Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Huge print from ASML set a positive tone, but the potential for tighter NVDA restrictions weighed on sentiment.</li>
<li>Big selling for Corning off the highs as guidance not enough to justify the run... may see weakness in Fujikura and Furukawa.</li>
<li>Strong numbers from Advantest will also help sentiment for Japan SPE.</li>
</ul>


Huge print from ASML set a positive tone, but the potential for tighter NVDA restrictions weighed on sentiment.
Big selling for Corning off the highs as guidance not enough to justify the run... may see weakness in Fujikura and Furukawa.
Strong numbers from Advantest will also help sentiment for Japan SPE.


Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Signals from Tech and Semi's but After-Mkt Moves Pointing Higher

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Shinko Electric Industries / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>One new deal was discussed this week: CC Capital's NBIO for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a>. </li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcadium-lithium-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40438:1" rel="noopener">Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities (H) (6837 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
One new deal was discussed this week: CC Capital's NBIO for Insignia Financial (IFL AU). 
Key updates/news took place on: Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU), CPMC Holdings (906 HK), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK), Haitong Securities (H) (6837 HK), and Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Insignia Financial, Arcadium, CPMC, GAPack, Haitong Sec., Shinko Electric

Nec Networks & System Integr / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Four new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a>'s hostile Offer; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vcredit-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27143:1" rel="noopener">VCredit Holdings Ltd (2003 HK)</a>'s takeunder; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>'s Scheme, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pentamaster-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31099:1" rel="noopener">Pentamaster International (1665 HK)</a>'s Scheme.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-henlius-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27888:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suntec-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:151:1" rel="noopener">Suntec REIT (SUN SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Four new deals this week: Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)'s hostile Offer; VCredit Holdings Ltd (2003 HK)'s takeunder; Vesync (2148 HK)'s Scheme, and Pentamaster International (1665 HK)'s Scheme.
Key updates/news took place on: Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK), Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP), and Suntec REIT (SUN SP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Makino, Henlius, GAPack, Nec Networks, Suntec REIT, VCredit, Pentamaster

<ul>
<li>The new article on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> from TV Tokyo is causing a dip on top of last week's weakness. This is a dip to buy.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>'s Offer is now open for tendering. Ignore the rumours. Zhang Wei will tender. Expect payment before Chinese New Year. </li>
<li>Accounting solely for the pre-IPO investors, 164.6m shares (US$1.9bn) in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ubtech-robotics-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36469:1" rel="noopener">UBTech Robotics (9880 HK)</a> will be unlocked, ~39.2% of the firm’s total shares outstanding, and 91 days of three-month ADV.</li>
</ul>


The new article on Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) from TV Tokyo is causing a dip on top of last week's weakness. This is a dip to buy.

CPMC Holdings (906 HK)'s Offer is now open for tendering. Ignore the rumours. Zhang Wei will tender. Expect payment before Chinese New Year. 
Accounting solely for the pre-IPO investors, 164.6m shares (US$1.9bn) in UBTech Robotics (9880 HK) will be unlocked, ~39.2% of the firm’s total shares outstanding, and 91 days of three-month ADV.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Seven & I, CPMC, UBTech Robotics, Macromill, 2024 Best-Of

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>Early today, the Nikkei had an article saying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ly-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19603:1" rel="noopener">LY (4689 JP)</a> would launch a takeover of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beenos-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18023:1" rel="noopener">Beenos Inc (3328 JP)</a>. The stock went limit up. Shorts are many times ADV. </li>
<li>Post-Close, we get a deal much as implied by the Nikkei article. It seems light to me but the top three holders have agreed to the deal.</li>
<li>Regulatory will take a couple of months. This will likely fall tomorrow. If you are a long-only fund holder, think about the alternatives (read the conclusions here).</li>
</ul>


Early today, the Nikkei had an article saying LY (4689 JP) would launch a takeover of Beenos Inc (3328 JP). The stock went limit up. Shorts are many times ADV. 
Post-Close, we get a deal much as implied by the Nikkei article. It seems light to me but the top three holders have agreed to the deal.
Regulatory will take a couple of months. This will likely fall tomorrow. If you are a long-only fund holder, think about the alternatives (read the conclusions here).


LY Corp (4689) Announces Takeover of Beenos (3328) - Lightish at ¥4,000 But A Done Deal

Japan

LY Corporation operates as an internet search engine "Yahoo! JAPAN". The Company provides electronic commerce and settlement finance services for small medium enterprises and individuals. LY also operates media business including search linked advertising and display advertising services.

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LY (4689 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Signals from Tech and Semi's but After-Mkt Moves Pointing Higher

ASML's strong print boosts sentiment but weighed by NVDA restriction concerns. Corning off the highs; may see weakness in Fujikura and Furukara....

Andrew Jackson

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Insignia Financial, Arcadium, CPMC, GAPack, Haitong Sec., Shinko Electric

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Makino, Henlius, GAPack, Nec Networks, Suntec REIT, VCredit, Pentamaster

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Seven & I, CPMC, UBTech Robotics, Macromill, 2024 Best-Of

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

LY Corp (4689) Announces Takeover of Beenos (3328) - Lightish at ¥4,000 But A Done Deal

LY (4689) has signed a deal to buy out Beenos (3328). This is not terribly surprising. That LY got the top three active-ist-ish-y holders with 28%...

Travis Lundy

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Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Signals from Tech and Semi's but After-Mkt Moves Pointing Higher

​ASML's strong print boosts sentiment but weighed by NVDA restriction concerns. Corning off the highs; may see weakness in Fujikura and Furukara....

Andrew Jackson

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Insignia Financial, Arcadium, CPMC, GAPack, Haitong Sec., Shinko Electric

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Makino, Henlius, GAPack, Nec Networks, Suntec REIT, VCredit, Pentamaster

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Seven & I, CPMC, UBTech Robotics, Macromill, 2024 Best-Of

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

LY Corp (4689) Announces Takeover of Beenos (3328) - Lightish at ¥4,000 But A Done Deal

LY (4689) has signed a deal to buy out Beenos (3328). This is not terribly surprising. That LY got the top three active-ist-ish-y holders with 28%...

Travis Lundy

ASML's strong print boosts sentiment but weighed by NVDA restriction concerns. Corning off the highs; may see weakness in Fujikura and Furukara....