Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The inventory adjustment of consumer electronics products is nearing completion and industrial products will end later.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silergy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13998:1" rel="noopener">Silergy Corp (6415 TT)</a>'s short-term growth momentum comes from the demand of new smartphone, while its long-term growth momentum comes from the automotive, new energy and high-performance computing area.</li>
<li>In 1H24, the pro forma gross profit margin can be maintained at around 50%.</li>
</ul>


The inventory adjustment of consumer electronics products is nearing completion and industrial products will end later.

Silergy Corp (6415 TT)'s short-term growth momentum comes from the demand of new smartphone, while its long-term growth momentum comes from the automotive, new energy and high-performance computing area.
In 1H24, the pro forma gross profit margin can be maintained at around 50%.


Silergy (6415.TT): Silergy Expect to Grow Slightly in 4Q23F.

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 4Q23F results will be higher than 3Q23, but lower than 4Q22.</li>
<li>If the market is unchanged, and it will be slightly upside in 2024F market. </li>
<li>For the target of GM 10% is still unchanged in 2025F.</li>
</ul>


The 4Q23F results will be higher than 3Q23, but lower than 4Q22.
If the market is unchanged, and it will be slightly upside in 2024F market. 
For the target of GM 10% is still unchanged in 2025F.


Hon Hai (2317.TT): If the Market Is Unchanged, and It Will Be Slightly Upside in 2024 Market.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 10th which has an aggregated holding worth USD633.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top changes by value for 1 week, one 4 weeks, 1 year and top stocks held by foreign instutions by dollar value.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD512mln and highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Taiwan Cement, Wistron.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 10th which has an aggregated holding worth USD633.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top changes by value for 1 week, one 4 weeks, 1 year and top stocks held by foreign instutions by dollar value.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD512mln and highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Taiwan Cement, Wistron.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 10th): TSMC, Taiwan Cement, Wistron

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our prior EM Strategy (October 2) we discussed that as long as EEM-US is above our important line-in-the-sand at $37, we were buyers on the pullback.</li>
<li>This support level held and EEM-US now displays a bullish 3-month downtrend reversal as the DXY appears to be breaking below $105.70, all bullish signals signaling additional upside-- buy.</li>
<li>We are bullish as long as $36.50-$37 support holds on EEM-US. Our first target is $42, which is 1.5+ year resistance. Remain overweight India, and we're upgrading Poland/Greece to overweight</li>
</ul>


In our prior EM Strategy (October 2) we discussed that as long as EEM-US is above our important line-in-the-sand at $37, we were buyers on the pullback.
This support level held and EEM-US now displays a bullish 3-month downtrend reversal as the DXY appears to be breaking below $105.70, all bullish signals signaling additional upside-- buy.
We are bullish as long as $36.50-$37 support holds on EEM-US. Our first target is $42, which is 1.5+ year resistance. Remain overweight India, and we're upgrading Poland/Greece to overweight


MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

Novatek Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>It's likely that quarterly sales will return to normal seasonality in 2024F, and the Smartphone demand has shown some signs of recovery.</li>
<li>Revenue/ GM/ OPM are declined 8.6%/ 2.7%/ 2.7% in 4Q23F, but we consider the end market might be recovery. </li>
<li>The OLED penetration rate in smartphones is 42.5% in 2023F , and it's anticipated that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novatek-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10904:1" rel="noopener">Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)</a> will exceed the market in terms of OLED sales.</li>
</ul>


It's likely that quarterly sales will return to normal seasonality in 2024F, and the Smartphone demand has shown some signs of recovery.
Revenue/ GM/ OPM are declined 8.6%/ 2.7%/ 2.7% in 4Q23F, but we consider the end market might be recovery. 
The OLED penetration rate in smartphones is 42.5% in 2023F , and it's anticipated that Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) will exceed the market in terms of OLED sales.


Novatek (3034.TT): It's Likely Quarterly Sales Will Return to Normal Seasonality in 2024F.

Taiwan

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

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Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)

Silergy (6415.TT): Silergy Expect to Grow Slightly in 4Q23F.

It will grow slightly in 4Q23F. The inventory adjustment of consumer electronics products is nearing completion and industrial products, including...

Patrick Liao

Hon Hai (2317.TT): If the Market Is Unchanged, and It Will Be Slightly Upside in 2024 Market.

The 4Q23F results will be higher than 3Q23, but lower than 4Q22. If the market is unchanged, and it will be slightly upside in 2024F market. For...

Patrick Liao

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 10th): TSMC, Taiwan Cement, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlight foreign holding changes in TSMC, Taiwan Cement, Wistron.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

In our prior EM Strategy (10/2/23) we discussed that, if $EEM is above $37, we were buyers on the pullback. Support held and now EEM displays a...

Vermilion Research

Novatek (3034.TT): It's Likely Quarterly Sales Will Return to Normal Seasonality in 2024F.

It's likely that quarterly sales will return to normal seasonality in 2024F. It is likely that quarterly sales will return to normal seasonality in...

Patrick Liao

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