Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Sep 18th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD352,843m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, BOE, FUJIAN STAR-NET COMMUNICATION, CATL, JIANGSU HENGRUI MEDICINE.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Sep 18th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD352,843m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, BOE, FUJIAN STAR-NET COMMUNICATION, CATL, JIANGSU HENGRUI MEDICINE.


A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 18th): CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, BOE, FUJIAN STAR-NET COMMUNICATION

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Computex 2025 was held in Taipei during 19-23 May, which mostly focused on AI servers, AI PCs, and thermal/power/connector solutions.</li><li>Below are key updates from keynotes and booths we visited at the event: 1) GB200 accelerating throughout 2Q; 2) GB300 rack sampling into 3Q and target for 4Q ramp; 3) modest spec upgrades but smoother ramp for GB300 components given design change back from Cordelia to Bianca, 4) 800V HVDC power rack by Delta/Vertiv, 5) Hybrid liquid/air solutions for GB300/B300 by Honhai/Wiwynn/Inventec/Gigabyte, 6) GPU/SO-CAMM sockets and mid-plane (vs cable cartridge) by FIT/Amphenol, 7) AI PCs/DGX Spark by Asus/Acer/Gigabyte/MSI, 8) NVIDIA ecosystem evolving with MGX platform (server), NVLink Fusion (network) and GROON N1 (robotics).</li><li>We become more positive on GB200/300 rack shipments into 2H25E, benefiting names including FII (601138 CH, NR), FIT Hon Teng (6088 HK), BYDE (285 HK), Luxshare (002475 CH) and Lenovo (992 HK, NR).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Computex 2025 was held in Taipei during 19-23 May, which mostly focused on AI servers, AI PCs, and thermal/power/connector solutions.Below are key updates from keynotes and booths we visited at the event: 1) GB200 accelerating throughout 2Q; 2) GB300 rack sampling into 3Q and target for 4Q ramp; 3) modest spec upgrades but smoother ramp for GB300 components given design change back from Cordelia to Bianca, 4) 800V HVDC power rack by Delta/Vertiv, 5) Hybrid liquid/air solutions for GB300/B300 by Honhai/Wiwynn/Inventec/Gigabyte, 6) GPU/SO-CAMM sockets and mid-plane (vs cable cartridge) by FIT/Amphenol, 7) AI PCs/DGX Spark by Asus/Acer/Gigabyte/MSI, 8) NVIDIA ecosystem evolving with MGX platform (server), NVLink Fusion (network) and GROON N1 (robotics).We become more positive on GB200/300 rack shipments into 2H25E, benefiting names including FII (601138 CH, NR), FIT Hon Teng (6088 HK), BYDE (285 HK), Luxshare (002475 CH) and Lenovo (992 HK, NR).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology: GB300 NVL72, Liquid Cooling, GPU/SOCAMM Socket, AI PCs, DGX Spark

<ul><li>On 12 May, China and the US issued a joint statement that the US and China will lower tariffs for 90 days by 14 May, with the US reducing its tariff from 145% to 30% and China reducing its tariff from 125% to 10%.</li><li>Overall, we believe this is a further relief on China technology supply chain after the US CBP’s exemption from reciprocal tariffs for 20 product categories on 11 Apr (our note).</li><li>Overall, we believe consumer technology (esp. Apple supply chain) with high US revenue exposure will benefit most from the China-US tariff deal. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

On 12 May, China and the US issued a joint statement that the US and China will lower tariffs for 90 days by 14 May, with the US reducing its tariff from 145% to 30% and China reducing its tariff from 125% to 10%.Overall, we believe this is a further relief on China technology supply chain after the US CBP’s exemption from reciprocal tariffs for 20 product categories on 11 Apr (our note).Overall, we believe consumer technology (esp. Apple supply chain) with high US revenue exposure will benefit most from the China-US tariff deal. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - Implications of China-US Tariff Reduction

