Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

GigaDevice Semiconductor / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 2 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)</a> ETF in June.</li>
<li>One of the inclusions will also have inflows from the FGlobal Index at the same time, leading to increased flow and impact.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yangtze-optical-fibre-and-cable-joint-stock-ltd-co-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:83:1" rel="noopener">Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (6869 HK)</a>'s discount has widened versus its A-shares, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crrc-corporation-limited-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:124:1" rel="noopener">CRRC (1766 HK)</a>'s discount has narrowed versus its A-shares. </li>
</ul>


There could be 2 constituent changes for the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) ETF in June.
One of the inclusions will also have inflows from the FGlobal Index at the same time, leading to increased flow and impact.

Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (6869 HK)'s discount has widened versus its A-shares, while CRRC (1766 HK)'s discount has narrowed versus its A-shares. 


FXI Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in June

<ul>
<li>The changes to the Hang Seng family of indices were announced post market close on Friday - final capping will use closing prices from 2 June.</li>
<li>There are 3 adds for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, 2 changes each for the<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener"> HSCEI</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, 1 change for the HSBIO Index and 7 adds for the HSCI Index.</li>
<li>There will be positioning in most stocks but there could be continued positioning in the names that will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the Hang Seng family of indices were announced post market close on Friday - final capping will use closing prices from 2 June.
There are 3 adds for the HSI, 2 changes each for the HSCEI and HSTECH, 1 change for the HSBIO Index and 7 adds for the HSCI Index.
There will be positioning in most stocks but there could be continued positioning in the names that will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.


Hang Seng Indexes: Changes Lead to US$6.6bn Trade; Plus Stock Connect & Global Index Inclusions

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng announced six immediate Connect ADDs and zero DELETEs, effective 8 Jun 2026. Three delayed ADDs remain outside this study pending stock splits.</li>
<li>Our 4 May forecast called five of six ADDs correctly.</li>
<li>Pre-Announcement cohort return matched history, but stock dispersion was far wider than prior cycles. Opening-gap size should drive bridge-window entry.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng announced six immediate Connect ADDs and zero DELETEs, effective 8 Jun 2026. Three delayed ADDs remain outside this study pending stock splits.
Our 4 May forecast called five of six ADDs correctly.
Pre-Announcement cohort return matched history, but stock dispersion was far wider than prior cycles. Opening-gap size should drive bridge-window entry.


HSCI / HK Connect June 2026 Implementation: Post-Announcement Positioning

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Shares of Shanghai Biren Technology, a fast-growing AI chip startup that develops intelligent processors for GPU and DSA computation architectures, rose ~149% since the IPO.</li>
<li>The company raised ~HK$6.4B or ~$820M in its Hong Kong IPO, including additional proceeds from the over-allotment shares and the full exercise of the offer size adjustment option.</li>
<li>The stock peaked at HK$60.00 in May and fell 19% over the next two weeks. The company’s early IPO lockup for cornerstone investors expires on July 1, 2026.   </li>
</ul>


Shares of Shanghai Biren Technology, a fast-growing AI chip startup that develops intelligent processors for GPU and DSA computation architectures, rose ~149% since the IPO.
The company raised ~HK$6.4B or ~$820M in its Hong Kong IPO, including additional proceeds from the over-allotment shares and the full exercise of the offer size adjustment option.
The stock peaked at HK$60.00 in May and fell 19% over the next two weeks. The company’s early IPO lockup for cornerstone investors expires on July 1, 2026.   


Biren Technology IPO Lockup (6082.HK): ˃US$700M Lockup Release for Cornerstone Investors

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing / Equity Derivatives

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK)</a> revenues stand to benefit from increased trading activity driven by index rebalancing flows ahead of the HSCI rebalance scheduled for end-May.</li>
<li>However, <strong>our current (model-based) tactical view is that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">388 HK</a> stock appears ready for consolidation, possibly beginning this coming week</strong>: overextended rally primed for a pullback.</li>
<li>With the HSCI rebalance announcement still ~2 weeks away, <strong>any pullback may offer an attractive entry point for long positioning at discounted prices.</strong>
</li>
</ul>



Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK) revenues stand to benefit from increased trading activity driven by index rebalancing flows ahead of the HSCI rebalance scheduled for end-May.
However, our current (model-based) tactical view is that 388 HK stock appears ready for consolidation, possibly beginning this coming week: overextended rally primed for a pullback.
With the HSCI rebalance announcement still ~2 weeks away, any pullback may offer an attractive entry point for long positioning at discounted prices.



HKEX (388 HK) Tactical Outlook Ahead of HSCI Rebalance

China

MiniMax Group is an artificial intelligence company that develops multimodal AI models and consumer applications. Its offerings include AI character apps like Talkie and Xingye, and video-generation services such as Hailuo AI. The company also creates proprietary foundation models capable of understanding, generating, and integrating various modalities including text, audio, images, video, and music. Headquartered in Shanghai, China, MiniMax was founded in December 2021.

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MiniMax (100 HK)

FXI Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in June

There could be 2 changes for the FXI in June. One of the adds will also be added to a global index at the same time. The H/A discount has widened...

Brian Freitas

Hang Seng Indexes: Changes Lead to US$6.6bn Trade; Plus Stock Connect & Global Index Inclusions

There are a number of constituent, float and capping changes for the Hang Seng family, leading to a US$6.6bn trade. Stock Connect additions, lock...

Brian Freitas

HSCI / HK Connect June 2026 Implementation: Post-Announcement Positioning

HSCI / HK Connect June cycle is post-announcement. Six ADDs enter the bridge window with no DELETEs. Opening-gap discipline matters, alongside...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Biren Technology IPO Lockup (6082.HK): ˃US$700M Lockup Release for Cornerstone Investors

Shanghai Biren Technology went public in 2026. IPO investors are still up ~149%. The company’s early IPO lockup for cornerstone investors expires...

Andrei Zakharov

HKEX (388 HK) Tactical Outlook Ahead of HSCI Rebalance

As predicted Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK) pulled back to the support zone we identified this insight on May 8th. 2 weeks down, 80%...

Nico Rosti

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