Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are currently 44 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal. </li>
<li>One new deal this week: Morrison &amp; Co's indicative Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group (UWL AU)</a>; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK)</a>'s pre-conditional privatisation offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9838:1" rel="noopener">Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/western-areas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15497:1" rel="noopener">Western Areas (WSA AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are currently 44 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal. 
One new deal this week: Morrison &amp; Co's indicative Offer for Uniti Group (UWL AU); and China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK)'s pre-conditional privatisation offer for Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK).
Key updates took place for: Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP), Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ), Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP), Virtus Health (VRT AU), and Western Areas (WSA AU).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Mapletree, Singapore Press, Uniti Group, Yashili, Z Energy, Virtus

Travis Lundy

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Quarz Capital objects to the proposed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a> as they claim it is damaging to MNACT unitholder interests.</li>
<li>Now they have written a letter to the Monetary Authority of Singapore asking them to Do Something to force MNACT directors to Do Something Different.
</li>
<li>I doubt it comes to anything, but activist-ish letter commentary is my bag so...</li>
</ul>


Quarz Capital objects to the proposed Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP) / Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP) as they claim it is damaging to MNACT unitholder interests.
Now they have written a letter to the Monetary Authority of Singapore asking them to Do Something to force MNACT directors to Do Something Different.

I doubt it comes to anything, but activist-ish letter commentary is my bag so...


Quarz Capital Again Objects to the MNACT/MCT Deal - This Time to MAS

<ul>
<li>In the waning hours of 2021, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a> proposed to merge to make a top 10 Asian REIT.</li>
<li>MCT shareholders and "The Market" did not like it and sent MCT units lower. MNACT holder Quarz didn't like it and complained. I wrote about all this.</li>
<li>But 6+ weeks after looking at new MCT trades as Heads I Win, Tails I Win, I revisit and see no reason to change my mind.</li>
</ul>


In the waning hours of 2021, Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP) proposed to merge to make a top 10 Asian REIT.
MCT shareholders and "The Market" did not like it and sent MCT units lower. MNACT holder Quarz didn't like it and complained. I wrote about all this.
But 6+ weeks after looking at new MCT trades as Heads I Win, Tails I Win, I revisit and see no reason to change my mind.


Mapletree Commercial Vs the World (Or at Least S-REIT World). Still Heads I Win Tails I Win

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>PropertyGuru and Bridgetown 2 announced, on 23rd Jul 2021, that they have entered into a business combination agreement which will see PropertyGuru go public in the US. </li>
<li>Both the companies will hold their respective EGMs next week and aim to complete the listing by 18th Mar 2022.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s prior listing attempt, in Australia in 2019, and the current SPAC merger. In this note, we will talk about the recent updates.</li>
</ul>


PropertyGuru and Bridgetown 2 announced, on 23rd Jul 2021, that they have entered into a business combination agreement which will see PropertyGuru go public in the US. 
Both the companies will hold their respective EGMs next week and aim to complete the listing by 18th Mar 2022.
We have looked at the company’s prior listing attempt, in Australia in 2019, and the current SPAC merger. In this note, we will talk about the recent updates.


PropertyGuru/Bridgetown 2 SPAC Listing/Merger - Peers Are Down a Lot, as the Deal Nears Completion

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

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The Straits Times Index (STI) gained more than 5 per cent in the 2022 year to date (YTD) till Feb 24, while the iEdge S-Reit Index declined close to 4 per cent during the same period amid expectations of rate hikes.

During last week's Thursday (Feb 24) session after Russia's announcement of a military operation in Ukraine, the STI and iEdge S-Reit Index dipped more than 3 per cent and close to 2 per cent respectively. Despite the decline, the STI maintained its position as one of the best performing indices globally in 2022.

Similarly, the iEdge S-Reit Index is also one of the most resilient Reit benchmarks this year, outperforming the FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index which declined more than 8 per cent in the 2022 YTD till Feb 24. 
S-REITs with positive total returns during this period include Suntec REIT (8.9 per cent), Sabana Industrial REIT (5.9 per cent), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (3.6 per cent), Far East Hospitality Trust (1.7 per cent), Keppel REIT (1.7 per cent), Ascott Residence Trust (1.7 per cent), First REIT (0.5 per cent) and ARA US Hospitality Trust (0.4 per cent), while Sasseur REIT and Daiwa House Logistics Trust returned flat for the period. 
Retail investors continued to drive fund flow activities in the S-Reits and property trusts sector, accumulating net retail inflows of S$350 million in the 2022 YTD till Feb 24, while institutional investors have seen net outflows of S$250 million for the sector.

However, during Thursday's session, the S-Reits sector garnered more than S$30 million of net inflows from institutional investors. 
S-REITs which saw the most net institutional inflows during this session include – CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (+S$14 million), Ascendas REIT (+S$6 million), Suntec REIT (+S$5 million), Mapletree Industrial Trust (+S$4 million) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (+S$3 million). 
The S-Reits' earnings season is largely complete, with optimistic outlook and improving distribution per unit (DPU) a common theme.

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust posted distributable income of S$675 million for the full year FY21, an increase of more than 80 per cent from FY20's distributable income of S$369 million. The trust remains optimistic about its outlook for 2022, noting that its portfolio valuation as at end-2021 improved 3.5 per cent year on year, signifying an improving outlook for Singapore's retail and office market.

