Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide an early look at the potential additions and deletions to KOSPI200 rebalance in December 2025.</li>
<li>The seven potential additions are up on average 200% YTD. The eight potential deletion candidates are down on average 8.8% YTD. KOSPI is up 44.7% YTD.</li>
<li>The average market cap of the seven potential additions is 3.5 trillion won. The average market cap of the seven potential deletion candidates is 0.6 trillion won.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide an early look at the potential additions and deletions to KOSPI200 rebalance in December 2025.
The seven potential additions are up on average 200% YTD. The eight potential deletion candidates are down on average 8.8% YTD. KOSPI is up 44.7% YTD.
The average market cap of the seven potential additions is 3.5 trillion won. The average market cap of the seven potential deletion candidates is 0.6 trillion won.


Potential Additions and Deletions to KOSPI200 in December 2025

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There will be 8 additions and 8 deletions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 12 June.</li>
<li>The inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-district-heating-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8806:1" rel="noopener">Korea District Heating (071320 KS)</a> is a surprise and leads to an extra deletion - all the other adds are exactly in line with forecasts.</li>
<li>The list of adds has been stable for the last few months and the stocks have outperformed the deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> since the start of the review period.</li>
</ul>


There will be 8 additions and 8 deletions for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 12 June.
The inclusion of Korea District Heating (071320 KS) is a surprise and leads to an extra deletion - all the other adds are exactly in line with forecasts.
The list of adds has been stable for the last few months and the stocks have outperformed the deletes and the KOSPI2 INDEX since the start of the review period.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: 8 Changes a Side with 2 Surprises

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Equity Derivatives

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>Korea Exchange announced its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> rebalance changes on 27 May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/sanghyun-park" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:354" rel="noopener">Sanghyun Park</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/douglas-kim" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:342" rel="noopener">Douglas Kim</a> wrote extensively about this, here we want to focus purely on the tactical strategy.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> pulled back last week, then surged on Monday and stagnated on Tuesday, the index has plenty of room to go higher according to our model.
</li>
<li>According to our model, the number of rallies vastly offset the number of pullbacks when this pattern is encountered (=pullbacks are rare), this could be read as a bullish indication.
</li>
</ul>


Korea Exchange announced its KOSPI 200 rebalance changes on 27 May, Sanghyun Park and Douglas Kim wrote extensively about this, here we want to focus purely on the tactical strategy.
The KOSPI 200 INDEX pulled back last week, then surged on Monday and stagnated on Tuesday, the index has plenty of room to go higher according to our model.

According to our model, the number of rallies vastly offset the number of pullbacks when this pattern is encountered (=pullbacks are rare), this could be read as a bullish indication.



KOSPI 200 Tactical Outlook After Index Rebalancing

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Miwon Specialty Chemical / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The June 2025 index review results for the KOSPI Indices were announced after the close on Tuesday 27th May 2024.</li>
<li>There will be eight ADDs and eight DELs for KOSPI 200 during the June 2025 index rebal event. Some have high impact but round-trip flow is about US$175mm.</li>
<li>We were expecting six ADDs and six DELs. All of those turned out to be correct but there were some surprises (more ADDs and DELs than we expected). Explained below.</li>
</ul>


The June 2025 index review results for the KOSPI Indices were announced after the close on Tuesday 27th May 2024.
There will be eight ADDs and eight DELs for KOSPI 200 during the June 2025 index rebal event. Some have high impact but round-trip flow is about US$175mm.
We were expecting six ADDs and six DELs. All of those turned out to be correct but there were some surprises (more ADDs and DELs than we expected). Explained below.


KOSPI200 Jun25 Rebal: A Whopping 8 ADDs 8 DELETEs, At Least 1 Surprise - Some High ADV Changes

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there could be 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in June.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 1.6-22 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 3.6-16.5 days of ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/han-kuk-carbon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17241:1" rel="noopener">Han Kuk Carbon (017960 KS)</a> appeared as a forecast add in the week starting 22 March and the stock is up 38% since then.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there could be 7 changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in June.
The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 1.6-22 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 3.6-16.5 days of ADV.

Han Kuk Carbon (017960 KS) appeared as a forecast add in the week starting 22 March and the stock is up 38% since then.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side for June

South Korea

Miwon Specialty Chemical Co., Ltd. produces and supplies basic raw materials for energy curing systems. The Company produces acrylate, methacrylate monomers, oligomers, photoinitiators, and other related chemicals. Miwon Specialty Chemical serves customers in South Korea.

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Miwon Specialty Chemical (268280 KS)

Potential Additions and Deletions to KOSPI200 in December 2025

In this insight, we provide an early look at the potential additions and deletions to KOSPI200 rebalance in December 2025. The seven potential...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: 8 Changes a Side with 2 Surprises

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Brian Freitas

KOSPI 200 Tactical Outlook After Index Rebalancing

The fresh KOSPI 200 rebalance changes may affect tactical strategies, this insight examines the index's current outlook using our probabilistic...

Nico Rosti

KOSPI200 Jun25 Rebal: A Whopping 8 ADDs 8 DELETEs, At Least 1 Surprise - Some High ADV Changes

KOSPI announced its KOSPI 200 changes for the June 2025 rebalance today. 8 ADDs, 8 DELETEs. We expected 6, missed one because of a float difference...

Travis Lundy

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side for June

There could be 7 changes for the KOSPI200 in June. Potential impact ranges from 1.6-22 days of ADV. HDC Holdings has jumped the most while Hankuk...

Brian Freitas

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