Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For September 2026, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$26bn.</li>
<li>
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in September was ~46%; and a year-to-date average of ~45%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For September 2026, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$26bn.

The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in September was ~46%; and a year-to-date average of ~45%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


Asia-Pac M&A [Sept 2026 Wrap]: Northern Star, Kadoya Sesame, Ingenia, Leopalace21, IDP, Sharingtech

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yinson-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3252:1" rel="noopener">Yinson Holdings (YNS MK)</a>, an energy infrastructure play, has re-affirmed privatisation talks with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/misc-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7928:1" rel="noopener">MISC (MISC MK)</a>, the founding Lim family, and EPF, at RM2.35/share, by way of a Scheme.</li>
<li>Yinson Legacy, a vehicle tied to Yinson's exec chair Lim Han Weng and his family hold 27.68%. EPF intends to roll-up its 17.09% into a back-end unlisted vehicle.</li>
<li>Indicative terms are light. MISC will be able to unlock material interest savings rolling up Yinson's debt exposure. 1H27 results are out tomorrow.</li>
</ul>



Yinson Holdings (YNS MK), an energy infrastructure play, has re-affirmed privatisation talks with MISC (MISC MK), the founding Lim family, and EPF, at RM2.35/share, by way of a Scheme.
Yinson Legacy, a vehicle tied to Yinson's exec chair Lim Han Weng and his family hold 27.68%. EPF intends to roll-up its 17.09% into a back-end unlisted vehicle.
Indicative terms are light. MISC will be able to unlock material interest savings rolling up Yinson's debt exposure. 1H27 results are out tomorrow.


Yinson (YNS MK): MISC Re-Affirms Talks. But Terms Not Firmed

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>On 25 September, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yinson-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3252:1" rel="noopener">Yinson Holdings (YNS MK)</a> said MISC and YLSB would be equal co-offerors in the scheme, with EPF keeping its stake and the indicative price unchanged at RM2.35.</li>
<li>KWAP holds a blocking stake but should back the deal, given its MAHB precedent, state links and MISC exposure. The main risk is vocal opposition from other minorities.</li>
<li>The offer looks light. It's 25.2% below the average analyst target, under the previously rumoured RM2.75–3.04 bids and at a 4% P/E discount to FPSO peers.</li>
</ul>


On 25 September, Yinson Holdings (YNS MK) said MISC and YLSB would be equal co-offerors in the scheme, with EPF keeping its stake and the indicative price unchanged at RM2.35.
KWAP holds a blocking stake but should back the deal, given its MAHB precedent, state links and MISC exposure. The main risk is vocal opposition from other minorities.
The offer looks light. It's 25.2% below the average analyst target, under the previously rumoured RM2.75–3.04 bids and at a 4% P/E discount to FPSO peers.


Yinson (YNS MK): MISC Steps up as Co-Offeror, but RM2.35 Still Looks Light

<ul>
<li>I tally 34 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>One new deals were was discussed on Smartkarma this week: the indicative Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yinson-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3252:1" rel="noopener">Yinson Holdings (YNS MK)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dentsu-soken-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20535:1" rel="noopener">Dentsu Soken (4812 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golfzon-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16376:1" rel="noopener">Golfzon Holdings (121440 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/energy-one-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19865:1" rel="noopener">Energy One Ltd (EOL AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avarga-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13105:1" rel="noopener">Avarga (AVARGA SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 34 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
One new deals were was discussed on Smartkarma this week: the indicative Offer for Yinson Holdings (YNS MK).
Key updates/news also took place on: Dentsu Soken (4812 JP), Golfzon Holdings (121440 KS), Energy One Ltd (EOL AU), and Avarga (AVARGA SP).


Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Dentsu Soken, Energy One, Yinson Holdings, Golfzon, Avarga

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10928:1" rel="noopener">SBI Holdings (8473 JP)</a> wants to buy 20% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/base-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28353:1" rel="noopener">BASE (4477 JP)</a> out of 46.7% likely available. That's unlikely at ¥340; they'll have to bump to get those shares.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/continental-aerospace-technologies-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15249:1" rel="noopener">Continental Aerospace Technologies (232 HK)</a> has played out nicely. There's still money on the table - just a question mark on timing for the distribution from "surplus cash".</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-chemical-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12781:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Chemical (4188 JP)</a>'s turnaround narrative sees it trading rich (implied stub &amp; simple ratio) to ~51%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-sanso-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15756:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Sanso Holdings (4091 JP)</a>'s steady-as-you-go narrative.</li>
</ul>



SBI Holdings (8473 JP) wants to buy 20% of BASE (4477 JP) out of 46.7% likely available. That's unlikely at ¥340; they'll have to bump to get those shares.

Continental Aerospace Technologies (232 HK) has played out nicely. There's still money on the table - just a question mark on timing for the distribution from "surplus cash".

Mitsubishi Chemical (4188 JP)'s turnaround narrative sees it trading rich (implied stub &amp; simple ratio) to ~51%-held Nippon Sanso Holdings (4091 JP)'s steady-as-you-go narrative.


Last Week In Event SPACE: SBI/BASE, Con Aero Tech, Mitsubishi Chem/Nippon Sanso, Swire Pac, Jollibee

Malaysia

MISC Berhad owns ships and operates shipping and related services. Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides trucking, warehousing and forwarding service, containers and prime movers repair, and container haulage. MISC Berhad also has operation in trucking and launch operator.

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Misc Bhd (MISC MK)

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MISC and YLSB are equal co-offerors at RM2.35. KWAP should back the scheme; minority opposition is the key risk. The offer looks light: 25% below...

Arun George

Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Dentsu Soken, Energy One, Yinson Holdings, Golfzon, Avarga

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: SBI/BASE, Con Aero Tech, Mitsubishi Chem/Nippon Sanso, Swire Pac, Jollibee

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

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