Suntec Reit reported its full year FY21 results last month and announced a DPU of 8.666 cents, which was 17 per cent higher than its FY20 DPU. The increase in DPU was a result of higher distribution income, driven by contributions from the 2 newly acquired assets in London and higher income from Suntec City Mall.

The Reit noted that the recovery of retail business at Suntec City Mall has been encouraging with December 2021 tenant sales exceeding that of December 2019.

ARA US Hospitality Trust, which reported its full year FY21 results last week, posted distributable income of US$2.0 million. This follows from reporting no distributable income in FY20.

The trust saw continued strong recovery in the US hospitality industry in H2 2021, riding on the success of a widespread vaccination programme and the reopening of the markets across the country.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times,<a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/green-shoots-for-retail-and-hospitality-s-reits-amid-new-pandemic-phase"> </a><a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/s-reits-remain-optimistic-about-2022-growth-0">read</a><a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/green-shoots-for-retail-and-hospitality-s-reits-amid-new-pandemic-phase"> </a>the original version.

 
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    SREITs


The Straits Times Index (STI) gained more than 5 per cent in the 2022 year to date (YTD) till Feb 24, while the iEdge S-Reit Index declined close to 4 per cent during the same period amid expectations of rate hikes.

During last week's Thursday (Feb 24) session after Russia's announcement of a military operation in Ukraine, the STI and iEdge S-Reit Index dipped more than 3 per cent and close to 2 per cent respectively. Despite the decline, the STI maintained its position as one of the best performing indices globally in 2022.

Similarly, the iEdge S-Reit Index is also one of the most resilient Reit benchmarks this year, outperforming the FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index which declined more than 8 per cent in the 2022 YTD till Feb 24.  
S-REITs with positive total returns during this period include Suntec REIT (8.9 per cent), Sabana Industrial REIT (5.9 per cent), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (3.6 per cent), Far East Hospitality Trust (1.7 per cent), Keppel REIT (1.7 per cent), Ascott Residence Trust (1.7 per cent), First REIT (0.5 per cent) and ARA US Hospitality Trust (0.4 per cent), while Sasseur REIT and Daiwa House Logistics Trust returned flat for the period.  
Retail investors continued to drive fund flow activities in the S-Reits and property trusts sector, accumulating net retail inflows of S$350 million in the 2022 YTD till Feb 24, while institutional investors have seen net outflows of S$250 million for the sector.

However, during Thursday's session, the S-Reits sector garnered more than S$30 million of net inflows from institutional investors.  
S-REITs which saw the most net institutional inflows during this session include – CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (+S$14 million), Ascendas REIT (+S$6 million), Suntec REIT (+S$5 million), Mapletree Industrial Trust (+S$4 million) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (+S$3 million).  
The S-Reits' earnings season is largely complete, with optimistic outlook and improving distribution per unit (DPU) a common theme.

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust posted distributable income of S$675 million for the full year FY21, an increase of more than 80 per cent from FY20's distributable income of S$369 million. The trust remains optimistic about its outlook for 2022, noting that its portfolio valuation as at end-2021 improved 3.5 per cent year on year, signifying an improving outlook for Singapore's retail and office market.

Suntec Reit reported its full year FY21 results last month and announced a DPU of 8.666 cents, which was 17 per cent higher than its FY20 DPU. The increase in DPU was a result of higher distribution income, driven by contributions from the 2 newly acquired assets in London and higher income from Suntec City Mall.

The Reit noted that the recovery of retail business at Suntec City Mall has been encouraging with December 2021 tenant sales exceeding that of December 2019.

ARA US Hospitality Trust, which reported its full year FY21 results last week, posted distributable income of US$2.0 million. This follows from reporting no distributable income in FY20.

The trust saw continued strong recovery in the US hospitality industry in H2 2021, riding on the success of a widespread vaccination programme and the reopening of the markets across the country.   REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.

 



REIT Watch - S-Reits remain optimistic about 2022 growth

Singapore

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust operates as a real estate investment trust. The Company manages and invests in commercial properties, including logistics, industrial spaces, and office buildings. Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust serves customers in Asia.

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)

Price Gauge
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Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Mapletree, Singapore Press, Uniti Group, Yashili, Z Energy, Virtus

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Quarz Capital Again Objects to the MNACT/MCT Deal - This Time to MAS

Quarz Capital has written a new letter - this time to the MAS. I think they needed a new addressee to write the same things. I doubt it gets...

Travis Lundy

Mapletree Commercial Vs the World (Or at Least S-REIT World). Still Heads I Win Tails I Win

MCT and MNACT may merge. Shareholders on either side may decide to sink the deal. Those looking at MCT shouldn't care. It's Heads I Win Tails I Win...

Travis Lundy

PropertyGuru/Bridgetown 2 SPAC Listing/Merger - Peers Are Down a Lot, as the Deal Nears Completion

PropertyGuru and Bridgetown 2 announced, on 23rd Jul 2021, that they have entered into a business combination agreement which will see PropertyGuru...

Sumeet Singh

REIT Watch - S-Reits remain optimistic about 2022 growth

The Straits Times Index (STI) gained more than 5 per cent in the 2022 year to date (YTD) till Feb 24, while the iEdge S-Reit...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)