Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Orient Overseas (International) / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Current at 66 constituents, we expect to reach 80 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a> constituents by the end of the year before moving higher towards 100 index members in 2023.</li>
<li>We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index in June - with one-way turnover close to 6%, the actual number of inclusions will be lower.</li>
<li>We also list out another 8 stocks that could possibly be added in June, though the probability of a September/ December inclusion is higher.</li>
</ul>


Current at 66 constituents, we expect to reach 80 HSI INDEX constituents by the end of the year before moving higher towards 100 index members in 2023.
We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index in June - with one-way turnover close to 6%, the actual number of inclusions will be lower.
We also list out another 8 stocks that could possibly be added in June, though the probability of a September/ December inclusion is higher.


HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Will The Pace of Inclusions Pick Up?

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>MicroPort’s net loss widened according to its profit warning. The negative impact of centralized procurement is already being shown. We analyzed the situation of its different business segments.</li>
<li>After continuous M&amp;A, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-scientific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4487:1" rel="noopener">Microport Scientific (853 HK)</a> could face cash flow pressure in this unfriendly financing environment.</li>
<li>Due to MicroPort’s development mode, the market value of its subsidiaries could be higher than the parent company. Our view is that the subsidiaries would be a better investment.</li>
</ul>


MicroPort’s net loss widened according to its profit warning. The negative impact of centralized procurement is already being shown. We analyzed the situation of its different business segments.
After continuous M&amp;A, Microport Scientific (853 HK) could face cash flow pressure in this unfriendly financing environment.
Due to MicroPort’s development mode, the market value of its subsidiaries could be higher than the parent company. Our view is that the subsidiaries would be a better investment.


Microport Scientific (853.HK) - The Subsidiaries Would Be a Better Investment

Shanghai MicroPort MedBot / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Recently, MicroPort MedBot’s Toumai laparoscopic surgical robot has obtained a registration certificate for launching by NMPA, indicating the hope of breaking the monopoly of Da Vinci robots in the market.</li>
<li>The strong policy support as well as the medical insurance coverage offer a viable way for the commercialization of surgical robots in China, which is very important. </li>
<li>Although it would take some time to improve the overall market penetration in China, we are still optimistic about the outlook of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-microport-medbot-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33485:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai MicroPort MedBot Group (2252 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Recently, MicroPort MedBot’s Toumai laparoscopic surgical robot has obtained a registration certificate for launching by NMPA, indicating the hope of breaking the monopoly of Da Vinci robots in the market.
The strong policy support as well as the medical insurance coverage offer a viable way for the commercialization of surgical robots in China, which is very important. 
Although it would take some time to improve the overall market penetration in China, we are still optimistic about the outlook of Shanghai MicroPort MedBot Group (2252 HK).


Shanghai MicroPort MedBot Group (2252.HK) - Optimistic About the Outlook

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/venus-medtech-hangzhou-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28257:1" rel="noopener">Venus MedTech (2500 HK)</a> is taking the lead in TAVR industry, but <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/peijia-medical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28862:1" rel="noopener">Peijia Medical (9996 HK)</a> has advantages in development progress of future products. So, the market pattern is not yet determined.</li>
<li>The high cost of TAVR surgery is the main reason for lower-than-expected sales performance of related companies and low market penetration. The fierce competition would also bring more challenges. </li>
<li>A good solution is to enter developing markets with CE mark, which would offer a new commercialization option and also a wider expansion beyond just European and American markets.</li>
</ul>



Venus MedTech (2500 HK) is taking the lead in TAVR industry, but Peijia Medical (9996 HK) has advantages in development progress of future products. So, the market pattern is not yet determined.
The high cost of TAVR surgery is the main reason for lower-than-expected sales performance of related companies and low market penetration. The fierce competition would also bring more challenges. 
A good solution is to enter developing markets with CE mark, which would offer a new commercialization option and also a wider expansion beyond just European and American markets.


Peijia Medical (9996.HK) Vs Venus MedTech (2500.HK) Vs CardioFlow (2160.HK)-Pain Points and Solution

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>OrbusNeich Medical Group focuses on coronary and peripheral interventional instruments, such as balloons and stents used in PCI (coronary)/PTA (peripheral) procedures.</li>
<li>Comprehensive and innovative product portfolio for endovascular interventional procedures, established global sales network, and robust pipeline are the major strength of OrbusNeich.</li>
<li>Fierce competition, commoditized nature of the offering, centralized procurement leading to substantial price drop are some of the concerns for the company.</li>
</ul>


OrbusNeich Medical Group focuses on coronary and peripheral interventional instruments, such as balloons and stents used in PCI (coronary)/PTA (peripheral) procedures.
Comprehensive and innovative product portfolio for endovascular interventional procedures, established global sales network, and robust pipeline are the major strength of OrbusNeich.
Fierce competition, commoditized nature of the offering, centralized procurement leading to substantial price drop are some of the concerns for the company.


Pre-IPO OrbusNeich Medical Group: A Scale Player, With Comprehensive Portfolio in PCI Balloon Market

China

MicroPort Scientific is a leading global medical device company that innovates, manufactures, and markets high-end medical devices. The company provides solutions across twelve therapeutic areas, including cardiovascular, orthopedics, cardiac rhythm management, electrophysiology, endovascular, neurovascular, and surgical robotics. It was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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MicroPort Scientific (853 HK)

HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Will The Pace of Inclusions Pick Up?

There could be 5-6 inclusions to the HSI in June as part of the move to 80 members. We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index, and another...

Brian Freitas