<ul><li>Nvidia (NVDA, NR) disclosed that the U.S. government informed on April 9 that H20 chips will require a license for export to China and other D:5 countries, and the new requirement will be in place indefinitely.</li><li>Driven by DeepSeek’s lowcost AI models since late Jan, we see accelerated deployments of H20 servers in China, and several server ODM/component suppliers also guided strong order demand from Chinese CSPs for H20-related products.</li><li>In terms of impact, we estimate Nvidia’s inventory writedown of US$5.5bn implies US$14bn sales (GPM 60%), 1.1mn H20 chips (ASP US$12.5k) and 138k H20 AI servers (8 chips/ server). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nvidia (NVDA, NR) disclosed that the U.S. government informed on April 9 that H20 chips will require a license for export to China and other D:5 countries, and the new requirement will be in place indefinitely.Driven by DeepSeek’s lowcost AI models since late Jan, we see accelerated deployments of H20 servers in China, and several server ODM/component suppliers also guided strong order demand from Chinese CSPs for H20-related products.In terms of impact, we estimate Nvidia’s inventory writedown of US$5.5bn implies US$14bn sales (GPM 60%), 1.1mn H20 chips (ASP US$12.5k) and 138k H20 AI servers (8 chips/ server). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - Implications of Nvidia H20 export restriction for AI server/component supply chain

<ul><li>The US's CBP published an updated guidance on 11 Apr to exempt 20 product categories (incl. smartphones, PCs, servers and tablets) from reciprocal tariffs (i.e. 125% China tariff and 10% global tariff).</li><li>However, the US commerce secretary stated on 13 Apr (link) that tariff exemptions for electronic devices were temporary and electronics will come under separate tariffs, along with semiconductors that will be imposed in a month or two.</li><li>Overall, while the upcoming electronics tariff remains an overhang in the near term, we believe 1) the new tariff (vs. 25% for other sectoral tariffs) will be lower than the 125% for China’s previous reciprocal tariff, and 2) recent sector correction has priced in the worst scenario for reciprocal tariffs. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The US's CBP published an updated guidance on 11 Apr to exempt 20 product categories (incl. smartphones, PCs, servers and tablets) from reciprocal tariffs (i.e. 125% China tariff and 10% global tariff).However, the US commerce secretary stated on 13 Apr (link) that tariff exemptions for electronic devices were temporary and electronics will come under separate tariffs, along with semiconductors that will be imposed in a month or two.Overall, while the upcoming electronics tariff remains an overhang in the near term, we believe 1) the new tariff (vs. 25% for other sectoral tariffs) will be lower than the 125% for China’s previous reciprocal tariff, and 2) recent sector correction has priced in the worst scenario for reciprocal tariffs. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - US Tariff Updates: Reciprocal Tariff Exemptions for Smartphone /PC...

China

Luxshare Precision Industry Co., Ltd. researches, manufactures and sells connectors. The Company's products are widely used in computers, communication devices, consumer electronics products and automobiles.

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Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH)

Technology: GB300 NVL72, Liquid Cooling, GPU/SOCAMM Socket, AI PCs, DGX Spark

Computex 2025 was held in Taipei during 19-23 May, which mostly focused on AI servers, AI PCs, and thermal/power/connector solutions.

CMB International

Technology - Implications of China-US Tariff Reduction

Overall, we believe this is a further relief on China technology supply chain after the US CBP’s exemption from reciprocal tariffs for 20 product...

CMB International

Technology - Implications of Nvidia H20 export restriction for AI server/component supply chain

In terms of impact, we estimate Nvidia’s inventory writedown of US$5.5bn implies US$14bn sales (GPM 60%), 1.1mn H20 chips (ASP US$12.5k) and 138k...

CMB International

Technology - US Tariff Updates: Reciprocal Tariff Exemptions for Smartphone /PC...

The US's CBP published an updated guidance on 11 Apr to exempt 20 product categories (incl. smartphones, PCs, servers and tablets) from reciprocal...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 18th): CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, BOE, FUJIAN STAR-NET COMMUNICATION

We analyzed A-share margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, BOE, FUJIAN STAR-NET COMMUNICATION,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Technology: GB300 NVL72, Liquid Cooling, GPU/SOCAMM Socket, AI PCs, DGX Spark

Computex 2025 was held in Taipei during 19-23 May, which mostly focused on AI servers, AI PCs, and thermal/power/connector solutions.

CMB International

Technology - Implications of China-US Tariff Reduction

Overall, we believe this is a further relief on China technology supply chain after the US CBP’s exemption from reciprocal tariffs for 20 product...

CMB International

Technology - Implications of Nvidia H20 export restriction for AI server/component supply chain

In terms of impact, we estimate Nvidia’s inventory writedown of US$5.5bn implies US$14bn sales (GPM 60%), 1.1mn H20 chips (ASP US$12.5k) and 138k...

CMB International

Technology - US Tariff Updates: Reciprocal Tariff Exemptions for Smartphone /PC...

The US's CBP published an updated guidance on 11 Apr to exempt 20 product categories (incl. smartphones, PCs, servers and tablets) from reciprocal...

CMB International