Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

SBI Sumishin Net Bank  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This is not a typo: SBI Sumishin Net Bank saw loans up 21% YoY in 1Q24, operating in Japan</li>
<li>The bank has achieved cost scale, with acquisition cost per account a fraction of 2 yrs ago</li>
<li>Credit quality remains exceptional, amongst best in Japan, with 0.06% NPL ratio in 1Q24</li>
</ul>


This is not a typo: SBI Sumishin Net Bank saw loans up 21% YoY in 1Q24, operating in Japan
The bank has achieved cost scale, with acquisition cost per account a fraction of 2 yrs ago
Credit quality remains exceptional, amongst best in Japan, with 0.06% NPL ratio in 1Q24


SBI Sumishin Net Bank - Dramatic ROA Expansion, Steady & Strong, Profit & Loan Growth, ROE at 19%

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of May 23rd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD16,904m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Kusuri No Aoki, Toyota Industries, Fujikura, Sompo, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Furukawa Electric, Softbank, Advantest, Mizuho Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of May 23rd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD16,904m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Kusuri No Aoki, Toyota Industries, Fujikura, Sompo, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Furukawa Electric, Softbank, Advantest, Mizuho Financial.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (May 23rd): Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Kusuri No Aoki, Toyota Industries

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>There is very high delta in 30-year JGB yields in the recent month, and preceding periods</li>
<li>This is very much unlike what we see with the 1-year JGBs, different implications.</li>
<li>Insurance companies are the major holders of long-dated JGBs where banks have low duration on their bond holdings.</li>
</ul>


There is very high delta in 30-year JGB yields in the recent month, and preceding periods
This is very much unlike what we see with the 1-year JGBs, different implications.
Insurance companies are the major holders of long-dated JGBs where banks have low duration on their bond holdings.


Japan - Sharply Higher Long-Dated JGBs Should Mean Sizable Valuation Losses at Insurers, Not Banks

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

<ul>
<li>Does the underperformance since the recent results announcement provide an opportunity?</li>
<li>While the company strategy is moving in the right direction, the pace of change is slow.</li>
<li>With ownership of Japan Post Bank reduced to below 50%, there is potential change afoot there</li>
</ul>


Does the underperformance since the recent results announcement provide an opportunity?
While the company strategy is moving in the right direction, the pace of change is slow.
With ownership of Japan Post Bank reduced to below 50%, there is potential change afoot there


Japan Post Holdings – Waiting for Godot...

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of May 16th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD16,876m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, margin trading position as multiples of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Dena, Rakuten, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Toyota Motor, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Mitsubishi Ufj Financial, Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of May 16th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD16,876m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, margin trading position as multiples of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Dena, Rakuten, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Toyota Motor, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Mitsubishi Ufj Financial, Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (May 16th): Dena, Rakuten, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Toyota Motor

Japan

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. (MUFG) is a holding company established through the merger of Mitsubishi Tokyo Financial Group and UFJ Holdings. As a financial group, the Company provides a variety of financial and investment services including commercial banking, trust banking, international finance, and assets management services.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) ADR (MUFG US)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) ADR (MUFG US)

SBI Sumishin Net Bank - Dramatic ROA Expansion, Steady & Strong, Profit & Loan Growth, ROE at 19%

With NTT Docomo tender bid of SBI Sumishin, well highlighted by Travis Lundy, it may be worthwhile looking at core banking merits of the internet...

Daniel Tabbush

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (May 23rd): Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Kusuri No Aoki, Toyota Industries

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP), Kusuri No Aoki (3549 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan - Sharply Higher Long-Dated JGBs Should Mean Sizable Valuation Losses at Insurers, Not Banks

Japan's insurance companies are more exposed and highly exposed to rising long-dated JGB yields, unlike for banks. The former will have more...

Daniel Tabbush

Japan Post Holdings – Waiting for Godot...

Underperformance post-results announcement may present opportunity as strategy shifts slowly and ownership of Japan Post Bank changes hands.

Rikki Malik

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (May 16th): Dena, Rakuten, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Toyota Motor

We analyzed JPX margin trading position report for the past week and highlighted margin trading activities in Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Kawasaki Heavy...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SBI Sumishin Net Bank - Dramatic ROA Expansion, Steady & Strong, Profit & Loan Growth, ROE at 19%

With NTT Docomo tender bid of SBI Sumishin, well highlighted by Travis Lundy, it may be worthwhile looking at core banking merits of the internet...

Daniel Tabbush

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (May 23rd): Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Kusuri No Aoki, Toyota Industries

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP), Kusuri No Aoki (3549 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan - Sharply Higher Long-Dated JGBs Should Mean Sizable Valuation Losses at Insurers, Not Banks

Japan's insurance companies are more exposed and highly exposed to rising long-dated JGB yields, unlike for banks. The former will have more...

Daniel Tabbush

Japan Post Holdings – Waiting for Godot...

​Underperformance post-results announcement may present opportunity as strategy shifts slowly and ownership of Japan Post Bank changes hands.

Rikki Malik

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (May 16th): Dena, Rakuten, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Toyota Motor

We analyzed JPX margin trading position report for the past week and highlighted margin trading activities in Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Kawasaki Heavy...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Underperformance post-results announcement may present opportunity as strategy shifts slowly and ownership of Japan Post Bank changes hands.