Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng Indexes has started a consultation on the eligibility of Foreign Companies in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a>, a review of the seven Industry Groups and number of HK constituents.</li>
<li>We agree that foreign companies should be added to the index, no change needed to the Industry Groups, and the cap on the number of HK constituents should be removed.</li>
<li>There are a few potential adds due to the removal of the cap on HK companies, while there are potential foreign company additions later this year or in 2024.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng Indexes has started a consultation on the eligibility of Foreign Companies in the Hang Seng Index, a review of the seven Industry Groups and number of HK constituents.
We agree that foreign companies should be added to the index, no change needed to the Industry Groups, and the cap on the number of HK constituents should be removed.
There are a few potential adds due to the removal of the cap on HK companies, while there are potential foreign company additions later this year or in 2024.


HSI Market Consultation: Foreign Companies, Industry Groups, HK Companies

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Bio-heart Biological Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Bio-heart Biological Technology (2185 HK)

<ul>
<li>There are three main ways for Chinese pharmaceutical companies to enter global markets, but the results are completely different. Investors are advised to make cautious judgments based on different cases. </li>
<li>Speed is a crucial factor in the competition for drug development, but there’re precedents in history that late-comers are still able to turn things around, such as GLP-1/weight loss drugs.</li>
<li>We remain conservative about the future commercialization performance of Bio-Heart's BRS and Iberis 2nd. However, the product launch is a catalyst for share price, which provides a good short-term trade opportunity.</li>
</ul>


There are three main ways for Chinese pharmaceutical companies to enter global markets, but the results are completely different. Investors are advised to make cautious judgments based on different cases. 
Speed is a crucial factor in the competition for drug development, but there’re precedents in history that late-comers are still able to turn things around, such as GLP-1/weight loss drugs.
We remain conservative about the future commercialization performance of Bio-Heart's BRS and Iberis 2nd. However, the product launch is a catalyst for share price, which provides a good short-term trade opportunity.


China Healthcare Weekly (May.12) - Three Globalization Strategies, GLP-1/Weight Loss Drug, Bio-Heart

<ul>
<li>Many people have begun to pay attention to whether there would be a second wave of COVID-19 in China. We think it is necessary to share our views.</li>
<li>The overvaluation or undervaluation of China’s core assets cannot be explained solely by classic valuation models such as PE/PB/DCF, but rather by considering the deep meaning represented by the companies.</li>
<li>Lifetech’s future growth space depend more on the performance of pacemakers and IBS, but they are facing different challenges. Therefore, we recommend short-term trade rather than long term hold.</li>
</ul>


Many people have begun to pay attention to whether there would be a second wave of COVID-19 in China. We think it is necessary to share our views.
The overvaluation or undervaluation of China’s core assets cannot be explained solely by classic valuation models such as PE/PB/DCF, but rather by considering the deep meaning represented by the companies.
Lifetech’s future growth space depend more on the performance of pacemakers and IBS, but they are facing different challenges. Therefore, we recommend short-term trade rather than long term hold.


China Healthcare Weekly (May.5)- 2nd Wave of COVID, Valuation Logic of China's Core Assets, Lifetech

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 10th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Mobile, Tencent, China Vanke, ICBC, CCB.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 10th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for China Mobile, Tencent, China Vanke, ICBC, CCB.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 10th): China Mobile, Tencent, China Vanke, ICBC, CCB

Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Edge Medical / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>MP1000 has strong technical strength, setting it apart from Toumai. SP1000’s advantages are more obvious and the competitive landscape is also better than multi-port surgical robots, indicating corner overtaking opportunity.</li>
<li>With favorable policy support, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-edge-medical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35912:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Edge Medical (SEM HK)</a> is embracing a golden opportunity. But the commercialization outlook of surgical robots in China is actually not optimistic.</li>
<li>As a later-comer in surgical robots industry, without the synergy from parent company, Edge’s future sales performance could be even weaker. So, its valuation should be lower than Medbot.</li>
</ul>


MP1000 has strong technical strength, setting it apart from Toumai. SP1000’s advantages are more obvious and the competitive landscape is also better than multi-port surgical robots, indicating corner overtaking opportunity.
With favorable policy support, Shenzhen Edge Medical (SEM HK) is embracing a golden opportunity. But the commercialization outlook of surgical robots in China is actually not optimistic.
As a later-comer in surgical robots industry, without the synergy from parent company, Edge’s future sales performance could be even weaker. So, its valuation should be lower than Medbot.


Pre-IPO Shenzhen Edge Medical - The Surgical Robot Business in China Is Proving Harder than Expected

China

MicroPort Scientific is a leading global medical device company that innovates, manufactures, and markets high-end medical devices. The company provides solutions across twelve therapeutic areas, including cardiovascular, orthopedics, cardiac rhythm management, electrophysiology, endovascular, neurovascular, and surgical robotics. It was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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MicroPort Scientific (853 HK)

HSI Market Consultation: Foreign Companies, Industry Groups, HK Companies

The conclusions of the market consultation have been announced. Primary-listed foreign companies will be eligible for inclusion in the HSI and...

Brian Freitas

China Healthcare Weekly (May.12) - Three Globalization Strategies, GLP-1/Weight Loss Drug, Bio-Heart

There're three ways for companies to enter global markets, but the results are different.Late-comers can still turn things around, such as GLP-1...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (May.5)- 2nd Wave of COVID, Valuation Logic of China's Core Assets, Lifetech

It's time to talk about the 2nd wave of COVID in China.Investors need to understand deep meaning/valuation logic of China's core assets so as not...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 10th): China Mobile, Tencent, China Vanke, ICBC, CCB

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Mobile, Tencent, China Vanke, ICBC, CCB.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pre-IPO Shenzhen Edge Medical - The Surgical Robot Business in China Is Proving Harder than Expected

Surgical robots is always a hot field, but even with favorable policy, it’s difficult to make profits in China. Edge's commercialization outlook is...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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