Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-one-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1070:1" rel="noopener">Technology One (TNE AU)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-australian-equal-weight-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24297:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (MVW AU)</a> at the close on 21 March.</li>
<li>Surprisingly, there are no deletions from the index. The two inclusions, float changes and capping changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.6% leading to a round-trip trade of A$288m.</li>
<li>There will be huge buying of A$1.2bn in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> at the same time from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and related index trackers.</li>
</ul>



Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) and Technology One (TNE AU) will be added to the VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (MVW AU) at the close on 21 March.
Surprisingly, there are no deletions from the index. The two inclusions, float changes and capping changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.6% leading to a round-trip trade of A$288m.
There will be huge buying of A$1.2bn in Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) at the same time from S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and related index trackers.


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: SIG, TNE Added; US$288m Trade

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 13 June, cybersecurity firm <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesserent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30716:1" rel="noopener">Tesserent Ltd (TNT AU)</a> announced a Scheme with France's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thales-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21483:1" rel="noopener">Thales SA (HO FP)</a>. Thales is offering A$0.13/share, a 165% premium to last close. </li>
<li>The Scheme Doc has been despatched with Tesserent shareholders voting on the 18 September. Tesserent's board (holding 9.23%) and the IE are supportive. Implementation expected on the 4 October.</li>
<li>The Offer is also subject to FIRB signing off. New Zealand's OIO gave the green light on the 18 July.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 13 June, cybersecurity firm Tesserent Ltd (TNT AU) announced a Scheme with France's Thales SA (HO FP). Thales is offering A$0.13/share, a 165% premium to last close. 
The Scheme Doc has been despatched with Tesserent shareholders voting on the 18 September. Tesserent's board (holding 9.23%) and the IE are supportive. Implementation expected on the 4 October.
The Offer is also subject to FIRB signing off. New Zealand's OIO gave the green light on the 18 July.


Tesserent's Shareholders To Vote on 18 Sept As FIRB Mulls Thales Offer

<ul>
<li>Cybersecurity firm <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesserent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30716:1" rel="noopener">Tesserent Ltd (TNT AU)</a> has announced it has entered into a Scheme with France's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thales-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21483:1" rel="noopener">Thales SA (HO FP)</a>.</li>
<li>Thales is offering A$0.13/share, a whopping 165% premium to last close. Although, TNT is down 87% from its January 2021 high. </li>
<li>The Offer is conditional on TNT shareholder approval and FIRB/OIO approvals. Those regulatory approvals will not be straightforward.</li>
</ul>


Cybersecurity firm Tesserent Ltd (TNT AU) has announced it has entered into a Scheme with France's Thales SA (HO FP).
Thales is offering A$0.13/share, a whopping 165% premium to last close. Although, TNT is down 87% from its January 2021 high. 
The Offer is conditional on TNT shareholder approval and FIRB/OIO approvals. Those regulatory approvals will not be straightforward.


Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 12th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD17.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Anz Group Holdin, Worley, Lynas Rare Earth, Macquarie, Bhp, Natl Aust Bank, Medibank Private, South32, Woolworths.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 12th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD17.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Anz Group Holdin, Worley, Lynas Rare Earth, Macquarie, Bhp, Natl Aust Bank, Medibank Private, South32, Woolworths.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 12th): ANZ, Worley, Lynas, Macquarie, BHP, NAB, Medibank, South32

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 14th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD48.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Aurizon, Medibank Private, Coles, Yancoal Australi, Qbe Insurance, Newcrest Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 14th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD48.6bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Aurizon, Medibank Private, Coles, Yancoal Australi, Qbe Insurance, Newcrest Mining.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 14th): Aurizon, Medibank Private, Coles, Yancoal Australi, Qbe

Australia

Medibank Private Limited offers private health care coverage for hospital and ancillary services. The Company offers a range of health insurance products such as health, travel, pet, and life coverage to overseas students and visitors. Medibank serves customers throughout Australia.

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Medibank Private (MPL AU)

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: SIG, TNE Added; US$288m Trade

Sigma Healthcare and TechnologyOne have been added to the MVMVW index. Surprisingly, no deletions. Round-trip trade is US$288m. There are big...

Brian Freitas

Tesserent's Shareholders To Vote on 18 Sept As FIRB Mulls Thales Offer

TNT is trading at a 4.0%/34.7% gross/annualised return. This is not a super liquid arb situation. and your downside is massive. If you are...

David Blennerhassett

Tesserent (TNT AU)'s Offer From Thales

Trading at a 6.6% gross spread, but your downside is >60% if FIRB blocks. And this is not a super liquid arb situation. I'd pass on this given the...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 12th): ANZ, Worley, Lynas, Macquarie, BHP, NAB, Medibank, South32

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in ANZ, Worley, Lynas, Macquarie, BHP, NAB, Medibank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 14th): Aurizon, Medibank Private, Coles, Yancoal Australi, Qbe

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Aurizon, Medibank Private, Coles, Yancoal Australi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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