Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Hyperscaler CapEx could be slowing down, based on 4Q24 spending</li>
<li>Microsoft made a significant cut in Q4, but Amazon, Facebook, and Alibaba all made big increases</li>
<li>Industry CapEx as a percent of revenue has slowed its growth</li>
</ul>


Hyperscaler CapEx could be slowing down, based on 4Q24 spending
Microsoft made a significant cut in Q4, but Amazon, Facebook, and Alibaba all made big increases
Industry CapEx as a percent of revenue has slowed its growth


US IPOs and Secondary Offerings, IPO Boutique

IPO Boutique

US IPOs and Secondary Offerings

For more than 20 years, we have been providing research, analysis, commentary and ratings on US Equity Capital Markets to institutional investors (US IPOs and Secondary Offerings). Our vast network of contacts across the Equity Capital Markets and attention-to-detail sets us apart from our competitors.

Since 2012, we have achieved a successful hit rating on 89% of Buy-rated IPOs. The collective “Buy” ratings averaged a first trade of 16.3% above issue.Our Neutral Rated Deals averaged just 2% above the issue price at first trade.

Our written research includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

In addition, we provide a high-touch premium desk access which includes analyst access, as well as real time insights on US IPOs as well as secondary offerings.

IPOs and Secondary Offerings

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>One of the most anticipated IPOs of 2025 has officially filed its S-1 -- CoreWeave (CRWV US) . </li>
<li>Their revenue was $16 million, $229 million, and $1.9 billion for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively, representing year-over-year growth of 1,346% and 737%, respectively.</li>
<li>According to sources, the debut on CoreWeave Inc. is tentatively scheduled for the last week of March.</li>
</ul>


One of the most anticipated IPOs of 2025 has officially filed its S-1 -- CoreWeave (CRWV US) . 
Their revenue was $16 million, $229 million, and $1.9 billion for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively, representing year-over-year growth of 1,346% and 737%, respectively.
According to sources, the debut on CoreWeave Inc. is tentatively scheduled for the last week of March.


CoreWeave Inc. IPO (CRWV): Peeking at the Prospectus of Cloud Platform Managing AI Infrastructure

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

<ul>
<li>DeepSeek R1 is more than an open-source AI platform; it’s a geopolitical tool designed to reshape global collaboration, attract talent, and influence AI standards under the guise of transparency.</li>
<li>DeepSeek R1’s low-budget claim crafts the illusion of cost-efficiency, aimed at redirecting capital away from expensive U.S.-based AI ventures toward China’s AI ecosystem.</li>
<li>Launched during Trump’s inward-focused rhetoric, DeepSeek projects China as a viable, inclusive, and progressive alternative to the U.S., signaling a collaborative economic and trade option for nations.</li>
</ul>


DeepSeek R1 is more than an open-source AI platform; it’s a geopolitical tool designed to reshape global collaboration, attract talent, and influence AI standards under the guise of transparency.
DeepSeek R1’s low-budget claim crafts the illusion of cost-efficiency, aimed at redirecting capital away from expensive U.S.-based AI ventures toward China’s AI ecosystem.
Launched during Trump’s inward-focused rhetoric, DeepSeek projects China as a viable, inclusive, and progressive alternative to the U.S., signaling a collaborative economic and trade option for nations.


DeepSeek R1: An Attempt at Rearranging the World’s AI Furniture & Global Influence

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Smartphone 2024 small growth about +5% YoY. PC 2024 small unit growth +4%. Don’t expect much better in 2025 but the Silicon content will increase, both for processor and DRAM.</li>
<li>Lots of cuts in 2025 Semiconductor Capex. TSMC is up but Samsung, UMC, Intel down. Japan Semi Equipment association has revised down 2025 growth from 10% to 5%.</li>
<li>Cloud Capex booming. Microsoft announced US$80bn in FY25. Meta at US$60-65bn. TSMC to increase 5-3nm wafer price by 5-10%. The Ai segment of semiconductors is doing extremely well</li>
</ul>


Smartphone 2024 small growth about +5% YoY. PC 2024 small unit growth +4%. Don’t expect much better in 2025 but the Silicon content will increase, both for processor and DRAM.
Lots of cuts in 2025 Semiconductor Capex. TSMC is up but Samsung, UMC, Intel down. Japan Semi Equipment association has revised down 2025 growth from 10% to 5%.
Cloud Capex booming. Microsoft announced US$80bn in FY25. Meta at US$60-65bn. TSMC to increase 5-3nm wafer price by 5-10%. The Ai segment of semiconductors is doing extremely well


Tech News: Smartphone and PC Stabilize. Semicon Capex Cuts. Cloud Capex Up. TSMC Increasing Prices.

