Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6597:1" rel="noopener">Melco Holdings (6676 JP)</a> chairman Hiroyuki MAKI bought up a 14% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/base-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28353:1" rel="noopener">BASE Inc (4477 JP)</a> in just under two weeks. It was done quite transparently. He announced daily.</li>
<li>He wants to get to 30% in a Tender Offer. The method, approach, lack of transparency, and similarity to previous situations where he invested has the company wary. </li>
<li>This looks like a Poison Pill case in the offing. It WAS a cheap stock. It is not expensive now. But it is not clear what the endgame is here.</li>
</ul>



Melco Holdings (6676 JP) chairman Hiroyuki MAKI bought up a 14% stake in BASE Inc (4477 JP) in just under two weeks. It was done quite transparently. He announced daily.
He wants to get to 30% in a Tender Offer. The method, approach, lack of transparency, and similarity to previous situations where he invested has the company wary. 
This looks like a Poison Pill case in the offing. It WAS a cheap stock. It is not expensive now. But it is not clear what the endgame is here.


Boss Maki Goes Hard on Base (4477) - Interesting Situation

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>If you don't think <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)</a>'s Standalone Plan has legs to go north of here, or ACT gets its act together,  then you should sell into strength.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a>'s cash and scrip (into a unlisted H-share-equivalent entity) Offer was not what the doctor ordered.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10803:1" rel="noopener">Sun Corp (6736 JP)</a> is cheap to its holding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cellebrite-di-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37102:1" rel="noopener">Cellebrite DI (CLBT US)</a>. How cheap depends on the form and structure of its eventual exit.</li>
</ul>


If you don't think Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)'s Standalone Plan has legs to go north of here, or ACT gets its act together,  then you should sell into strength.

ENN Energy (2688 HK)'s cash and scrip (into a unlisted H-share-equivalent entity) Offer was not what the doctor ordered.

Sun Corp (6736 JP) is cheap to its holding in Cellebrite DI (CLBT US). How cheap depends on the form and structure of its eventual exit.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, ENN Energy, Sun Corp, Great Eastern Holdings

<ul>
<li>Hugely cash-rich <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cookpad-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23:1" rel="noopener">Cookpad Inc (2193 JP)</a> wouldn't hit my radar except for two things. 1) it was the target of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6597:1" rel="noopener">Melco Holdings (6676 JP)</a> chairman Maki-san a few years ago...</li>
<li>And 2) they did a huge buyback last year which pumped up the stock very bigly. </li>
<li>Maki-San appears long gone from the shares, but now they are doing another big buyback. Just as bigly. But there are new nuances this year.</li>
</ul>


Hugely cash-rich Cookpad Inc (2193 JP) wouldn't hit my radar except for two things. 1) it was the target of Melco Holdings (6676 JP) chairman Maki-san a few years ago...
And 2) they did a huge buyback last year which pumped up the stock very bigly. 
Maki-San appears long gone from the shares, but now they are doing another big buyback. Just as bigly. But there are new nuances this year.


Tinycap Cash-Rich Cookpad (2193) With HUGE Buyback. AGAIN

<ul>
<li>Buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankyu-hanshin-reit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12654:1" rel="noopener">Hankyu Hanshin REIT, Inc. (8977 JP)</a> on any weakness. There will be strength ahead.</li>
<li>With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a> suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code, a third party Offer, as opposed to ENN Group, seems more likely. </li>
<li>Be long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idemitsu-kosan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:109:1" rel="noopener">Idemitsu (5019 JP)</a> vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eneos-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:638:1" rel="noopener">ENEOS</a> for the next several weeks. Light and easy drift trade based on pressure increasing and pressure ending before new news in May.</li>
</ul>


Buy Hankyu Hanshin REIT, Inc. (8977 JP) on any weakness. There will be strength ahead.
With ENN Energy (2688 HK) suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code, a third party Offer, as opposed to ENN Group, seems more likely. 
Be long Idemitsu (5019 JP) vs ENEOS for the next several weeks. Light and easy drift trade based on pressure increasing and pressure ending before new news in May.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Hankyu Hanshin REIT, ENN Energy, Idemitsu, HKBN, Jardine Matheson

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Star Entertainment Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/star-entertainment-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:926:1" rel="noopener">Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU)</a> (SGR) plans to raise around US$480m (A$750m) via an entitlement offer cum institutional placement.</li>
<li>SGR undertook a similar sized raising earlier this year in Feb 2023, at a price which was double the current deal price.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU) (SGR) plans to raise around US$480m (A$750m) via an entitlement offer cum institutional placement.
SGR undertook a similar sized raising earlier this year in Feb 2023, at a price which was double the current deal price.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics.


Star Entertainment Entitlement+Placement - Would You Rescue Me? Again?

Japan

MELCO HOLDINGS INC. is a holding company which manages computer peripheral equipment manufacturing subsidiaries.  The Company's subsidiaries develop and produce memory and storage devices and network equipment.

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Melco Holdings (6676 JP)

Boss Maki Goes Hard on Base (4477) - Interesting Situation

Maki-san launched his tender at ¥400 on 7 May, 7 weeks after I wrote this as a sell at ¥496. The shares were higher. They came down. The company...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, ENN Energy, Sun Corp, Great Eastern Holdings

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Tinycap Cash-Rich Cookpad (2193) With HUGE Buyback. AGAIN

Tinycap Cookpad is doing another large buyback. It's big. Last year's bought 10% in a month. This year, float is that much smaller. And there are...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: Hankyu Hanshin REIT, ENN Energy, Idemitsu, HKBN, Jardine Matheson

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Star Entertainment Entitlement+Placement - Would You Rescue Me? Again?

Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU) (SGR) plans to raise around US$480m (A$750m) via an entitlement offer cum institutional placement. This will be...

Sumeet Singh

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