Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A week ahead of trial, a defendant in massive fraud case copped a plea</li>
<li>Terms of deal include guilty plea, asset forfeiture, restitution of US$158 mn</li>
<li>US investigation continues; are other Chinese companies involved in case?</li>
</ul>


A week ahead of trial, a defendant in massive fraud case copped a plea
Terms of deal include guilty plea, asset forfeiture, restitution of US$158 mn
US investigation continues; are other Chinese companies involved in case?


Postage Fraud Case Update: Guilty Plea, Asset Forfeiture, & Restitution Set at a Whopping US$158 Mn!

Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In an updated HKEX filing posted on September 28th, Lalatech disclosed H123 financial results</li>
<li>Solid Revenue growth plus sharp expense reductions led to +28 ppt OP margin expansion</li>
<li>Is this progress sustainable, defendable? Lalatech management needs to explain gains</li>
</ul>


In an updated HKEX filing posted on September 28th, Lalatech disclosed H123 financial results
Solid Revenue growth plus sharp expense reductions led to +28 ppt OP margin expansion
Is this progress sustainable, defendable? Lalatech management needs to explain gains


Lalatech IPO: New Filing's H123 P&L Shows Impressive Growth, Unanswered Questions

<ul>
<li>Lalatech's largest segment by revenue -- Chinese intra-city on-demand freight -- features many of the attributes that are attractive to online logistics intermediaries</li>
<li>At the top of the list of red flags in its prospectus is Lalatech's company's dramatic 71% Y/Y reduction in Sales and Marketing expenses last year</li>
<li>Although Lalatech appears to be the leading platform for Chinese intra-city on-demand freight matching, the company faces 'hidden' competition from several larger groups</li>
</ul>


Lalatech's largest segment by revenue -- Chinese intra-city on-demand freight -- features many of the attributes that are attractive to online logistics intermediaries
At the top of the list of red flags in its prospectus is Lalatech's company's dramatic 71% Y/Y reduction in Sales and Marketing expenses last year
Although Lalatech appears to be the leading platform for Chinese intra-city on-demand freight matching, the company faces 'hidden' competition from several larger groups


TRACKING TRAFFIC/Lalatech IPO: Attractive Segment | 'Unbelievable' Cost Control | Hidden Competition

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 28th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$835.0 million, led by financials, consumer staples, information technology sectors, and offset by health care, communication services, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for stocks including Wuliangye, China Merchants Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 28th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$835.0 million, led by financials, consumer staples, information technology sectors, and offset by health care, communication services, materials.
We highlight flows for stocks including Wuliangye, China Merchants Bank.


Northbound Flows (Mar 28th): Wuliangye, CMB

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Headline February numbers look pretty good -- but they're misleading</li>
<li>On a combined basis, January-February data show ASPs still under pressure</li>
<li>Recent results from ZTO and J&amp;T Global have been unimpressive, in our view</li>
</ul>


Headline February numbers look pretty good -- but they're misleading
On a combined basis, January-February data show ASPs still under pressure
Recent results from ZTO and J&amp;T Global have been unimpressive, in our view


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | ASPs Still Under Pressure | Weaker X-Border Volume? | (March 2024)

China

S.F. Holding Co., Ltd operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides logistics, order tracking, supply chain management, and warehousing services. S.F. Holding operates worldwide.

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S.F. Holding (002352 CH)

Postage Fraud Case Update: Guilty Plea, Asset Forfeiture, & Restitution Set at a Whopping US$158 Mn!

A defendant in a China-US postage fraud case pled guilty, accepted US$150+ mn in asset forfeitures & restitution, and will help authorities expand...

Tracking Traffic

Lalatech IPO: New Filing's H123 P&L Shows Impressive Growth, Unanswered Questions

For us, the most urgent questions for Lalatech still revolve around its "incredible" progress on cost control and how the company will successfully...

Tracking Traffic

TRACKING TRAFFIC/Lalatech IPO: Attractive Segment | 'Unbelievable' Cost Control | Hidden Competition

Chinese intra-city freight platform Lalatech has once again filed to list its shares in Hong Kong, after an earlier filing from September 2023...

Tracking Traffic

Northbound Flows (Mar 28th): Wuliangye, CMB

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Wuliangye, China Merchants Bank.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | ASPs Still Under Pressure | Weaker X-Border Volume? | (March 2024)

On a combined basis, January-February numbers show ground parcel ASPs still falling by over 10% Y/Y. YTD, we see a clear slowdown in X-border...

Tracking Traffic

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