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The US election is the ultimate of known unknowns. The markets have endured both Trump and Biden/Harris so impactful policy surprises should be limited. </li>
<li>Hedging cost are running high for Asian equities post August unwind and September stimulus combined with election. </li>
<li>Markets have some momentum and in some cases mean reversion to the price move on the day after the election. </li>
</ul>


The US election is the ultimate of known unknowns. The markets have endured both Trump and Biden/Harris so impactful policy surprises should be limited. 
Hedging cost are running high for Asian equities post August unwind and September stimulus combined with election. 
Markets have some momentum and in some cases mean reversion to the price move on the day after the election. 


EQD | US Election -  Hedge Considerations

United States

Microsoft Corporation operates as a software company. The Company offers applications, extra cloud storage, and advanced security solutions. Microsoft serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Microsoft Corp (MSFT US)

IS AI Spending Poised to Fall?

Hyperscaler CapEx growth may be slowing as Microsoft cuts spending in Q4 while Amazon, Facebook, and Alibaba increase theirs, leading to a...

Jim Handy

CoreWeave Inc. IPO (CRWV): Peeking at the Prospectus of Cloud Platform Managing AI Infrastructure

CoreWeave (CRWV US) files for IPO with impressive revenue growth and a debut expected in March. This article outlines key takeaways from the...

IPO Boutique

DeepSeek R1: An Attempt at Rearranging the World’s AI Furniture & Global Influence

DeepSeek R1 is more than AI; it's a geopolitical tool reshaping global influence. Its low-budget claim fosters an illusion of cost-efficiency,...

Pyari Menon

Tech News: Smartphone and PC Stabilize. Semicon Capex Cuts. Cloud Capex Up. TSMC Increasing Prices.

Smartphone and PC small growth in 2024 and 2025, but Silicon content in processors and DRAM will increase. Semiconductor Capex cuts in 2025. Cloud...

Nicolas Baratte

EQD | US Election - Hedge Considerations

The US election brings uncertainty, but market impact should be limited due to enduring Trump and Biden/Harris policies. Asian equities face high...

John Ley

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

IS AI Spending Poised to Fall?

​Hyperscaler CapEx growth may be slowing as Microsoft cuts spending in Q4 while Amazon, Facebook, and Alibaba increase theirs, leading to a...

Jim Handy

CoreWeave Inc. IPO (CRWV): Peeking at the Prospectus of Cloud Platform Managing AI Infrastructure

​CoreWeave (CRWV US) files for IPO with impressive revenue growth and a debut expected in March. This article outlines key takeaways from the...

IPO Boutique

DeepSeek R1: An Attempt at Rearranging the World’s AI Furniture & Global Influence

DeepSeek R1 is more than AI; it's a geopolitical tool reshaping global influence. Its low-budget claim fosters an illusion of cost-efficiency,...

Pyari Menon

Tech News: Smartphone and PC Stabilize. Semicon Capex Cuts. Cloud Capex Up. TSMC Increasing Prices.

​Smartphone and PC small growth in 2024 and 2025, but Silicon content in processors and DRAM will increase. Semiconductor Capex cuts in 2025. Cloud...

Nicolas Baratte

EQD | US Election - Hedge Considerations

​The US election brings uncertainty, but market impact should be limited due to enduring Trump and Biden/Harris policies. Asian equities face high...

John Ley

Hyperscaler CapEx growth may be slowing as Microsoft cuts spending in Q4 while Amazon, Facebook, and Alibaba increase theirs, leading to a...

CoreWeave (CRWV US) files for IPO with impressive revenue growth and a debut expected in March. This article outlines key takeaways from the...

Smartphone and PC small growth in 2024 and 2025, but Silicon content in processors and DRAM will increase. Semiconductor Capex cuts in 2025. Cloud...

The US election brings uncertainty, but market impact should be limited due to enduring Trump and Biden/Harris policies. Asian equities face high...