IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Each <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>/MNACT unitholder will receive either a scrip-only or the cash-and-scrip offer worth S$1.1949 per MNACT unit, a 7.6% premium to the last close price.</li>
<li>The proposed merger provides <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a> unitholders with meaningful geographic diversification through a DPU and NAV accretive transaction.   </li>
<li>MNACT unitholders will receive an attractive consideration in terms of P/NAV and gross exchange ratio. Both unitholders will benefit from the enlarged REIT’s higher free float and growth potential. </li>
</ul>


Each Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)/MNACT unitholder will receive either a scrip-only or the cash-and-scrip offer worth S$1.1949 per MNACT unit, a 7.6% premium to the last close price.
The proposed merger provides Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP) unitholders with meaningful geographic diversification through a DPU and NAV accretive transaction.   
MNACT unitholders will receive an attractive consideration in terms of P/NAV and gross exchange ratio. Both unitholders will benefit from the enlarged REIT’s higher free float and growth potential. 


Mapletree Commercial Trust’s Proposed Merger with Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a> announced their prospective merger on Friday. </li>
<li>The merger ratio provides an uplift to already strong recent relative performance for MAGIC holders, and strong pro-forma NAV and DPU accretion for MCT holders. </li>
<li>And it means a lot of flow. Lots and lots of flow. </li>
</ul>



Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP) announced their prospective merger on Friday. 
The merger ratio provides an uplift to already strong recent relative performance for MAGIC holders, and strong pro-forma NAV and DPU accretion for MCT holders. 
And it means a lot of flow. Lots and lots of flow. 


David Blennerhassett

NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (9432 JP)</a> sees a US$1bn selldown of shares on 29 December, due to a weird quirk in the way TOPIX and JPX Nikkei 400 are constructed and managed.</li>
<li>China's State Administration for Market Supervision is reviewing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer (1337 HK)</a>'s privatisation as a simple case. With the key regulatory pre-condition all but satisfied, the Scheme timeline will significantly shorten. </li>
<li>The trade is to be long the back end of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>'s Tender Offer. BUY Shinsei Bank shares - outright, and vs large Japanese banks with higher PBRs. </li>
</ul>



NTT (9432 JP) sees a US$1bn selldown of shares on 29 December, due to a weird quirk in the way TOPIX and JPX Nikkei 400 are constructed and managed.
China's State Administration for Market Supervision is reviewing Razer (1337 HK)'s privatisation as a simple case. With the key regulatory pre-condition all but satisfied, the Scheme timeline will significantly shorten. 
The trade is to be long the back end of Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)'s Tender Offer. BUY Shinsei Bank shares - outright, and vs large Japanese banks with higher PBRs. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: NTT, Razer, Shinsei Bank, Evergrande, Bank of Kyoto, Nippon Express

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

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 <div class='content-caption'>Top 10 performing SREITs since Nov 1, 2021</div>
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Global Reit markets dipped over the last 3 sessions of November, as investors grappled with the unknowns of the Covid Omicron variant.

Similarly, the 3 sessions saw the iEdge S-Reit Index shave off 3.8 per cent in total returns, ending November with a 2.4 per cent decline. 
The top five performers over the month of November were firstly, S-REITs with healthcare assets – First REIT (12.2 per cent in total returns) and ParkwayLife REIT (6.6 per cent) – and secondly, S-REITs with assets located in China – Sasseur REIT (4.7 per cent), EC World REIT (3.1 per cent) and BHG Retail REIT (2.9 per cent). 
As uncertainty over the Omicron variant eased gradually, the iEdge S-Reit Index regained 1.2 per cent over the first 7 sessions of December, bringing its total returns since the start of November to a decline of 1.2 per cent.

S-Reits with healthcare and China-based assets continued to be the top performers over the extended period from the start of November to Dec 9, 2021. 
These S-REITs were: First REIT (18.0 per cent in total returns), BHG Retail REIT (15.4 per cent), ParkwayLife REIT (8.9 per cent), Sasseur REIT (4.7 per cent) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (4.5 per cent). 
First Reit, in its third quarter business update ended Sep 30, 2021, noted that it continued to see performance stabilising, following the restructuring of the master lease agreements for 14 Indonesia hospitals in January 2021 and its recapitalisation efforts in Q12021.

Last week, the trust also unveiled its 2.0 Growth Strategy, which includes diversifying into developed markets, strengthening of capital structure, reshaping of portfolio for capital-efficient growth as well as a pivoting to ride megatrends like ESG (environmental, social and governance). 
In line with its 2.0 Growth Strategy, First REIT announced the proposed acquisition of 12 nursing homes in Japan from its sponsor, OUE Lippo Healthcare for JPY 24.2 billion. 
Post-acquisition, First Reit will increase its exposure to developed markets, from 3.6 per cent of its asset value as at H12021, to 27.1 per cent on a pro forma basis.

Sasseur Reit declared distribution per unit (DPU) of 1.831 Singapore cents for Q32021, an increase of 13.4 per cent year on year.

The Reit manager noted that despite strict government regulations, the Reit's outlet sales grew 12.0 per cent quarter on quarter to 996.6 million yuan.

For the 9-month period ended Sep 30, 2021, Sasseur Reit's four outlets registered total sales of 3.02 billion yuan, representing an increase of 21.8 per cent compared to a year ago.

Similarly, EC World Reit announced higher DPU of 1.662 Singapore cents for Q32021, an increase of 19.7 per cent year on year.

Four out of EC World Reit's portfolio of 8 properties cater to the e-commerce logistics sector. The occupancy rate of its Wuhan Meiluote property increased from 79.4 per cent to 84.5 per cent, as it secured a 3-month lease starting Oct 1, 2021, in anticipation of the annual Singles Day sales.

