Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Apollo Hospitals Enterprise / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apollo-hospitals-enterprise" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:880:1" rel="noopener">Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN)</a> reported strong Q1FY25 result, with 15% revenue growth and a massive 83% jump in net profit. EBITDA margin improved to 13.3% (Q1FY24: 13.0%).</li>
<li>Sequential improvement is expected in Q2 and Q3. The company believes ARPOB growth will improve over the next few quarters with stronger growth in surgical volume and better case mix.</li>
<li>The company believes enhanced volume growth, improvement in case and payer mix, and a focus on cost optimization will drive margin expansion by 100bps over the next 3–4 quarters.</li>
</ul>



Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN) reported strong Q1FY25 result, with 15% revenue growth and a massive 83% jump in net profit. EBITDA margin improved to 13.3% (Q1FY24: 13.0%).
Sequential improvement is expected in Q2 and Q3. The company believes ARPOB growth will improve over the next few quarters with stronger growth in surgical volume and better case mix.
The company believes enhanced volume growth, improvement in case and payer mix, and a focus on cost optimization will drive margin expansion by 100bps over the next 3–4 quarters.


Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN): Upside Momentum to Continue on Promising Business Outlook

Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumrungrad-hospital-pub-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:883:1" rel="noopener">Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB)</a> has reported mixed performance in 2Q24, with revenue growing 3% YoY to THB6,331M. However, bottomline growth outpaced the revenue growth.</li>
<li>We are cautiously optimistic about the future growth prospect of the company as well as valuation multiple expansion prospect due to intensifying competition in attracting international patients.</li>
<li>In recent times, revenue contribution from international patients has not changed much and is hovering around a range of 53–55%, significantly lower than pre-COVID time’s range of 64–67%.</li>
</ul>



Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB) has reported mixed performance in 2Q24, with revenue growing 3% YoY to THB6,331M. However, bottomline growth outpaced the revenue growth.
We are cautiously optimistic about the future growth prospect of the company as well as valuation multiple expansion prospect due to intensifying competition in attracting international patients.
In recent times, revenue contribution from international patients has not changed much and is hovering around a range of 53–55%, significantly lower than pre-COVID time’s range of 64–67%.


Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB): Cautiously Optimistic on Growth Prospect Amid Intensifying Competition

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our long-term bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. With that said, we believe a 1-3-month pullback has likely begun.</li>
<li>Supports to watch are at $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41-42 on MSCI EM (EEM-US), and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.</li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 is violating its 20-day MA, Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking below 4884, and Japan's TOPIX appears to be staging a false breakout at the 2800-2815 level</li>
</ul>


Our long-term bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. With that said, we believe a 1-3-month pullback has likely begun.
Supports to watch are at $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41-42 on MSCI EM (EEM-US), and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.
The S&amp;P 500 is violating its 20-day MA, Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking below 4884, and Japan's TOPIX appears to be staging a false breakout at the 2800-2815 level


Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

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Max Healthcare Institute / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We downgrade Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH) to REDUCE (from ADD earlier) with a TP of INR 880, based on a 29x blended Q1FY27E EV/EBITDA (vs FY26E EV/E), as we believe that the strong run-up in the stock price (up 28%/51% in last 6/12 months) factors most of the growth triggers</li><li>The valuation has turned rich (trades at 39/31/27x on FY25/26/27E EV/E vs its average of ~26x) and provides limited upside</li><li>While its capex plan is largely on track (to add 3,000+ bed capacity over FY25-27 with capex outlay of ~INR 47 bn) to support long-term growth, near-term concerns exist on limited headroom for volume growth for its existing hospital network (occupancy at 75-76%) and moderate ARPOB growth as it is already at a higher level of INR 76,000+</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We downgrade Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH) to REDUCE (from ADD earlier) with a TP of INR 880, based on a 29x blended Q1FY27E EV/EBITDA (vs FY26E EV/E), as we believe that the strong run-up in the stock price (up 28%/51% in last 6/12 months) factors most of the growth triggersThe valuation has turned rich (trades at 39/31/27x on FY25/26/27E EV/E vs its average of ~26x) and provides limited upsideWhile its capex plan is largely on track (to add 3,000+ bed capacity over FY25-27 with capex outlay of ~INR 47 bn) to support long-term growth, near-term concerns exist on limited headroom for volume growth for its existing hospital network (occupancy at 75-76%) and moderate ARPOB growth as it is already at a higher level of INR 76,000+Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Max Healthcare Institute: Growth Priced-In, Valuation Rich, Time for Breather.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumrungrad-hospital-pub-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:883:1" rel="noopener">Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB)</a> reported strong 1Q24 results, with revenue growing 8% YoY to THB6,576M, EBITDA climbing 22% to THB2,676M, and net profit increasing 25% to THB1,985M.</li>
<li>International patients revenue increased 6% YoY. Slow growth in the revenue from international patients can be attributable to high base, as it grew by a whopping 105% YoY in 1Q23.</li>
<li>With tight control on cost, the company has reported record high margins in 1Q24, with gross, EBITDA, and net margin reaching 51.7%, 40.7%, and 30.2%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB) reported strong 1Q24 results, with revenue growing 8% YoY to THB6,576M, EBITDA climbing 22% to THB2,676M, and net profit increasing 25% to THB1,985M.
International patients revenue increased 6% YoY. Slow growth in the revenue from international patients can be attributable to high base, as it grew by a whopping 105% YoY in 1Q23.
With tight control on cost, the company has reported record high margins in 1Q24, with gross, EBITDA, and net margin reaching 51.7%, 40.7%, and 30.2%, respectively.


Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB): Record High Margins in 1Q24; Reasonable Growth in Foreign Patients

India

Max Healthcare Institute Limited operates a chain of hospitals. The Hospital offers urology, oncology, orthopaedics, eye care, dermatology, lung transplant, nutrition and dietetics, dental care, ganstroenterology, and rehabilitation services. Max Healthcare Institute serves patients in India.

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Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)

Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN): Upside Momentum to Continue on Promising Business Outlook

Apollo Hospitals expects sequential improvement in ARPOB with stronger growth in surgical volume and better case mix. The company targets 100bps...

Tina Banerjee

Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB): Cautiously Optimistic on Growth Prospect Amid Intensifying Competition

Bumrungrad reported mixed 2Q24 performance with revenue up 3% YoY, but bottomline growth outpaced revenue. International patient revenue...

Tina Banerjee

Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

Pullback Underway $ACWI $SPX; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensive Sectors is a Reason for Caution. Buys in Health Care,...

Vermilion Research

Max Healthcare Institute: Growth Priced-In, Valuation Rich, Time for Breather.

We downgrade Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH) to REDUCE (from ADD earlier) with a TP of INR 880, based on a 29x blended Q1FY27E EV/EBITDA (vs FY26E EV/E)

HDFC Securities

Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB): Record High Margins in 1Q24; Reasonable Growth in Foreign Patients

With tight cost control, Bumrungrad reported record high margins in 1Q24, with gross, EBITDA, and net margin reaching 51.7%, 40.7%, and 30.2%,...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN): Upside Momentum to Continue on Promising Business Outlook

​Apollo Hospitals expects sequential improvement in ARPOB with stronger growth in surgical volume and better case mix. The company targets 100bps...

Tina Banerjee

Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB): Cautiously Optimistic on Growth Prospect Amid Intensifying Competition

​Bumrungrad reported mixed 2Q24 performance with revenue up 3% YoY, but bottomline growth outpaced revenue. International patient revenue...

Tina Banerjee

Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

Pullback Underway $ACWI $SPX; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensive Sectors is a Reason for Caution. Buys in Health Care,...

Vermilion Research

Max Healthcare Institute: Growth Priced-In, Valuation Rich, Time for Breather.

We downgrade Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH) to REDUCE (from ADD earlier) with a TP of INR 880, based on a 29x blended Q1FY27E EV/EBITDA (vs FY26E EV/E)

HDFC Securities

Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB): Record High Margins in 1Q24; Reasonable Growth in Foreign Patients

​ With tight cost control, Bumrungrad reported record high margins in 1Q24, with gross, EBITDA, and net margin reaching 51.7%, 40.7%, and 30.2%,...

Tina Banerjee

Apollo Hospitals expects sequential improvement in ARPOB with stronger growth in surgical volume and better case mix. The company targets 100bps...

Bumrungrad reported mixed 2Q24 performance with revenue up 3% YoY, but bottomline growth outpaced revenue. International patient revenue...

With tight cost control, Bumrungrad reported record high margins in 1Q24, with gross, EBITDA, and net margin reaching 51.7%, 40.7%, and 30.2%,...