Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

FNArena

Financial News, Analysis and Data

Online financial media company focused on Australian equities, with a global perspective

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Shares in TechnologyOne reacted negatively on the release of a record FY25 performance, as not all metrics met elevated expectations and as the global technology sector is de-rated.</li><li> -TechnologyOne delivers record FY25 metrics -Profit exceeds guidance, strong UK growth -Market concerns on softer than expected ARR and NRR -Global de-rating for the sector equally impacts on updated valuations/price targets</li></ul>

Shares in TechnologyOne reacted negatively on the release of a record FY25 performance, as not all metrics met elevated expectations and as the global technology sector is de-rated. -TechnologyOne delivers record FY25 metrics -Profit exceeds guidance, strong UK growth -Market concerns on softer than expected ARR and NRR -Global de-rating for the sector equally impacts on updated valuations/price targets

Technology One Ltd - Outlook Intact Post Tech1's FY25 Punishment

<ul><li>Shares in TechnologyOne reacted negatively on the release of a record FY25 performance, as not all metrics met elevated expectations as as the global technology sector is de-rated.</li><li> -TechnologyOne delivers record FY25 metrics -Profit exceeds guidance, strong UK growth -Market concerns on softer than expected ARR and NRR -Global de-rating for the sector equally impacts on updated valuations/price targets</li></ul>

Shares in TechnologyOne reacted negatively on the release of a record FY25 performance, as not all metrics met elevated expectations as as the global technology sector is de-rated. -TechnologyOne delivers record FY25 metrics -Profit exceeds guidance, strong UK growth -Market concerns on softer than expected ARR and NRR -Global de-rating for the sector equally impacts on updated valuations/price targets

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-one-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1070:1" rel="noopener">Technology One (TNE AU)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-australian-equal-weight-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24297:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (MVW AU)</a> at the close on 21 March.</li>
<li>Surprisingly, there are no deletions from the index. The two inclusions, float changes and capping changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.6% leading to a round-trip trade of A$288m.</li>
<li>There will be huge buying of A$1.2bn in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> at the same time from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and related index trackers.</li>
</ul>



Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) and Technology One (TNE AU) will be added to the VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (MVW AU) at the close on 21 March.
Surprisingly, there are no deletions from the index. The two inclusions, float changes and capping changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.6% leading to a round-trip trade of A$288m.
There will be huge buying of A$1.2bn in Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) at the same time from S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and related index trackers.


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: SIG, TNE Added; US$288m Trade

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 21st (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in James Hardie Industries, Atlas Arteria, Sonic Healthcare, Coles, Life360.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 21st (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in James Hardie Industries, Atlas Arteria, Sonic Healthcare, Coles, Life360.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 21st): James Hardie Industries, Atlas Arteria, Sonic Healthcare

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the September 2025 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 5th September 2025. We got 44/47 predictions correct.</li>
<li>There are 25 ADDs and 30 DELs collectively for ASX 50, ASX 100, ASX 200, and ASX 300.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for each of these confirmed index changes.</li>
</ul>


The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the September 2025 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 5th September 2025. We got 44/47 predictions correct.
There are 25 ADDs and 30 DELs collectively for ASX 50, ASX 100, ASX 200, and ASX 300.
In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for each of these confirmed index changes.


Quiddity ASX Sep25 Results: ADDs Up Vs DELs Post-Announcement; Positioning Might Be Significant

Australia

Technology One Limited is an Australian-based company that is engaged in the development, marketing, sales, implementation, support, and distribution of financial management and enterprise software solutions. The Company has operations in New Zealand, the United Kingdom, the South Pacific, and Malaysia.

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Technology One (TNE AU)

Technology One Ltd - Outlook Intact Post Tech1's FY25 Punishment

Shares in TechnologyOne reacted negatively on the release of a record FY25 performance, as not all metrics met elevated expectations and as the...

FNArena

Technology One Ltd - Outlook Intact Post Tech1's FY25 Punishment

Shares in TechnologyOne reacted negatively on the release of a record FY25 performance, as not all metrics met elevated expectations as as the...

FNArena

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: SIG, TNE Added; US$288m Trade

Sigma Healthcare and TechnologyOne have been added to the MVMVW index. Surprisingly, no deletions. Round-trip trade is US$288m. There are big...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 21st): James Hardie Industries, Atlas Arteria, Sonic Healthcare

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in James Hardie Industries, Atlas Arteria, Sonic...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity ASX Sep25 Results: ADDs Up Vs DELs Post-Announcement; Positioning Might Be Significant

Collectively, we estimate total one-way flow of US$1.36bn for for ASX 50/100/200/300. There is significant volume build up for most of the high...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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