As at Oct 31, 2021, EC World Reit's portfolio occupancy is 99.2 per cent.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times,<a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/pure-play-data-centre-digital-core-reit-to-start-trading-on-monday"> </a><a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/s-reits-with-healthcare-and-china-assets-outshine-in-november">read </a>the original version.
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    Top 10 performing SREITs since Nov 1, 2021


Global Reit markets dipped over the last 3 sessions of November, as investors grappled with the unknowns of the Covid Omicron variant.

Similarly, the 3 sessions saw the iEdge S-Reit Index shave off 3.8 per cent in total returns, ending November with a 2.4 per cent decline.  
The top five performers over the month of November were firstly, S-REITs with healthcare assets – First REIT (12.2 per cent in total returns) and ParkwayLife REIT (6.6 per cent) – and secondly, S-REITs with assets located in China – Sasseur REIT (4.7 per cent), EC World REIT (3.1 per cent) and BHG Retail REIT (2.9 per cent).  
As uncertainty over the Omicron variant eased gradually, the iEdge S-Reit Index regained 1.2 per cent over the first 7 sessions of December, bringing its total returns since the start of November to a decline of 1.2 per cent.

S-Reits with healthcare and China-based assets continued to be the top performers over the extended period from the start of November to Dec 9, 2021.  
These S-REITs were: First REIT (18.0 per cent in total returns), BHG Retail REIT (15.4 per cent), ParkwayLife REIT (8.9 per cent), Sasseur REIT (4.7 per cent) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (4.5 per cent).  
First Reit, in its third quarter business update ended Sep 30, 2021, noted that it continued to see performance stabilising, following the restructuring of the master lease agreements for 14 Indonesia hospitals in January 2021 and its recapitalisation efforts in Q12021.

Last week, the trust also unveiled its 2.0 Growth Strategy, which includes diversifying into developed markets, strengthening of capital structure, reshaping of portfolio for capital-efficient growth as well as a pivoting to ride megatrends like ESG (environmental, social and governance).  
In line with its 2.0 Growth Strategy, First REIT announced the proposed acquisition of 12 nursing homes in Japan from its sponsor, OUE Lippo Healthcare for JPY 24.2 billion.  
Post-acquisition, First Reit will increase its exposure to developed markets, from 3.6 per cent of its asset value as at H12021, to 27.1 per cent on a pro forma basis.

Sasseur Reit declared distribution per unit (DPU) of 1.831 Singapore cents for Q32021, an increase of 13.4 per cent year on year.

The Reit manager noted that despite strict government regulations, the Reit's outlet sales grew 12.0 per cent quarter on quarter to 996.6 million yuan.

For the 9-month period ended Sep 30, 2021, Sasseur Reit's four outlets registered total sales of 3.02 billion yuan, representing an increase of 21.8 per cent compared to a year ago.

Similarly, EC World Reit announced higher DPU of 1.662 Singapore cents for Q32021, an increase of 19.7 per cent year on year.

Four out of EC World Reit's portfolio of 8 properties cater to the e-commerce logistics sector. The occupancy rate of its Wuhan Meiluote property increased from 79.4 per cent to 84.5 per cent, as it secured a 3-month lease starting Oct 1, 2021, in anticipation of the annual Singles Day sales.

As at Oct 31, 2021, EC World Reit's portfolio occupancy is 99.2 per cent.   REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - S-Reits with healthcare and China assets outshine in November

Equity Capital Markets

Digital Core REIT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-core-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35145:1" rel="noopener">Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP)</a> is the exclusive S-REIT sponsored by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-realty-trust-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13149:1" rel="noopener">Digital Realty Trust (DLR US)</a>. It is seeking to raise US$600 million at US$0.88 per unit. </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/digital-core-reit-ipo-reaching-for-the-clouds" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:61737" rel="noopener">Digital Core REIT IPO: Reaching for the Clouds</a>, we outlined its attractive value proposition.    </li>
<li>Cornerstones such as Blackrock, Fidelity, JP Morgan AM account for 61% of the offer. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price of $0.88 per unit is reasonable.</li>
</ul>



Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP) is the exclusive S-REIT sponsored by Digital Realty Trust (DLR US). It is seeking to raise US$600 million at US$0.88 per unit. 
In Digital Core REIT IPO: Reaching for the Clouds, we outlined its attractive value proposition.    
Cornerstones such as Blackrock, Fidelity, JP Morgan AM account for 61% of the offer. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price of $0.88 per unit is reasonable.


Digital Core REIT IPO: Valuation Insights

Singapore

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust operates as a real estate investment trust. The Company manages and invests in commercial properties, including logistics, industrial spaces, and office buildings. Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust serves customers in Asia.

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)

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Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)

Mapletree Commercial Trust’s Proposed Merger with Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust

The deal terms are attractive for MNACT unitholders. The deal is DPU/NAV accretive for MCT unitholders. The merger is likely to get approval from...

Arun George

Mapletree Mega-Merger Means MCT Markup

The proposed Mapletree Commercial Trust and Mapletree North Asian Commercial Trust combination creates a Top 10 Asian REIT and one of Singapore's...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: NTT, Razer, Shinsei Bank, Evergrande, Bank of Kyoto, Nippon Express

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

REIT Watch - S-Reits with healthcare and China assets outshine in November

Global Reit markets dipped over the last 3 sessions of November, as investors grappled with the unknowns of the Covid Omicron...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Digital Core REIT IPO: Valuation Insights

Digital Core REIT is seeking to raise US$600 million at US$0.88 per unit. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price of $0.88 per unit is...

Arun George

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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