Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to recommend a tactical overweight to defensives (Staples, Health Care, and Utilities) as the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) tests the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range at $93.</li>
<li>We also remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, where a lot more than just defensives continue to outperform.</li>
<li>Actionable Themes: Consumer Discretionary and Defensives, Mainly in Japan and Europe</li>
</ul>


We continue to recommend a tactical overweight to defensives (Staples, Health Care, and Utilities) as the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) tests the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range at $93.
We also remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, where a lot more than just defensives continue to outperform.
Actionable Themes: Consumer Discretionary and Defensives, Mainly in Japan and Europe


Remain Overweight Japan, Europe, & India; Buys in Discretionary and Defensives W/ Japan/Europe Focus

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Dr Agarwal's Health Care Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

Dr Agarwal's Health Care Ltd (8140044Z IN)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-agarwal-s-health-care-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43984:1" rel="noopener">Dr Agarwal's Health Care Ltd (8140044Z IN)</a> raised around US$350m in its India IPO in Jan 2025. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Dr Agarwal’s Health Care is a healthcare/hospital chain in India providing eyecare services, including surgeries; consultations, diagnoses, non-surgical treatments; and sells opticals, contact lens, accessories and eyecare related pharmaceutical products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Dr Agarwal's Health Care Ltd (8140044Z IN) raised around US$350m in its India IPO in Jan 2025. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Dr Agarwal’s Health Care is a healthcare/hospital chain in India providing eyecare services, including surgeries; consultations, diagnoses, non-surgical treatments; and sells opticals, contact lens, accessories and eyecare related pharmaceutical products.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Dr Agarwal’s Health Care IPO Lockup - US$725m Lockup Release; PE Investors May Look to Cash Out

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>As we are heading into 2023, let us look back on the performance of some of our global healthcare stocks recommended throughout 2022.</li>
<li>Four stocks on which I am bullish, generated more than 50% return since their recommendations. 10 stocks on which I am bearish plunged more than 20%.</li>
<li>For 2023, investors should continue to focus on established healthcare companies, having strong and flexible balance sheet with muti-year revenue visibility.</li>
</ul>


As we are heading into 2023, let us look back on the performance of some of our global healthcare stocks recommended throughout 2022.
Four stocks on which I am bullish, generated more than 50% return since their recommendations. 10 stocks on which I am bearish plunged more than 20%.
For 2023, investors should continue to focus on established healthcare companies, having strong and flexible balance sheet with muti-year revenue visibility.


2022 in Rear Mirror View: Top Performers From My Global Healthcare Coverage Universe

India focused: IPO, special situations, Stylus Holdings

Himanshu Dugar

India focused: IPO, special situations

Stylus Holdings

Stylus Holdings is a buy-side equity research firm. We offer bottom-up investment ideas as well as provide on demand equity research and portfolio tracking. 
At Stylus, our focus is to identify market dislocations that can generate 20+% IRR with a reasonable margin of safety. As part of our research process, we do a deep dive into the fundamentals of the company, evaluate their competitive positioning and assess their valuation.
Our investment team is led by Himanshu Dugar. Himanshu is a Chartered Accountant and a CFA charter holder. He has 10+ years of active experience in the stock market with stints at CRISIL Research, a S&P Global copmany and Miras Investments, a single family office based in Dubai.

Equity Research Firm

Event-Driven

Manipal Health Enterprises Ltd / Event-Driven

Manipal Health Enterprises Ltd (1217834D IN)

<ul>
<li>Manipal Health Enterprises operates 49 hospitals with 13,037 licensed beds across 14 states, generating nearly ₹11,000 crore in revenue via aggressive acquisitions and brownfield expansion opportunities.;</li>
<li>Leading in CONGO-R specialties, Manipal boasts high ARPOB (₹66,145) and low ALOS (2.8 days), backed by lean opex, high EBITDA per employee, and strong institutional governance.</li>
<li>Priced at ₹560–590 (FY26 EV/EBITDA 30.5x), the IPO offers limited listing gains. Long-term upside hinges on brownfield bed operationalization, doctor retention, and navigating Metro overcapacity.</li>
</ul>


Manipal Health Enterprises operates 49 hospitals with 13,037 licensed beds across 14 states, generating nearly ₹11,000 crore in revenue via aggressive acquisitions and brownfield expansion opportunities.;
Leading in CONGO-R specialties, Manipal boasts high ARPOB (₹66,145) and low ALOS (2.8 days), backed by lean opex, high EBITDA per employee, and strong institutional governance.
Priced at ₹560–590 (FY26 EV/EBITDA 30.5x), the IPO offers limited listing gains. Long-term upside hinges on brownfield bed operationalization, doctor retention, and navigating Metro overcapacity.


