Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Macro: Nuclear restarts (Tomari-3, Aug-25) and record defense budgets underpin demand for JSW’s forgings.</li>
<li>Results: Q1 FY25 showed solid YoY growth (revenue +7%, OP +21%) with margins lifted by defense/nuclear.</li>
<li>Valuation/Risks: Shares trade at ~26× P/E on a ¥508 bn backlog; upside rests on execution, with delays the key risk.</li>
</ul>


Macro: Nuclear restarts (Tomari-3, Aug-25) and record defense budgets underpin demand for JSW’s forgings.
Results: Q1 FY25 showed solid YoY growth (revenue +7%, OP +21%) with margins lifted by defense/nuclear.
Valuation/Risks: Shares trade at ~26× P/E on a ¥508 bn backlog; upside rests on execution, with delays the key risk.


JSW: Backlog 2× Sales, Nuclear Edge Drives Upside

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 5th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,638m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Nidec, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Furukawa Electric, Fast Retailing, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Hitachi, Kioxia, Lasertec, Nidec, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Furukawa Electric.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 5th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,638m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Nidec, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Furukawa Electric, Fast Retailing, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Hitachi, Kioxia, Lasertec, Nidec, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Furukawa Electric.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 5th): Nidec, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Furukawa Electric

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 29th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,417m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Ryohin Keikaku, Disco, Yoshinoya, Advantest, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Fast Retailing, Nintendo, Fujikura, Furukawa Electric, Ryohin Keikaku, Disco, Yoshinoya, Advantest.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 29th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,417m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Ryohin Keikaku, Disco, Yoshinoya, Advantest, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Fast Retailing, Nintendo, Fujikura, Furukawa Electric, Ryohin Keikaku, Disco, Yoshinoya, Advantest.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 29th): Ryohin Keikaku, Disco, Yoshinoya, Advantest

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 22nd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD15,656m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Sanrio, Disco, Tokyo Electron, IHI, Fujikura, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Lasertec, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Softbank, Mitsubishi Ufj Financial, Sanrio.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 22nd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD15,656m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Sanrio, Disco, Tokyo Electron, IHI, Fujikura, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Lasertec, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Softbank, Mitsubishi Ufj Financial, Sanrio.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 22nd): SoftBank, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Sanrio, Disco

Mitsubishi Heavy Industries / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>MHI posted Q1 FY25 revenue +7% and business profit +25% with resilient Energy/Aero margins.</li>
<li>Orders/Backlog/Guidance: Order intake fell 4% on tough comps, but backlog hit a record ¥10.8 tn (2.1× cover); FY25 guidance of ¥4.95 tn revenue and ¥380 bn profit maintained.</li>
<li>Valuation/Growth: Shares trade at ~19× FY27E EV/EBITDA vs peers at 10–15×, supported by 5–6% revenue CAGR and ~9–10% EPS CAGR through FY28.</li>
</ul>


MHI posted Q1 FY25 revenue +7% and business profit +25% with resilient Energy/Aero margins.
Orders/Backlog/Guidance: Order intake fell 4% on tough comps, but backlog hit a record ¥10.8 tn (2.1× cover); FY25 guidance of ¥4.95 tn revenue and ¥380 bn profit maintained.
Valuation/Growth: Shares trade at ~19× FY27E EV/EBITDA vs peers at 10–15×, supported by 5–6% revenue CAGR and ~9–10% EPS CAGR through FY28.


MHI (7011 JP) Q1 Beat: Record Backlog & Policy Tailwinds Support Premium Valuation

Japan

Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. is a comprehensive heavy machinery maker. The Company manufactures machinery, ships, turbines and engines, prime movers, aircrafts, and machine parts for military and commercial use.  Mitsubishi Heavy Industries also researches and develops nuclear power plants.

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Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP)

JSW: Backlog 2× Sales, Nuclear Edge Drives Upside

Strong demand for JSW's forgings driven by nuclear restarts and record defense budgets, Q1 FY25 results show solid growth with margins lifted by...

Rahul Jain

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 5th): Nidec, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Furukawa Electric

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Nidec (6594 JP), Disco (6146 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 29th): Ryohin Keikaku, Disco, Yoshinoya, Advantest

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP), Disco (6146 JP), Yoshinoya (9861 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 22nd): SoftBank, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Sanrio, Disco

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (8306 JP), Sanrio...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MHI (7011 JP) Q1 Beat: Record Backlog & Policy Tailwinds Support Premium Valuation

MHI reports strong Q1 FY25 results with revenue and profit growth, record backlog, and solid growth prospects driving higher valuation compared to...

Rahul Jain

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

JSW: Backlog 2× Sales, Nuclear Edge Drives Upside

​Strong demand for JSW's forgings driven by nuclear restarts and record defense budgets, Q1 FY25 results show solid growth with margins lifted by...

Rahul Jain

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 5th): Nidec, Disco, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Furukawa Electric

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Nidec (6594 JP), Disco (6146 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 29th): Ryohin Keikaku, Disco, Yoshinoya, Advantest

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP), Disco (6146 JP), Yoshinoya (9861 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 22nd): SoftBank, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Sanrio, Disco

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (8306 JP), Sanrio...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MHI (7011 JP) Q1 Beat: Record Backlog & Policy Tailwinds Support Premium Valuation

​MHI reports strong Q1 FY25 results with revenue and profit growth, record backlog, and solid growth prospects driving higher valuation compared to...

Rahul Jain

Strong demand for JSW's forgings driven by nuclear restarts and record defense budgets, Q1 FY25 results show solid growth with margins lifted by...

MHI reports strong Q1 FY25 results with revenue and profit growth, record backlog, and solid growth prospects driving higher valuation compared to...