Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>China (Shanghai Composite) has been a major focus ever since our July 3 report titled "China and Japan Breaking Out," and it's pulling back toward 10-year base support at 3675-3725;buy.</li>
<li>Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes remain bullish (BUY), but RS remains below multi-month resistances; we would upgrade Japan to overweight on RS breakouts.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
China (Shanghai Composite) has been a major focus ever since our July 3 report titled "China and Japan Breaking Out," and it's pulling back toward 10-year base support at 3675-3725;buy.
Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes remain bullish (BUY), but RS remains below multi-month resistances; we would upgrade Japan to overweight on RS breakouts.


Buys in Japan and Europe; China Pulling Back -- Buy; MSCI ACWI Uptrend Intact

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Hangzhou Kangji Medical Instrument Co., Ltd. / Event-Driven

Hangzhou Kangji Medical Instrument Co., Ltd.

<ul>
<li>The precondition for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hangzhou-kangji-medical-instrument-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28938:1" rel="noopener">Hangzhou Kangji Medical Instrument Co., Ltd. (9997 HK)</a>’s scheme privatisation from a consortium is satisfied. The offer, which has been declared final, is at HK$9.25 per share. </li>
<li>The key condition will be approval by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). Crucially, the blocking stake is below the substantial disclosure threshold.</li>
<li>Despite the recent derating of peers, the vote risk remains medium-to-high due to a solid interim, the imminent surgical robot growth story, unfavourable AGM voting patterns, and emerging retail opposition.</li>
</ul>


The precondition for Hangzhou Kangji Medical Instrument Co., Ltd. (9997 HK)’s scheme privatisation from a consortium is satisfied. The offer, which has been declared final, is at HK$9.25 per share. 
The key condition will be approval by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). Crucially, the blocking stake is below the substantial disclosure threshold.
Despite the recent derating of peers, the vote risk remains medium-to-high due to a solid interim, the imminent surgical robot growth story, unfavourable AGM voting patterns, and emerging retail opposition.


Kangji Medical (9997 HK): Precondition Satisfied for the Light Scheme Offer

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>WuXi Biologics’ Ireland facility has been approved by EMA as a commercial manufacturing site for a global client’s innovative biologic. Ab&amp;B Bio-Tech received approval for RSV vaccine in Chian.</li>
<li>Ascletis Pharma announced encouraging preclinical efficacy results for ASC47, a first-in-class muscle-preserving weight loss drug candidate. Remegen entered outlicensing agreement with Santen Pharmaceutical for a proprietary intravitreal injection.</li>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo’s Ifinatamab deruxtecan has been granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation by the FDA for small cell lung cancer. CSL intends to lay off 15% workforce and demerge CSL Seqirus.</li>
</ul>


WuXi Biologics’ Ireland facility has been approved by EMA as a commercial manufacturing site for a global client’s innovative biologic. Ab&amp;B Bio-Tech received approval for RSV vaccine in Chian.
Ascletis Pharma announced encouraging preclinical efficacy results for ASC47, a first-in-class muscle-preserving weight loss drug candidate. Remegen entered outlicensing agreement with Santen Pharmaceutical for a proprietary intravitreal injection.
Daiichi Sankyo’s Ifinatamab deruxtecan has been granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation by the FDA for small cell lung cancer. CSL intends to lay off 15% workforce and demerge CSL Seqirus.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Aug 24) – Wuxi Bio, Ab&B Bio, Ascletis Pharma, Remegen, Daiichi Sankyo, CSL

Equity Capital Markets

Sahajanand Medical Technologies Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Sahajanand Medical Technologies has re-filed DRHP for its Indian IPO consisting entirely an offer for sale of up to 27.6M equity shares. Key details are yet to be announced.</li>
<li>SMT is a medical device company, with focus on vascular intervention and structural heart products. The company markets its products in 76 countries, with international markets contributing ~70% of revenue.</li>
<li>SMT is well-positioned for sustainable long-term growth, driven by wide portfolio of superior products, market leadership in India and key international markets, strong commercial execution capability amid favorable industry tailwinds.</li>
</ul>


Sahajanand Medical Technologies has re-filed DRHP for its Indian IPO consisting entirely an offer for sale of up to 27.6M equity shares. Key details are yet to be announced.
SMT is a medical device company, with focus on vascular intervention and structural heart products. The company markets its products in 76 countries, with international markets contributing ~70% of revenue.
SMT is well-positioned for sustainable long-term growth, driven by wide portfolio of superior products, market leadership in India and key international markets, strong commercial execution capability amid favorable industry tailwinds.


Sahajanand Medical Pre-IPO: Superior Product Amid Favorable Industry Make the Issue Heartwarming

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hangzhou-kangji-medical-instrument-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28938:1" rel="noopener">Hangzhou Kangji Medical Instrument Co., Ltd. (9997 HK)</a> disclosed a preconditional privatisation from a consortium at HK$9.25, a 9.9% premium to last close and a 21.7% premium to the undisturbed price. </li>
<li>The precondition relates to SAMR approval. The key condition will be approval by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders' rejection). The offer is final. </li>
<li>The scheme vote risk is medium-to-high due to an unattractive offer, a blocking stake below the substantial disclosure threshold, unfavourable AGM voting patterns, and emerging retail opposition.</li>
</ul>



Hangzhou Kangji Medical Instrument Co., Ltd. (9997 HK) disclosed a preconditional privatisation from a consortium at HK$9.25, a 9.9% premium to last close and a 21.7% premium to the undisturbed price. 
The precondition relates to SAMR approval. The key condition will be approval by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders' rejection). The offer is final. 
The scheme vote risk is medium-to-high due to an unattractive offer, a blocking stake below the substantial disclosure threshold, unfavourable AGM voting patterns, and emerging retail opposition.


Kangji Medical (9997 HK): Consortium’s Light Preconditional Scheme Offer

China

Microport Scientific Corp. manufactures interventional and minimally invasive devices for keyhole surgery. The Company's products are used to treat vascular diseases and is developing devices to treat diabetes and orthopedic diseases.

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Microport Scientific (853 HK)

Buys in Japan and Europe; China Pulling Back -- Buy; MSCI ACWI Uptrend Intact

Buys in Japan and Europe; China's Shanghai Composite Pulling Back to 10-year Base Support -- Buy; MSCI $ACWI Uptrend Intact. Actionable Themes:...

Vermilion Research

Kangji Medical (9997 HK): Precondition Satisfied for the Light Scheme Offer

Despite the recent derating of peers, the vote risk remains medium to high due to the imminent growth story of surgical robots, unfavourable AGM...

Arun George

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Aug 24) – Wuxi Bio, Ab&B Bio, Ascletis Pharma, Remegen, Daiichi Sankyo, CSL

Wuxi Bio got EMA nod for Ireland manufacturing facility. Daiichi Sankyo got breakthrough therapy designation for its drug candidate in US. CSL...

Tina Banerjee

Sahajanand Medical Pre-IPO: Superior Product Amid Favorable Industry Make the Issue Heartwarming

Sahajanand Medical has re-filed DRHP for its Indian IPO consisting entirely an offer for sale of up to 27.6M equity shares. Key details like IPO...

Tina Banerjee

Kangji Medical (9997 HK): Consortium’s Light Preconditional Scheme Offer

The scheme vote risk is medium-to-high due to an unattractive offer, a blocking stake below the substantial disclosure threshold, unfavourable AGM...

Arun George

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