Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Company's 2Q24 overall performance exceeded expectations, and 3Q and 4Q are expected to be flat and to grow by 10-20% per quarter, respectively.</li>
<li>With expectations of continued improvement in ASP and cost structure, overall gross profit margin is expected to continue to grow.</li>
<li>Gen4 (12") is mainly applied in EV, AI server, and new energy sectors, as these applications have higher specification requirements.</li>
</ul>


Company's 2Q24 overall performance exceeded expectations, and 3Q and 4Q are expected to be flat and to grow by 10-20% per quarter, respectively.
With expectations of continued improvement in ASP and cost structure, overall gross profit margin is expected to continue to grow.
Gen4 (12") is mainly applied in EV, AI server, and new energy sectors, as these applications have higher specification requirements.


Silergy (6415.TT): 2024 Can Be Operating Trough, and Revenue in 2025 Is Expected to Grow by 20-30%.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC's top 5 clients for 2024 are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-micro-devices-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19009:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualcomm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:969:1" rel="noopener">Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mediatek-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:772:1" rel="noopener">Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a>.</li>
<li>Smartphone orders continue to dominate at TSMC, with QCOM and MediaTek being key clients.</li>
<li>Looking ahead to 2025, Intel Corp (INTC US) is expected to rely more on TSMC, potentially leading to changes in TSMC's client ranking.</li>
</ul>


TSMC's top 5 clients for 2024 are Apple (AAPL US), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US, Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US), Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) and NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US).
Smartphone orders continue to dominate at TSMC, with QCOM and MediaTek being key clients.
Looking ahead to 2025, Intel Corp (INTC US) is expected to rely more on TSMC, potentially leading to changes in TSMC's client ranking.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 23rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD967.8bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD186mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Far Eastone Telecommunications, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Ctbc Financial Holding.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 23rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD967.8bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD186mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Far Eastone Telecommunications, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Ctbc Financial Holding.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 23rd): Far Eastone Telecommunications

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 16th which has an aggregated holding worth USD955.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,501mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Umc, Yageo, Evergreen Marine.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 16th which has an aggregated holding worth USD955.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,501mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Umc, Yageo, Evergreen Marine.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 16th): TSMC, Umc, Yageo, Evergreen Marine

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>We expect a 12.5bp hike in the policy rate in Sep'24, as CPI inflation (2.52%YoY in Jul'24) remains well above the 2% target amid CBC concerns about overheated property markets. </li>
<li>Real GDP grew 5.1%YoY in Q2CY24, following 6.6%YoY growth in Q1 (both faster than mainland China). Exports grew 10%YoY in Jan-Jul'24, and export orders growth is at a 2-year high.</li>
<li>The market's trailing P/E ratio (23.56x) is well above its 20-year mean (19.84x). But we recommend a mild Overweight in Taiwan equities, with a focus on the largest tech stocks. </li>
</ul>


We expect a 12.5bp hike in the policy rate in Sep'24, as CPI inflation (2.52%YoY in Jul'24) remains well above the 2% target amid CBC concerns about overheated property markets. 
Real GDP grew 5.1%YoY in Q2CY24, following 6.6%YoY growth in Q1 (both faster than mainland China). Exports grew 10%YoY in Jan-Jul'24, and export orders growth is at a 2-year high.
The market's trailing P/E ratio (23.56x) is well above its 20-year mean (19.84x). But we recommend a mild Overweight in Taiwan equities, with a focus on the largest tech stocks. 


Taiwan: Rates to Buck Global Loosening as Growth Stays Robust and Inflation Too High

Taiwan

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

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Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)

Silergy (6415.TT): 2024 Can Be Operating Trough, and Revenue in 2025 Is Expected to Grow by 20-30%.

Company's strong 2Q24 performance surpasses expectations, with flat 3Q and 10-20% growth in 4Q; Gen4 mainly used in EV, AI server, and new energy...

Patrick Liao

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2024 Top Clients

TSMC's top 5 clients for 2024 include AAPL, AMD, QCOM, Mediatek, and NVDA, with smartphone orders dominating and shifts in client ranking expected...

Patrick Liao

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 23rd): Far Eastone Telecommunications

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Far Eastone Telecommunications, Taiwan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 16th): TSMC, Umc, Yageo, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Umc, Yageo, Evergreen Marine.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan: Rates to Buck Global Loosening as Growth Stays Robust and Inflation Too High

Taiwan's RGDP growth outpaced the PRC's for the past 3 quarters, and inflation (2.52%YoY in Jul'24) will require a 12.5bp rate hike. Despite rich...

Prasenjit K. Basu

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Silergy (6415.TT): 2024 Can Be Operating Trough, and Revenue in 2025 Is Expected to Grow by 20-30%.

​Company's strong 2Q24 performance surpasses expectations, with flat 3Q and 10-20% growth in 4Q; Gen4 mainly used in EV, AI server, and new energy...

Patrick Liao

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2024 Top Clients

​TSMC's top 5 clients for 2024 include AAPL, AMD, QCOM, Mediatek, and NVDA, with smartphone orders dominating and shifts in client ranking expected...

Patrick Liao

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 23rd): Far Eastone Telecommunications

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Far Eastone Telecommunications, Taiwan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 16th): TSMC, Umc, Yageo, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Umc, Yageo, Evergreen Marine.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan: Rates to Buck Global Loosening as Growth Stays Robust and Inflation Too High

Taiwan's RGDP growth outpaced the PRC's for the past 3 quarters, and inflation (2.52%YoY in Jul'24) will require a 12.5bp rate hike. Despite rich...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Company's strong 2Q24 performance surpasses expectations, with flat 3Q and 10-20% growth in 4Q; Gen4 mainly used in EV, AI server, and new energy...

TSMC's top 5 clients for 2024 include AAPL, AMD, QCOM, Mediatek, and NVDA, with smartphone orders dominating and shifts in client ranking expected...