Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The four China-listed express companies reported divergent March volume, price trends</li>
<li>It appears March and Q126 volume growth remained soft, but ASPs mostly improved Y/Y</li>
<li>STO Express, aligned with Alibaba and CaiNiao, showed the strangest March / Q126 data</li>
</ul>


The four China-listed express companies reported divergent March volume, price trends
It appears March and Q126 volume growth remained soft, but ASPs mostly improved Y/Y
STO Express, aligned with Alibaba and CaiNiao, showed the strangest March / Q126 data


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | March and Q126 Data From Four China-Listed Firms? All Over the Map

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) / Equity Capital Markets

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) (2476 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/victory-giant-technology-huizhou-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:48083:1" rel="noopener">Victory Giant (2476 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$209.88, raising HK$20,117 million (US$2.6 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/victory-giant-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:228918" rel="noopener">Victory Giant H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/victory-giant-h-share-listing-2476-hk-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:231064" rel="noopener">Victory Giant H Share Listing (2476 HK): Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>Victory Giant's international and retail oversubscription rates were above the median of recent large AH listings. The peers have re-rated, and the AH discount remains attractive.</li>
</ul>



Victory Giant (2476 HK) priced its H Share at HK$209.88, raising HK$20,117 million (US$2.6 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
I discussed the H Share listing in Victory Giant H Share Listing: The Investment Case and Victory Giant H Share Listing (2476 HK): Valuation Insights. 
Victory Giant's international and retail oversubscription rates were above the median of recent large AH listings. The peers have re-rated, and the AH discount remains attractive.


Victory Giant H Share Listing (2476 HK): Trading Debut

Sigenergy Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigenergy-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44468:1" rel="noopener">Sigenergy Technology (6656 HK)</a> priced its IPO at HK$324.20 per share, raising gross proceeds of approximately US$562 million. The shares will begin trading on 16 April.</li>
<li>The IPO was discussed in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sigenergy-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:230084" rel="noopener">Sigenergy IPO: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sigenergy-6656-hk-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:230285" rel="noopener">Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>The peers' market sentiment has increased since the IPO launch. The retail and international subscription rates are above the median. My analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive.</li>
</ul>



Sigenergy Technology (6656 HK) priced its IPO at HK$324.20 per share, raising gross proceeds of approximately US$562 million. The shares will begin trading on 16 April.
The IPO was discussed in Sigenergy IPO: The Investment Case and Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights. 
The peers' market sentiment has increased since the IPO launch. The retail and international subscription rates are above the median. My analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive.


<ul>
<li>In FY25, for the first time, all of J &amp; T's reporting segments were profitable (Adj EBITDA)</li>
<li>Revenue growth and margin expansion both accelerated in H225 vs H125</li>
<li>Margin expansion in most segments offset lower China margins in FY25</li>
</ul>


In FY25, for the first time, all of J &amp; T's reporting segments were profitable (Adj EBITDA)
Revenue growth and margin expansion both accelerated in H225 vs H125
Margin expansion in most segments offset lower China margins in FY25


Solid FY25 Results from J & T Global Express | All Lines of Business Profitable

<ul>
<li>February numbers noisy, so we look at combined January-February change in volume</li>
<li>In the first two months of 2026, four China-listed companies' parcel volume up &lt; 8%</li>
<li>Single-Digit growth makes cost cuts tough, puts ZTO's 10%+ growth target into context</li>
</ul>


February numbers noisy, so we look at combined January-February change in volume
In the first two months of 2026, four China-listed companies' parcel volume up &lt; 8%
Single-Digit growth makes cost cuts tough, puts ZTO's 10%+ growth target into context


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Sluggish < 8% Volume Growth YTD from Four China-Listed Companies

China

S.F. Holding Co., Ltd operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides logistics, order tracking, supply chain management, and warehousing services. S.F. Holding operates worldwide.

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S.F. Holding (002352 CH)

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | March and Q126 Data From Four China-Listed Firms? All Over the Map

The four China-listed express companies reported oddly divergent numbers again in March. Overall, it appears parcel volume for this group grew at...

Tracking Traffic

Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Trading Debut

The peers' market sentiment has increased since the IPO launch. The retail and international subscription rates are above the median of large HKEx...

Arun George

Solid FY25 Results from J & T Global Express | All Lines of Business Profitable

J & T Global Express reported a solid set of FY25 results earlier this week. We admit we were surprised to see New Markets and X-Border both turn...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Sluggish < 8% Volume Growth YTD from Four China-Listed Companies

Combined January-February parcel volume grew by <8%, continuing the trend of sub-10% growth seen in Q425. Under these conditions it will be...

Tracking Traffic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | March and Q126 Data From Four China-Listed Firms? All Over the Map

The four China-listed express companies reported oddly divergent numbers again in March. Overall, it appears parcel volume for this group grew at...

Tracking Traffic

Victory Giant H Share Listing (2476 HK): Trading Debut

Victory Giant's international and retail oversubscription rates were above the median of recent large AH listings. The peers have re-rated, and the...

Arun George

Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Trading Debut

The peers' market sentiment has increased since the IPO launch. The retail and international subscription rates are above the median of large HKEx...

Arun George

Solid FY25 Results from J & T Global Express | All Lines of Business Profitable

J & T Global Express reported a solid set of FY25 results earlier this week. We admit we were surprised to see New Markets and X-Border both turn...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Sluggish < 8% Volume Growth YTD from Four China-Listed Companies

Combined January-February parcel volume grew by <8%, continuing the trend of sub-10% growth seen in Q425. Under these conditions it will be...

Tracking Traffic