Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US falters over the day after a strong start with renewed tariff concerns depressing sentiment.</li>
<li>Banks and insurance rallied with Treasury yields over the day rising despite the pullback from equities.</li>
<li>US / Japan bilateral talks may push the BoJ into action.</li>
</ul>


US falters over the day after a strong start with renewed tariff concerns depressing sentiment.
Banks and insurance rallied with Treasury yields over the day rising despite the pullback from equities.
US / Japan bilateral talks may push the BoJ into action.


Japan Morning Connection: Reciprocal Tariff Deadline Looms but Japan Is Front of the Line in Talks

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>At a zero net debt zero net cash (securities liquidated) Adjusted Price/Earnings Ratio of 11.3x expected Net Income, the multiple offered <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP)</a> is not a knock-out.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a> investors hoping for a clean (er) exit, or where the back-end terms were clearly defined, will be disappointed. And minorities are active in this name. Avoid</li>
<li>New Trump Tariffs are not based on any actual tariffs, or non-tariff measures. The simple/explicit assumption is that if you run a trade surplus with the US, you are cheating.</li>
</ul>


At a zero net debt zero net cash (securities liquidated) Adjusted Price/Earnings Ratio of 11.3x expected Net Income, the multiple offered Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP) is not a knock-out.

ENN Energy (2688 HK) investors hoping for a clean (er) exit, or where the back-end terms were clearly defined, will be disappointed. And minorities are active in this name. Avoid
New Trump Tariffs are not based on any actual tariffs, or non-tariff measures. The simple/explicit assumption is that if you run a trade surplus with the US, you are cheating.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Makino, ENN Energy, Trump Tariffs, HKBN

Travis Lundy

Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There was a Nikkei article in December about the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-heavy-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13613:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP)</a> selling its interests in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-logisnext-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11662:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>The stock popped. Then popped some more. It was not expensive yet, but no longer dirt cheap. Now the stock is falling as Trump Tariffs threaten to throttle exports.</li>
<li>The reasons why this takeout price could be "high" are unchanged. Tariffs meant to drive US-manufacturing don't reduce need for forklifts. Logisnext is not badly placed.</li>
</ul>


There was a Nikkei article in December about the Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) selling its interests in Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP). 
The stock popped. Then popped some more. It was not expensive yet, but no longer dirt cheap. Now the stock is falling as Trump Tariffs threaten to throttle exports.
The reasons why this takeout price could be "high" are unchanged. Tariffs meant to drive US-manufacturing don't reduce need for forklifts. Logisnext is not badly placed.


Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105) - Worth Buying The Dip On Likely Sale

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

<ul>
<li>Asymmetric return opportunity in a short position in Japan - downside vs upside potential is skewed to the downside.</li>
<li>The weak JPY hasn’t helped the overall market and rising risk of a reversal similar to August 2024</li>
<li>We look at some sectors and stocks that are good short candidates</li>
</ul>


Asymmetric return opportunity in a short position in Japan - downside vs upside potential is skewed to the downside.
The weak JPY hasn’t helped the overall market and rising risk of a reversal similar to August 2024
We look at some sectors and stocks that are good short candidates


Tactical Trading - Time to Sell Japan. Again.

<ul>
<li>Tech and AI down again ahead of Trump's tariff 'liberation day' on April 2.</li>
<li>Wolfspeed -51% puts Renesas's $2bn advance payment for SiC under jeopardy.</li>
<li>Dead rat, anyone? Should be positive for Yoshinoya as Sukiya shutters most stores.</li>
</ul>


Tech and AI down again ahead of Trump's tariff 'liberation day' on April 2.
Wolfspeed -51% puts Renesas's $2bn advance payment for SiC under jeopardy.
Dead rat, anyone? Should be positive for Yoshinoya as Sukiya shutters most stores.


Japan Morning Connection: US Defense Secretary Hegseth Reconfirming Commitment to Japan

Japan

Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. is a comprehensive heavy machinery maker. The Company manufactures machinery, ships, turbines and engines, prime movers, aircrafts, and machine parts for military and commercial use.  Mitsubishi Heavy Industries also researches and develops nuclear power plants.

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Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Reciprocal Tariff Deadline Looms but Japan Is Front of the Line in Talks

US markets struggle as renewed tariff concerns dampen sentiment. Banks and insurance rally as Treasury yields rose. US/Japan talks could prompt...

Andrew Jackson

Last Week in Event SPACE: Makino, ENN Energy, Trump Tariffs, HKBN

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105) - Worth Buying The Dip On Likely Sale

Logisnext is dipping on market dip (some would put it more strongly). This deal is not specifically tariff-risk (imho) because US mfg plants are an...

Travis Lundy

Tactical Trading - Time to Sell Japan. Again.

It's the perfect storm for the Japanese market. Tariffs, JPY, rising rates and inflation, with growth weakening. The 2,800 level on Topix has been...

Rikki Malik

Japan Morning Connection: US Defense Secretary Hegseth Reconfirming Commitment to Japan

Tech and AI still down as Trump's liberation day approaches; Wolfspeed -51% puts Renesas in poor position, Yoshinoya should benefit from Sukiya...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Reciprocal Tariff Deadline Looms but Japan Is Front of the Line in Talks

​US markets struggle as renewed tariff concerns dampen sentiment. Banks and insurance rally as Treasury yields rose. US/Japan talks could prompt...

Andrew Jackson

Last Week in Event SPACE: Makino, ENN Energy, Trump Tariffs, HKBN

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105) - Worth Buying The Dip On Likely Sale

Logisnext is dipping on market dip (some would put it more strongly). This deal is not specifically tariff-risk (imho) because US mfg plants are an...

Travis Lundy

Tactical Trading - Time to Sell Japan. Again.

It's the perfect storm for the Japanese market. Tariffs, JPY, rising rates and inflation, with growth weakening. The 2,800 level on Topix has been...

Rikki Malik

Japan Morning Connection: US Defense Secretary Hegseth Reconfirming Commitment to Japan

Tech and AI still down as Trump's liberation day approaches; Wolfspeed -51% puts Renesas in poor position, Yoshinoya should benefit from Sukiya...

Andrew Jackson

US markets struggle as renewed tariff concerns dampen sentiment. Banks and insurance rally as Treasury yields rose. US/Japan talks could prompt...