Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng Indexes announces changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a>, HSIII Index and HSCI Index (among others) post market close today. </li>
<li>The net round-trip trade across the stocks is estimated to be HK$35bn (US$4.5bn) with big impact in a lot of stocks.</li>
<li>Capping will lead to most inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> while the largest outflows will be from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Hang Seng Indexes announces changes to the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, Hang Seng TECH Index, HSIII Index and HSCI Index (among others) post market close today. 
The net round-trip trade across the stocks is estimated to be HK$35bn (US$4.5bn) with big impact in a lot of stocks.
Capping will lead to most inflows to Meituan (3690 HK) while the largest outflows will be from Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) and Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK). 


Hang Seng Indexes: Announcement Today; Updated Flows (Some Big Ones)

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China's cloud companies like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-cloud-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36647:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ming-yuan-cloud-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29268:1" rel="noopener">Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK)</a> benefit from the democratization of AI its concurrent increased data needs.</li>
<li>China's telecom companies like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-unicom-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1016:1" rel="noopener">China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-telecom-corp-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1015:1" rel="noopener">China Telecom (H) (728 HK)</a> are now major players in the country's AI ecosystem.</li>
<li>China's data center companies like GDS Holdings (9698 HK) , 21Vianet Group (VNET US) , and SUNeVision Holdings (1686 HK) are benefiting from the increased data needs of AI industry.</li>
</ul>


China's cloud companies like Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK) and Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK) benefit from the democratization of AI its concurrent increased data needs.
China's telecom companies like China Mobile (941 HK) , China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK) and China Telecom (H) (728 HK) are now major players in the country's AI ecosystem.
China's data center companies like GDS Holdings (9698 HK) , 21Vianet Group (VNET US) , and SUNeVision Holdings (1686 HK) are benefiting from the increased data needs of AI industry.


Deepseek Rally Creates Winners in CLOUD, TELECOM and DATA CENTERS

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

Brilliance China Automotive / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With the Hang Seng Index dipping below the 15,000 mark earlier this week, it's time to dust off some old school perspective.</li>
<li>This insight looks at Benjamin Graham's Net Nets, (current assets less current liabilities), then subtract any debt not included in current liabilities. More simply, current assets less total liabilities.</li>
<li>Graham would conclude these stocks are priced for liquidation.  Stocks discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brilliance-china-automotive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:469:1" rel="noopener">Brilliance China (1114 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ming-yuan-cloud-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29268:1" rel="noopener">Ming Yuan (909 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yidu-tech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29245:1" rel="noopener">Yidu Tech (2158 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a-living-smart-city-services-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26728:1" rel="noopener">A-Living Smart City (3319 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


With the Hang Seng Index dipping below the 15,000 mark earlier this week, it's time to dust off some old school perspective.
This insight looks at Benjamin Graham's Net Nets, (current assets less current liabilities), then subtract any debt not included in current liabilities. More simply, current assets less total liabilities.
Graham would conclude these stocks are priced for liquidation.  Stocks discussed include Brilliance China (1114 HK), Ming Yuan (909 HK), Yidu Tech (2158 HK), and A-Living Smart City (3319 HK).


More Hong Kong Stocks Priced For Liquidation

Kingsoft Cloud Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Materials, Healthcare and Tech sectors continue to lead the Hong Kong Secular Bull Market higher. The tech sector has been re-rating since Alibaba (9988 HK) announced its AI chip.</li>
<li>Momentum, Growth, and Liquidity factors have led the Hong Kong market performance year-to-date.  Southbound flows into the Hong Kong market continue at historically high levels.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-cloud-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36647:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK)</a> was rated a BUY by Deutsche Bank with its initial target price of HK$11.  Shenwan Hongyuan initiates coverage of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/caocao-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:42803:1" rel="noopener">CaoCao (2643 HK)</a> a BUY.
</li>
</ul>


Materials, Healthcare and Tech sectors continue to lead the Hong Kong Secular Bull Market higher. The tech sector has been re-rating since Alibaba (9988 HK) announced its AI chip.
Momentum, Growth, and Liquidity factors have led the Hong Kong market performance year-to-date.  Southbound flows into the Hong Kong market continue at historically high levels.

Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK) was rated a BUY by Deutsche Bank with its initial target price of HK$11.  Shenwan Hongyuan initiates coverage of CaoCao (2643 HK) a BUY.



BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (October 5)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 12th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Horizon Robotics, Pop Mart Intl, BYD, Meituan, Ping An Insurance, Akeso, China Telecom, Xiaomi, Kuaishou.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 12th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Horizon Robotics, Pop Mart Intl, BYD, Meituan, Ping An Insurance, Akeso, China Telecom, Xiaomi, Kuaishou.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 12th): Alibaba, Horizon Robotics, Pop Mart Intl, BYD, Meituan

China

MYCG is a software solution provider in China with a focus on real estate. The company provides enterprise resource planning (ERP) solutions and SaaS products to property developers and other industry participants in the real estate value chain in China.

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Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK)

Hang Seng Indexes: Announcement Today; Updated Flows (Some Big Ones)

Hang Seng Indexes announces post market close today. There will be changes for the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII and HSCI indices. The net round-trip...

Brian Freitas

Deepseek Rally Creates Winners in CLOUD, TELECOM and DATA CENTERS

Cloud, Telecom and Data Center companies are winners from the DeepSeek sparked AI revolution. Increased data storage, processing and distribution...

David Mudd

More Hong Kong Stocks Priced For Liquidation

This note looks at Net Nets, (current assets less current liabilities), then subtract debt not included in current liabilities. Benjamin Graham...

David Blennerhassett

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (October 5)

Materials, Healthcare and Tech sectors continue to lead the Hong Kong Secular Bull Market higher. The tech sector has been re-rating since Alibaba...

David Mudd

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 12th): Alibaba, Horizon Robotics, Pop Mart Intl, BYD, Meituan

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba (9988 HK), Horizon Robotics (9660 HK), Pop Mart...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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