is a double-edged sword. It boosts volume at the expense of margin. Further, the ownership of the volume is questionable;
With Pin-hao-fan, Meituan already atomized the small restaurants. Now Meituan is playing the same trick with street drinks. The result will be more dramatic to the benefit of Meituan.


O2O Playing a More Prominent Role in China Street Drinks

<ul>
<li>981 HK/1347 HK: Semiconductor export growth remained robust in July (+/+)</li>
<li>1211 HK/LI US/NIO US/1810 HK/XPEV US: 2024 week 31 EV makers started to bifurate .(/////////)</li>
<li>1810 HK: Xiaomi’s smartphone unit volume sales in Japan grow triple-digit y-o-y in 2Q24 (+)</li>
</ul>


981 HK/1347 HK: Semiconductor export growth remained robust in July (+/+)
1211 HK/LI US/NIO US/1810 HK/XPEV US: 2024 week 31 EV makers started to bifurate .(/////////)
1810 HK: Xiaomi’s smartphone unit volume sales in Japan grow triple-digit y-o-y in 2Q24 (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:981 HK/1347 HK/1211 HK/LI US/NIO US/1810 HK/XPEV US/TCOM US/ATAT US/LKNCY US

China

Luckin Coffee Inc. provides non-alcoholic beverages. The Company offers various types of coffee. Luckin Coffee serves customers in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Luckin Coffee (LKNCY US)

Time To Buy China/Gold

Gold breaks above bull flag, China may follow Nikkei's move, BABA could hit par by year-end. Region and the precious metal could power higher into...

Douglas Busch

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/BEKE US/NIO US/LI US/1810 HK/1211 HK/XPEV US/LKNCY US

Summer travel season sees flat growth in highway traffic volume, decrease in short-term loans but increase in long-term loans, and continued...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/1810 HK/AAPL US/1519 HK/ZTO US/XPEV US/2454 TT/QCOM US/LKNCY US

Hubei province leads in home appliance replacement policy; hotel RevPAR decline narrows in August; MCT cuts scenic spot ticket prices to boost...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

O2O Playing a More Prominent Role in China Street Drinks

Meituan benefits from surge in delivery orders for street drinks, reaching record high order volume on August 7. Street drink brands are more rely...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:981 HK/1347 HK/1211 HK/LI US/NIO US/1810 HK/XPEV US/TCOM US/ATAT US/LKNCY US

Semiconductor exports strong in July, EV makers diverge in 2024, Xiaomi's smartphone sales surge in Japan.Active Users on the Luckin Coffee App...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Time To Buy China/Gold

​Gold breaks above bull flag, China may follow Nikkei's move, BABA could hit par by year-end. Region and the precious metal could power higher into...

Douglas Busch

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/BEKE US/NIO US/LI US/1810 HK/1211 HK/XPEV US/LKNCY US

​Summer travel season sees flat growth in highway traffic volume, decrease in short-term loans but increase in long-term loans, and continued...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/1810 HK/AAPL US/1519 HK/ZTO US/XPEV US/2454 TT/QCOM US/LKNCY US

​Hubei province leads in home appliance replacement policy; hotel RevPAR decline narrows in August; MCT cuts scenic spot ticket prices to boost...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

O2O Playing a More Prominent Role in China Street Drinks

​Meituan benefits from surge in delivery orders for street drinks, reaching record high order volume on August 7. Street drink brands are more rely...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:981 HK/1347 HK/1211 HK/LI US/NIO US/1810 HK/XPEV US/TCOM US/ATAT US/LKNCY US

​Semiconductor exports strong in July, EV makers diverge in 2024, Xiaomi's smartphone sales surge in Japan.Active Users on the Luckin Coffee App...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Gold breaks above bull flag, China may follow Nikkei's move, BABA could hit par by year-end. Region and the precious metal could power higher into...

Summer travel season sees flat growth in highway traffic volume, decrease in short-term loans but increase in long-term loans, and continued...

Hubei province leads in home appliance replacement policy; hotel RevPAR decline narrows in August; MCT cuts scenic spot ticket prices to boost...

Meituan benefits from surge in delivery orders for street drinks, reaching record high order volume on August 7. Street drink brands are more rely...

Semiconductor exports strong in July, EV makers diverge in 2024, Xiaomi's smartphone sales surge in Japan.Active Users on the Luckin Coffee App...