Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the post-announcement return pattern of MS-Japan rebalance stocks in the context of past MSCI Japan cycles.</li>
<li>DELETE: 14 names averaged -5.3% WPreA alpha before announcement; all 14 negative; flat on WAI Day 1. </li>
<li>ADD: All three stocks ran +18-21% WPreA alpha before announcement. WAI Day 1 returns split by velocity group. Historical ADD WAI alpha is mixed across prior cycles.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the post-announcement return pattern of MS-Japan rebalance stocks in the context of past MSCI Japan cycles.
DELETE: 14 names averaged -5.3% WPreA alpha before announcement; all 14 negative; flat on WAI Day 1. 
ADD: All three stocks ran +18-21% WPreA alpha before announcement. WAI Day 1 returns split by velocity group. Historical ADD WAI alpha is mixed across prior cycles.


MS-Japan May 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Trading Pattern

Doing bespoke work since 2002....., Custom Products Group

Patrick Hansen

Doing bespoke work since 2002.....

Custom Products Group

Custom Products was started 14 years ago at Lehman Brothers by current co-founder Patrick Hansen, CFA. After 3 years at Lehman, Patrick moved the team to Macquarie Securities where Simon Rigney (co-founder) joined. 3 years ago we took Custom Products independent. 

Our core strength can be summed up three words. 1- Customization - we have very little off the shelf products and most work is done on a one on one bespoke basis. 2- Speed - We pride ourselves in our ability to get requests back to the client very quickly. 3- Confidentiality - We do not redistribute. There is no grace period where we wait a week and then mass blast. Any request stops with that client.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Earnings will start in earnest in the next couple of weeks and so we thought we would take a look at 1- companies that have recently revised full-year EPS guidance 2- names where there is a significant gap between guidance and consensus and 3- names where there is a big variance in consensus estimates.First we looked at names that have revised up full-year EPS guidance in the last 2 months. On the positive side, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/359" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1">Japan Post Holdings Co Ltd (6178 JP)</a> revised up EPS guidance by 13%, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/638" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:638:1">JX Holdings Inc</a>…

Earnings will start in earnest in the next couple of weeks and so we thought we would take a look at 1- companies that have recently revised full-year EPS guidance 2- names where there is a significant gap between guidance and consensus and 3- names where there is a big variance in consensus estimates.First we looked at names that have revised up full-year EPS guidance in the last 2 months. On the positive side, Japan Post Holdings Co Ltd (6178 JP) revised up EPS guidance by 13%, JX Holdings Inc…

With Earnings About to Start, Names that Have Recently Revised or Have Analysts Still Confused....

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Apr 24th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD24,585m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, SoftBank, Lasertec, Nintendo, Disco, Sumitomo Pharma, Fast Retailing, Furukawa Electric, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Toyota Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Apr 24th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD24,585m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, SoftBank, Lasertec, Nintendo, Disco, Sumitomo Pharma, Fast Retailing, Furukawa Electric, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Toyota Motor.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Apr 24th): Kioxia, SoftBank, Lasertec, Nintendo, Disco, Sumitomo Pharma

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Chartonics flash Tuesday 30 August 2016USD/JPY macro low and position update webcast<div>We have made a USD bull case from JPY 100 or 95 if we broke below 100 with a bull pivot above USD/JPY 101 which was triggered Friday. The bigger test revolves around USD sustainability above 101 and a successful test on the lower 101 pullback zone followed by a move through the second hurdle at 102.70. MT pivot resistance lies at 104 (macro bull targets come in at 110 and 114 with ideal objective at 114/117 in…</div>

Chartonics flash Tuesday 30 August 2016USD/JPY macro low and position update webcastWe have made a USD bull case from JPY 100 or 95 if we broke below 100 with a bull pivot above USD/JPY 101 which was triggered Friday. The bigger test revolves around USD sustainability above 101 and a successful test on the lower 101 pullback zone followed by a move through the second hurdle at 102.70. MT pivot resistance lies at 104 (macro bull targets come in at 110 and 114 with ideal objective at 114/117 in…

USD/JPY Macro Low and Fresh Position Webcast

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Mar 6th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD25,673m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Kioxia, IHI, Fujikura, Toyota Motor, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Fast Retailing, Nintendo, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, SoftBank.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Mar 6th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD25,673m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Kioxia, IHI, Fujikura, Toyota Motor, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Fast Retailing, Nintendo, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, SoftBank.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Mar 6th): Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Kioxia, IHI, Fujikura, Toyota Motor

Japan

Mitsui Kinzoku Company, Limited provides fabricated metal materials. The Company manufactures non-ferrous metal such as aluminum and copper alloys, as well as produces transformable products, electronic materials, industrial chemicals, and automobile parts. Mitsui Kinzoku serves customers worldwide.

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Mitsui Kinzoku Company (5706 JP)

MS-Japan May 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Trading Pattern

Following MSCI May 2026 announcement, we a look at the trading pattern of affected stocks from historical perspective by overlaying it with past...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

With Earnings About to Start, Names that Have Recently Revised or Have Analysts Still Confused....

Earnings will start in earnest in the next couple of weeks and so we thought we would take a look at 1- companies that have recently revised...

Custom Products Group

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Apr 24th): Kioxia, SoftBank, Lasertec, Nintendo, Disco, Sumitomo Pharma

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Kioxia (285A JP), SoftBank (9984 JP), Lasertec (6920 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

USD/JPY Macro Low and Fresh Position Webcast

Chartonics flash Tuesday 30 August 2016USD/JPY macro low and position update webcastWe have made a USD bull case from JPY 100 or 95 if we broke...

Thomas Schroeder

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Mar 6th): Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Kioxia, IHI, Fujikura, Toyota Motor

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (8306 JP), Kioxia (285A JP), IHI (7013...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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