Manipal Health IPO: Skip the Listing, Buy the Dips?

Manipal Health Enterprises Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Manipal Health will launch its India IPO on July 29. The IPO consists of fresh issue of INR80B (~$829M) and OFS of up to 22M shares aggregating to INR13B.</li>
<li>The IPO price band is set at INR560 to INR590 per share. The IPO subscription will close on July 31, with expected listing on August 5.</li>
<li>Manipal Health proposes to utilize the net proceeds mainly for repayment/ prepayment of certain outstanding borrowings. As of May 31, 2026, the company had outstanding borrowings of INR112B.</li>
</ul>


Manipal Health will launch its India IPO on July 29. The IPO consists of fresh issue of INR80B (~$829M) and OFS of up to 22M shares aggregating to INR13B.
The IPO price band is set at INR560 to INR590 per share. The IPO subscription will close on July 31, with expected listing on August 5.
Manipal Health proposes to utilize the net proceeds mainly for repayment/ prepayment of certain outstanding borrowings. As of May 31, 2026, the company had outstanding borrowings of INR112B.


Manipal Health IPO: Poised for Long-Term Growth with Massive Scale and Several Margin Levers

India

Max Healthcare Institute Limited is a leading Indian for-profit private hospital chain that operates 21 healthcare facilities with over 6,000 beds across North India, including Delhi NCR, Haryana, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh, and Odisha. The company provides a wide range of medical and healthcare services across more than 30 specialties, including oncology, cardiac sciences, neurosciences, and orthopedics. Additionally, it offers diagnostic services through Max Lab and home healthcare services via Max@Home. Headquartered in New Delhi, India, the company was founded in 2001.

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Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)

Remain Overweight Japan, Europe, & India; Buys in Discretionary and Defensives W/ Japan/Europe Focus

We continue to recommend a tactical overweight to defensives as $ACWI tests the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range at $93. Remain...

Vermilion Research

Dr Agarwal’s Health Care IPO Lockup - US$725m Lockup Release; PE Investors May Look to Cash Out

TPG and Temasek are selling part of their stakes , around 11% of Dr Agarwal Health Care's existing share capital, to raise around US$183m, at a...

Akshat Shah

2022 in Rear Mirror View: Top Performers From My Global Healthcare Coverage Universe

From my coverage universe, two Taiwanese stocks generated 59% and 71% returns in nearly six months. New product launch and geography expansion are...

Tina Banerjee

Manipal Health IPO: Skip the Listing, Buy the Dips?

Manipal Health Enterprises is a leading hospital operator with strong financials and growth potential, but the IPO may not offer immediate gains...

Himanshu Dugar

Manipal Health IPO: Poised for Long-Term Growth with Massive Scale and Several Margin Levers

Manipal Health will launch its India IPO on July 29. The IPO price band is set at INR560 to INR590 per share. The IPO subscription will close on...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Remain Overweight Japan, Europe, & India; Buys in Discretionary and Defensives W/ Japan/Europe Focus

We continue to recommend a tactical overweight to defensives as $ACWI tests the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range at $93. Remain...

Vermilion Research

Dr Agarwal’s Health Care IPO Lockup - US$725m Lockup Release; PE Investors May Look to Cash Out

TPG and Temasek are selling part of their stakes , around 11% of Dr Agarwal Health Care's existing share capital, to raise around US$183m, at a...

Akshat Shah

2022 in Rear Mirror View: Top Performers From My Global Healthcare Coverage Universe

From my coverage universe, two Taiwanese stocks generated 59% and 71% returns in nearly six months. New product launch and geography expansion are...

Tina Banerjee

Manipal Health IPO: Skip the Listing, Buy the Dips?

​Manipal Health Enterprises is a leading hospital operator with strong financials and growth potential, but the IPO may not offer immediate gains...

Himanshu Dugar

Manipal Health IPO: Poised for Long-Term Growth with Massive Scale and Several Margin Levers

Manipal Health will launch its India IPO on July 29. The IPO price band is set at INR560 to INR590 per share. The IPO subscription will close on...

Tina Banerjee

Manipal Health Enterprises is a leading hospital operator with strong financials and growth potential, but the IPO may not offer immediate gains...