HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Next, domestic policy may shift from easing the pressure on medical insurance to focusing on the concerns about people's livelihood, the pressure of public opinion, people's demands, and old-age care.</li>
<li>The endogenous demand will be stepped downward based on current economic situation. The performance/valuation of HPV vaccine/growth hormones/eye care companies will gradually decline if just based on domestic markets.</li>
<li>The second half of 2022 to 2023 will gradually enter the outbreak period of medical equipment procurement for newly built hospitals. Related companies will usher in a "honeymoon period".</li>
</ul>


Next, domestic policy may shift from easing the pressure on medical insurance to focusing on the concerns about people's livelihood, the pressure of public opinion, people's demands, and old-age care.
The endogenous demand will be stepped downward based on current economic situation. The performance/valuation of HPV vaccine/growth hormones/eye care companies will gradually decline if just based on domestic markets.
The second half of 2022 to 2023 will gradually enter the outbreak period of medical equipment procurement for newly built hospitals. Related companies will usher in a "honeymoon period".


China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.26) - Policy Trend, Aier Eye Hospital, Hospital Project Construction

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Comirnaty had had a significant positive impact on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pfizer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1131:1" rel="noopener">Pfizer Inc (PFE US)</a>’s revenue in 2021. 2022 will be no different. However, outlook for COVID-19 vaccine is uncertain beyond 2022.</li>
<li>Apart from the existing blockbuster fast-growing drugs, Pfizer has a rich late-stage pipeline. Its alopecia areata drug candidate, ritlecitinib has potential to become a blockbuster drug.  </li>
<li>Pfizer aims to add $25 billion revenue to its 2030 top-line expectations. Thus far, the company has announced two deals toward this ambition, entailing potential revenue addition of $7.5 billion.</li>
</ul>


Comirnaty had had a significant positive impact on Pfizer Inc (PFE US)’s revenue in 2021. 2022 will be no different. However, outlook for COVID-19 vaccine is uncertain beyond 2022.
Apart from the existing blockbuster fast-growing drugs, Pfizer has a rich late-stage pipeline. Its alopecia areata drug candidate, ritlecitinib has potential to become a blockbuster drug.  
Pfizer aims to add $25 billion revenue to its 2030 top-line expectations. Thus far, the company has announced two deals toward this ambition, entailing potential revenue addition of $7.5 billion.


Pfizer Inc (PFE US): What’s Lie Ahead of Comirnaty? Potential Blockbuster Drugs in Pipeline

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to view the price action over the past month as a bear market bounce in the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM).</li>
<li>Each index appears to be forming a bearish flag pattern. Until the S&amp;P 500, QQQ, and IWM can break above their YTD downtrends, we remain bearish.</li>
<li>We continue to believe that this bear market is being fueled by the rising U.S. dollar (DXY), rising 10-yr Treasury yield, and the move higher in WTI crude oil.</li>
</ul>


We continue to view the price action over the past month as a bear market bounce in the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM).
Each index appears to be forming a bearish flag pattern. Until the S&amp;P 500, QQQ, and IWM can break above their YTD downtrends, we remain bearish.
We continue to believe that this bear market is being fueled by the rising U.S. dollar (DXY), rising 10-yr Treasury yield, and the move higher in WTI crude oil.


U.S. Indexes Form Bear Flag Patterns Within Downtrends; Opportunities Within Health Care

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

<ul>
<li>2021 saw a significant jump in RNA based trials. Large sequencing projects and the success of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines should drive the growth of the global RNA therapeutics market. </li>
<li>Our analysis suggests that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/moderna-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28744:1" rel="noopener">Moderna Inc (MRNA US)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vertex-pharmaceuticals-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4864:1" rel="noopener">Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX US),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/incyte-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20576:1" rel="noopener">Incyte Corp (INCY US), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alnylam-pharmaceuticals-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2191:1" rel="noopener">Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY US), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isis-pharmaceuticals-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7017:1" rel="noopener">Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS US)</a> lead in RNA therapy related innovations.</li>
<li>R&amp;D collaboration, licensing deals, strategic investments and buyouts between RNA specialists and big pharma will increase as sitting on the sidelines might no longer be an option.</li>
</ul>


2021 saw a significant jump in RNA based trials. Large sequencing projects and the success of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines should drive the growth of the global RNA therapeutics market. 
Our analysis suggests that Moderna Inc (MRNA US) , Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX US), Incyte Corp (INCY US), Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY US), Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS US) lead in RNA therapy related innovations.
R&amp;D collaboration, licensing deals, strategic investments and buyouts between RNA specialists and big pharma will increase as sitting on the sidelines might no longer be an option.


Data Mining Technical Publications to Rank the Innovators in RNA Therapeutics

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eisai-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21001:1" rel="noopener">Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP)</a> has been granted priority review by the FDA for its second Alzheimer’s disease drug candidate, lecanemab. Approval is expected in Q1 2023.</li>
<li>Lecanemab could become the first anti-amyloid antibody to obtain full approval for Alzheimer's disease in the U.S. Eisai is aiming for submission of lecanemab in Japan and EU this fiscal.   </li>
<li>Anticancer agent Lenvima is the largest selling drug of Eisai. Revenue from Lenvima increased 44% in FY22. The drug has taken top share in hepatocellular carcinoma market.</li>
</ul>



Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP) has been granted priority review by the FDA for its second Alzheimer’s disease drug candidate, lecanemab. Approval is expected in Q1 2023.
Lecanemab could become the first anti-amyloid antibody to obtain full approval for Alzheimer's disease in the U.S. Eisai is aiming for submission of lecanemab in Japan and EU this fiscal.   
Anticancer agent Lenvima is the largest selling drug of Eisai. Revenue from Lenvima increased 44% in FY22. The drug has taken top share in hepatocellular carcinoma market.


Eisai Co (4523 JP): Trying Another Luck for Alzheimer’s Disease; Strengthening Presence in Oncology

United States

Merck & Co., Inc.  is a global health care company that delivers health solutions through its prescription medicines, vaccines, biologic therapies, animal health, and consumer care products, which it markets directly and through its joint ventures. The Company has operations in pharmaceutical, animal health, and consumer care.

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Merck & Co (MRK US)

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.26) - Policy Trend, Aier Eye Hospital, Hospital Project Construction

Policy may shift from easing medical insurance pressure to improving people's livelihood. Low endogenous demand will affect company's valuation....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pfizer Inc (PFE US): What’s Lie Ahead of Comirnaty? Potential Blockbuster Drugs in Pipeline

By leveraging on windfall gains from COVID portfolio, Pfizer is developing additional growth spots for future revenue growth. Its pipeline and...

Tina Banerjee

U.S. Indexes Form Bear Flag Patterns Within Downtrends; Opportunities Within Health Care

We continue to view the price action over the past month as a bear market bounce in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), as each...

Vermilion Research

Data Mining Technical Publications to Rank the Innovators in RNA Therapeutics

Specialists lead the RNA intellectual property ecosystem but may still need big pharma to bring new treatments to market making the space ripe for...

Pyari Menon

Eisai Co (4523 JP): Trying Another Luck for Alzheimer’s Disease; Strengthening Presence in Oncology

Eisai is expected to receive FDA approval for its second Alzheimer’s disease drug, lecanemab in Q1 2023. The company is also aiming for submission...

Tina Banerjee

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