Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> shares fell 12.5% post - 2Q2025 results, reflecting investor concerns over prolonged subsidy wars and lack of visibility on when rational competition may resume.</li>
<li>2Q 2025 revenue growth lagged the pace of delivery transaction growth as incentives sharply reduced effective revenue capture while rising marketing costs nearly wiped out quarterly profit.</li>
<li>Along side the rapid growth in China’s instant delivery market, where groceries and daily essentials are delivered in 30 minutes or less, competition among leading retail/delivery players have escalated.</li>
</ul>



Meituan (3690 HK) shares fell 12.5% post - 2Q2025 results, reflecting investor concerns over prolonged subsidy wars and lack of visibility on when rational competition may resume.
2Q 2025 revenue growth lagged the pace of delivery transaction growth as incentives sharply reduced effective revenue capture while rising marketing costs nearly wiped out quarterly profit.
Along side the rapid growth in China’s instant delivery market, where groceries and daily essentials are delivered in 30 minutes or less, competition among leading retail/delivery players have escalated.


Meituan (3690 HK): Down 12% After 2Q25 - What Spooked Investors?

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>Meituan’s Q2/25 performance was weaker than we had expected, with profitability plunging as irrational price competition in food delivery eroded margins (due to heightened courier incentives and aggressive marketing spend).</li>
<li>The Q2 performance was also a stark contrast to the stronger than anticipated Q1 results, which included robust revenue growth (+18.1%) and a surge in profitability (operating profit: +102.8%) on the back of enhanced operational efficiency and operating leverage.</li>
<li>While the Q2/25 development is of some concern, Meituan is clearly making strategic moves by absorbing short-term pain (through material investments in subsidies, marketing and incentives) to protect its commanding 60-70% share in the food delivery market.</li>
</ul>


Meituan’s Q2/25 performance was weaker than we had expected, with profitability plunging as irrational price competition in food delivery eroded margins (due to heightened courier incentives and aggressive marketing spend).
The Q2 performance was also a stark contrast to the stronger than anticipated Q1 results, which included robust revenue growth (+18.1%) and a surge in profitability (operating profit: +102.8%) on the back of enhanced operational efficiency and operating leverage.
While the Q2/25 development is of some concern, Meituan is clearly making strategic moves by absorbing short-term pain (through material investments in subsidies, marketing and incentives) to protect its commanding 60-70% share in the food delivery market.


Meituan - Earnings Flash - Q2 FY 2025 Results

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Meituan reported (27 Aug) its 2Q25 results: revenue was RMB91.8bn, up 11.7% YoY, 2% shy of Bloomberg consensus, while adj. NP reached RMB1.5bn, down 89% YoY, and was 85% lower than Bloomberg consensus estimates due to strategic investment to maintain market share in the food delivery (FD) business.</li><li>The RMB3.7bn OP for the core local commerce (CLC) segment was 69% lower than consensus, while RMB1.9bn operating loss of new initiatives was better than consensus at RMB2.4bn loss.</li><li>Meituan is seeking efficient ways to respond to intense competition in the FD business, such as leveraging Shenqiangshou and Pinhaofan model to address consumer’s value for money demand, and it targets to maintain market share in core categories which has a decent average order value (AOV) such as main meal to retain customers and orders that could maintain sufficient demand even after subsidies are reduced in the future. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Meituan reported (27 Aug) its 2Q25 results: revenue was RMB91.8bn, up 11.7% YoY, 2% shy of Bloomberg consensus, while adj. NP reached RMB1.5bn, down 89% YoY, and was 85% lower than Bloomberg consensus estimates due to strategic investment to maintain market share in the food delivery (FD) business.The RMB3.7bn OP for the core local commerce (CLC) segment was 69% lower than consensus, while RMB1.9bn operating loss of new initiatives was better than consensus at RMB2.4bn loss.Meituan is seeking efficient ways to respond to intense competition in the FD business, such as leveraging Shenqiangshou and Pinhaofan model to address consumer’s value for money demand, and it targets to maintain market share in core categories which has a decent average order value (AOV) such as main meal to retain customers and orders that could maintain sufficient demand even after subsidies are reduced in the future. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Meituan (3690 HK) - Seeking Efficient Ways to Respond to Intense Competition

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, India deal flow remains strong, with HK A/H listing starting to flow in again.</li>
<li>On the placements front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd-bf4a1265-beef-48b6-b82d-29308426030f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27795:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)</a> undertook a mega raising, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a> has begun to pare its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, India deal flow remains strong, with HK A/H listing starting to flow in again.
On the placements front, WuXi AppTec (2359 HK) undertook a mega raising, while Prosus NV (PRX NA) has begun to pare its stake in Meituan (3690 HK). 


ECM Weekly (4 August 2025)-Meituan, LG CNS, Wuxi AppTec, SICC, NSDL, Aditya Info, GigaDevice, WeWork

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As per news reports, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a> could look to sell some/all of its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> stake, worth around US$4bn</li>
<li>Prosus has held its stake for a few years, owing to the dividend payout by Tencent, but Meituan appears to be planning to take on one of its subsidiaries.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the possible selldown and other deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


As per news reports, Prosus NV (PRX NA) could look to sell some/all of its Meituan (3690 HK) stake, worth around US$4bn
Prosus has held its stake for a few years, owing to the dividend payout by Tencent, but Meituan appears to be planning to take on one of its subsidiaries.
In this note, we will talk about the possible selldown and other deal dynamics.


Meituan Possible US$4bn Selldown - Will End up Being Well-Flagged but Sentiment Isn’t Great

China

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

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Meituan (3690 HK)

Meituan (3690 HK): Down 12% After 2Q25 - What Spooked Investors?

Until there are tangible evidence of competitive discipline in China's on-demand retail sector, Expect stock is to remain volatile and range-bound.

Devi Subhakesan

Meituan - Earnings Flash - Q2 FY 2025 Results

Meituan’s Q2/25 performance was weaker than we had expected, with profitability plunging as irrational price competition in food delivery eroded...

Lucror Analytics

Meituan (3690 HK) - Seeking Efficient Ways to Respond to Intense Competition

Meituan reported (27 Aug) its 2Q25 results: revenue was RMB91.8bn, up 11.7% YoY, 2% shy of Bloomberg consensus, while adj. NP reached RMB1.5bn,...

CMB International

ECM Weekly (4 August 2025)-Meituan, LG CNS, Wuxi AppTec, SICC, NSDL, Aditya Info, GigaDevice, WeWork

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Meituan Possible US$4bn Selldown - Will End up Being Well-Flagged but Sentiment Isn’t Great

As per recent media reports, Prosus has begun selling some of its stake in Meituan. Although for now it appears to be selling on market instead of...

Sumeet Singh

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