SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>S-Reits with retail assets in Singapore reported strong committed occupancy and positive rental reversions, driven by tourism recovery.</li><li>Frasers Centrepoint Trust, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, and Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust reported occupancy above 99% and rental growth.</li><li>CBRE and DBS Group Research anticipate continued strong leasing sentiment and retail rent growth in Singapore through 2025.</li></ul>

S-Reits with retail assets in Singapore reported strong committed occupancy and positive rental reversions, driven by tourism recovery.Frasers Centrepoint Trust, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, and Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust reported occupancy above 99% and rental growth.CBRE and DBS Group Research anticipate continued strong leasing sentiment and retail rent growth in Singapore through 2025.

REIT Watch – Occupancy remains high for S-Reits’ Singapore retail assets

<ul><li>Keppel REIT's FY2024 property income and NPI increased by 12.2% and 10.7% year-on-year, with a 13.2% rental reversion.</li><li>MPACT's 3Q FY24/25 gross revenue and NPI decreased by 7.4% and 8.5% year-on-year, with a 9.1% DPU dip.</li><li>OUE REIT's FY2024 revenue grew 3.7% year-on-year, with a 94.6% occupancy rate and 10.7% rent reversion.</li></ul>

Keppel REIT's FY2024 property income and NPI increased by 12.2% and 10.7% year-on-year, with a 13.2% rental reversion.MPACT's 3Q FY24/25 gross revenue and NPI decreased by 7.4% and 8.5% year-on-year, with a 9.1% DPU dip.OUE REIT's FY2024 revenue grew 3.7% year-on-year, with a 94.6% occupancy rate and 10.7% rent reversion.

REIT Watch – Singapore-based Office S-REITs report stronger operational performance

<ul><li>Over the five trading sessions from Nov 1 to 7, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, resulting in a net institutional outflow of S$141 million.</li><li>Stocks that led the net institutional outflow over those five sessions were OCBC, Capitaland Ascendas Reit, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust, Mapletree Industrial Trust, UOB, Frasers Centrepoint Trust, Suntec Reit, Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust and Keppel.</li><li>Notably, in the November 2024 rebalance, Singapore stands out as the only Asia developed market with a net increase in MSCI Standard Index constituents.</li></ul>

Over the five trading sessions from Nov 1 to 7, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, resulting in a net institutional outflow of S$141 million.Stocks that led the net institutional outflow over those five sessions were OCBC, Capitaland Ascendas Reit, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust, Mapletree Industrial Trust, UOB, Frasers Centrepoint Trust, Suntec Reit, Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust and Keppel.Notably, in the November 2024 rebalance, Singapore stands out as the only Asia developed market with a net increase in MSCI Standard Index constituents.

SIA Engineering resumes buybacks after reporting H1 FY2025 results

<ul><li>Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Continues Buyback Pace Over the four trading sessions from Oct 25 to Oct 30, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, resulting in a net institutional outflow of S$365 million.</li><li>The stocks that led the net institutional outflow over these four sessions were DBS, UOB, OCBC, Sembcorp Industries, Singapore Technologies (ST) Engineering, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust, CapitaLand Investment, Seatrium, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust and Mapletree Logistics Trust.</li></ul>

Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Continues Buyback Pace Over the four trading sessions from Oct 25 to Oct 30, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, resulting in a net institutional outflow of S$365 million.The stocks that led the net institutional outflow over these four sessions were DBS, UOB, OCBC, Sembcorp Industries, Singapore Technologies (ST) Engineering, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust, CapitaLand Investment, Seatrium, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust and Mapletree Logistics Trust.

Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Continues Buyback Pace

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Major indexes in the three largest global equity markets (U.S., Europe, Japan) all remain below critical resistances of 5783 on SPX, 5000-5120 on EURO STOXX 50, and 2740-2820 on TOPIX</li>
<li>Additionally, broad global MSCI indexes (local currency) including the ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., and EAFE all remain at/below resistance from their YTD highs; reduce exposure or shift to defensives.</li>
<li>In late-July we discussed expectations for a 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation period on MSCI ACWI. We believe it seems likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months</li>
</ul>


Major indexes in the three largest global equity markets (U.S., Europe, Japan) all remain below critical resistances of 5783 on SPX, 5000-5120 on EURO STOXX 50, and 2740-2820 on TOPIX
Additionally, broad global MSCI indexes (local currency) including the ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., and EAFE all remain at/below resistance from their YTD highs; reduce exposure or shift to defensives.
In late-July we discussed expectations for a 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation period on MSCI ACWI. We believe it seems likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months


U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives

Singapore

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust is a Singapore-focused real estate investment trust. The Trust invests on a long-term basis, directly or indirectly, in a diversified portfolio of income-producing real estate used primarily for office and/or retail purposes, whether wholly or partially, as well as real estate-related assets.

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MCT SP)

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Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MCT SP)

REIT Watch – Occupancy remains high for S-Reits’ Singapore retail assets

S-Reits with retail assets in Singapore reported strong committed occupancy and positive rental reversions, driven by tourism recovery. Frasers...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

REIT Watch – Singapore-based Office S-REITs report stronger operational performance

Keppel REIT's FY2024 property income and NPI increased by 12.2% and 10.7% year-on-year, with a 13.2% rental reversion. MPACT's 3Q FY24/25 gross...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

SIA Engineering resumes buybacks after reporting H1 FY2025 results

Over the five trading sessions from Nov 1 to 7, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, resulting in a net institutional outflow of...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Continues Buyback Pace

Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Continues Buyback Pace Over the four trading sessions from Oct 25 to Oct 30, institutions were net sellers of...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives

U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives. Actionable Themes: Real Estate, Utilities, Telecommunications, Energy,...

Vermilion Research

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