SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The iEdge S-REIT index delivered 10.3% total returns since end-June 2025, with all 30 constituents in the black QTD.</li><li>OUE REIT, CICT, Lendlease Global REIT, and Keppel REIT reported YTD total returns between 23.5% to 30.2% as of Sept 12.</li><li>Retail investors net bought S-REITs with S$600 million inflow YTD, while institutions had S$800 million net outflows.</li></ul>

The iEdge S-REIT index delivered 10.3% total returns since end-June 2025, with all 30 constituents in the black QTD.OUE REIT, CICT, Lendlease Global REIT, and Keppel REIT reported YTD total returns between 23.5% to 30.2% as of Sept 12.Retail investors net bought S-REITs with S$600 million inflow YTD, while institutions had S$800 million net outflows.

REIT Watch - S-REITs deliver double-digit total return in Q3 as investors await rate cuts

Lendlease Global Commercial REIT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>CICT's DPU rose 3.5% to 5.62 cents, with leverage and debt costs reduced to 37.9% and 3.4%. </li><li>FCT's committed occupancy reached 99.9%, with tenant sales up 4.4% and leverage increased to 40.4%. </li><li>Suntec REIT's Gross Revenue and NPI grew 3.3% and 5.6%, with DPU increasing 3.7% to 3.155 cents.</li></ul>

CICT's DPU rose 3.5% to 5.62 cents, with leverage and debt costs reduced to 37.9% and 3.4%.  FCT's committed occupancy reached 99.9%, with tenant sales up 4.4% and leverage increased to 40.4%.  Suntec REIT's Gross Revenue and NPI grew 3.3% and 5.6%, with DPU increasing 3.7% to 3.155 cents.

REIT Watch - Retail S-REITs see lower cost of debt and positive rental reversions as retail sales improve

Invest, Trade and Save in Singapore, Syfe

Syfe

Invest, Trade and Save in Singapore

Syfe is an investment platform offering Managed Portfolios, Brokerage services, and Cash Management solutions to help people build wealth for a better future.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The interest rate cycle in Singapore typically correlates with the Fed.  According to June’s FOMC Summary of Economic Projections, based on median estimates, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 50bps (in two rate cuts) for the rest of 2025, with 25bps more (in one rate cut) in 2026.  </li><li>Based on latest futures from CME Group, the market is pricing in a 89% probability of rate cut during the Fed's next meeting in September.</li><li>The current easing cycle is a clear sector tailwind. The steep decline in 3M Singapore’s SORA from 3.03% in January to 1.85% in August, will benefit the sector in multiple perspectives: reduced funding cost, more stable cap rates to support asset valuations, as well as more attractive REIT valuation on the back of yield spreads.</li></ul>

The interest rate cycle in Singapore typically correlates with the Fed.  According to June’s FOMC Summary of Economic Projections, based on median estimates, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 50bps (in two rate cuts) for the rest of 2025, with 25bps more (in one rate cut) in 2026.  Based on latest futures from CME Group, the market is pricing in a 89% probability of rate cut during the Fed's next meeting in September.The current easing cycle is a clear sector tailwind. The steep decline in 3M Singapore’s SORA from 3.03% in January to 1.85% in August, will benefit the sector in multiple perspectives: reduced funding cost, more stable cap rates to support asset valuations, as well as more attractive REIT valuation on the back of yield spreads.

Singapore Office REITs: Interest Rate Easing Cycle Provides Earnings and DPU Upside

<ul><li>Keppel REIT reported a 12.3% positive rental reversion and a 3.1% increase in Singapore portfolio NPI to S$131.7 million.</li><li>Suntec REIT saw a 3.7% DPU growth, with a 10% positive rental reversion and NPI growth in its Singapore portfolio.</li><li>OUE REIT's core DPU increased by 11.4% amid declining interest rates, with a 9.1% rental reversion for office renewals.</li></ul>

Keppel REIT reported a 12.3% positive rental reversion and a 3.1% increase in Singapore portfolio NPI to S$131.7 million.Suntec REIT saw a 3.7% DPU growth, with a 10% positive rental reversion and NPI growth in its Singapore portfolio.OUE REIT's core DPU increased by 11.4% amid declining interest rates, with a 9.1% rental reversion for office renewals.

REIT Watch - Singapore-Listed Office REITs deliver resilient 1H 2025 performance

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-dc-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45414:1" rel="noopener">NTT DC REIT (NTTDCR SP)</a> is the exclusive S-REIT vehicle sponsored by NTT Group. It has raised US$773 million at the offer price of US$1.00 per unit.   </li>
<li>I discussed the listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ntt-dc-reit-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:192362" rel="noopener">NTT DC REIT IPO: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ntt-dc-reit-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:192548" rel="noopener">NTT DC REIT IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>NTT DC REIT has the third-highest international oversubscription rates among REIT SGX listings since 2020. The IPO price is attractive in comparison to peers' multiples and yields.</li>
</ul>



NTT DC REIT (NTTDCR SP) is the exclusive S-REIT vehicle sponsored by NTT Group. It has raised US$773 million at the offer price of US$1.00 per unit.   
I discussed the listing in NTT DC REIT IPO: The Investment Case and NTT DC REIT IPO: Valuation Insights. 
NTT DC REIT has the third-highest international oversubscription rates among REIT SGX listings since 2020. The IPO price is attractive in comparison to peers' multiples and yields.


Singapore

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust is a Singapore-focused real estate investment trust. The Trust invests on a long-term basis, directly or indirectly, in a diversified portfolio of income-producing real estate used primarily for office and/or retail purposes, whether wholly or partially, as well as real estate-related assets.

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MCT SP)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MCT SP)

REIT Watch - S-REITs deliver double-digit total return in Q3 as investors await rate cuts

The iEdge S-REIT index delivered 10.3% total returns since end-June 2025, with all 30 constituents in the black QTD. OUE REIT, CICT, Lendlease...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

REIT Watch - Retail S-REITs see lower cost of debt and positive rental reversions as retail sales improve

CICT's DPU rose 3.5% to 5.62 cents, with leverage and debt costs reduced to 37.9% and 3.4%. FCT's committed occupancy reached 99.9%, with tenant...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Office REITs: Interest Rate Easing Cycle Provides Earnings and DPU Upside

The interest rate cycle in Singapore typically correlates with the Fed. According to June’s FOMC Summary of Economic Projections, based on median...

Syfe

REIT Watch - Singapore-Listed Office REITs deliver resilient 1H 2025 performance

Keppel REIT reported a 12.3% positive rental reversion and a 3.1% increase in Singapore portfolio NPI to S$131.7 million. Suntec REIT saw a 3.7%...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

NTT DC REIT IPO: Trading Debut

NTT DC REIT will list on Monday, July 14. NTT DC REIT has the third-highest international oversubscription rates among REIT SGX listings since...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)