Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide an early look at the potential additions and deletions to KOSPI200 rebalance in December 2025.</li>
<li>The seven potential additions are up on average 200% YTD. The eight potential deletion candidates are down on average 8.8% YTD. KOSPI is up 44.7% YTD.</li>
<li>The average market cap of the seven potential additions is 3.5 trillion won. The average market cap of the seven potential deletion candidates is 0.6 trillion won.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide an early look at the potential additions and deletions to KOSPI200 rebalance in December 2025.
The seven potential additions are up on average 200% YTD. The eight potential deletion candidates are down on average 8.8% YTD. KOSPI is up 44.7% YTD.
The average market cap of the seven potential additions is 3.5 trillion won. The average market cap of the seven potential deletion candidates is 0.6 trillion won.


Potential Additions and Deletions to KOSPI200 in December 2025

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There will be 8 additions and 8 deletions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 12 June.</li>
<li>The inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-district-heating-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8806:1" rel="noopener">Korea District Heating (071320 KS)</a> is a surprise and leads to an extra deletion - all the other adds are exactly in line with forecasts.</li>
<li>The list of adds has been stable for the last few months and the stocks have outperformed the deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> since the start of the review period.</li>
</ul>


There will be 8 additions and 8 deletions for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 12 June.
The inclusion of Korea District Heating (071320 KS) is a surprise and leads to an extra deletion - all the other adds are exactly in line with forecasts.
The list of adds has been stable for the last few months and the stocks have outperformed the deletes and the KOSPI2 INDEX since the start of the review period.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: 8 Changes a Side with 2 Surprises

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Korea Exchange announced its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> rebalance changes on 27 May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/sanghyun-park" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:354" rel="noopener">Sanghyun Park</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/douglas-kim" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:342" rel="noopener">Douglas Kim</a> wrote extensively about this, here we want to focus purely on the tactical strategy.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> pulled back last week, then surged on Monday and stagnated on Tuesday, the index <strong>has plenty of room to go higher according to our model.</strong>
</li>
<li>According to our model,<strong> the number of rallies vastly offset the number of pullbacks when this pattern is encountered (=pullbacks are rare), this could be read as a bullish indication.</strong>
</li>
</ul>


Korea Exchange announced its KOSPI 200 rebalance changes on 27 May, Sanghyun Park and Douglas Kim wrote extensively about this, here we want to focus purely on the tactical strategy.
The KOSPI 200 INDEX pulled back last week, then surged on Monday and stagnated on Tuesday, the index has plenty of room to go higher according to our model.

According to our model, the number of rallies vastly offset the number of pullbacks when this pattern is encountered (=pullbacks are rare), this could be read as a bullish indication.



KOSPI 200 Tactical Outlook After Index Rebalancing

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there could be 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in June.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 1.6-22 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 3.6-16.5 days of ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/han-kuk-carbon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17241:1" rel="noopener">Han Kuk Carbon (017960 KS)</a> appeared as a forecast add in the week starting 22 March and the stock is up 38% since then.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there could be 7 changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in June.
The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 1.6-22 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 3.6-16.5 days of ADV.

Han Kuk Carbon (017960 KS) appeared as a forecast add in the week starting 22 March and the stock is up 38% since then.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side for June

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Short selling returns March 31, after 85% of the KOSPI 200’s rebalancing. Stocks set for removal will be prime short targets.</li>
<li>Stocks removed have solid liquidity, tight passive impact gaps between them, and with short selling restarting March 31, we could see intensified volume in the short basket.</li>
<li>With rebalance ahead, price action may start early. Market exposure means aggressive moves could happen before the end of March, so consider building futures positions before short selling resumes.</li>
</ul>


Short selling returns March 31, after 85% of the KOSPI 200’s rebalancing. Stocks set for removal will be prime short targets.
Stocks removed have solid liquidity, tight passive impact gaps between them, and with short selling restarting March 31, we could see intensified volume in the short basket.
With rebalance ahead, price action may start early. Market exposure means aggressive moves could happen before the end of March, so consider building futures positions before short selling resumes.


Play the Timing Sweet Spot Between KOSPI 200 Rebal and Short Selling Coming Back into Play

South Korea

Miwon Specialty Chemical Co., Ltd. produces and supplies basic raw materials for energy curing systems. The Company produces acrylate, methacrylate monomers, oligomers, photoinitiators, and other related chemicals. Miwon Specialty Chemical serves customers in South Korea.

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Miwon Specialty Chemical (268280 KS)

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Nico Rosti

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Brian Freitas

Play the Timing Sweet Spot Between KOSPI 200 Rebal and Short Selling Coming Back into Play

The KOSPI 200 June rebalance screening is almost done. The adds and deletes are mostly as expected from my Jan screen, with the same names likely...

Sanghyun Park

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