HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" have led to over 10% fall in the Hong Kong market, but there are some names that only came down by 3.2% on average.</li>
<li>Their characteristics are: 1.) domestically focused, 2.) net cash position, 3.) secure demand, 4.) consumption downgrade beneficiary, and 5.) good dividends.</li>
<li>These stocks are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinhua-winshare-publishing-media-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15072:1" rel="noopener">Xinhua Winshare (811 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lonking-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3944:1" rel="noopener">Lonking Holdings (3339 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kunlun-energy-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10054:1" rel="noopener">Kunlun Energy (135 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (2097 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-east-education-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27843:1" rel="noopener">China East Education (667 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" have led to over 10% fall in the Hong Kong market, but there are some names that only came down by 3.2% on average.
Their characteristics are: 1.) domestically focused, 2.) net cash position, 3.) secure demand, 4.) consumption downgrade beneficiary, and 5.) good dividends.
These stocks are Xinhua Winshare (811 HK), Lonking Holdings (3339 HK), Kunlun Energy (135 HK), Mixue Group (2097 HK), and China East Education (667 HK). 


China & HK Strategy: Which Stocks Will Thrive?

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>Following existing home last week, new home sales also posted positive YoY growth. </li>
<li>LI is getting ready for its major battle of the year with BEV launch. It is focused, but we doubt it is enough;</li>
<li>MNSO guided down its C4Q24 and we believe it will miss 2025 as well. Offline grocery is under constant assault by O2O and online e-commerce. </li>
</ul>


Following existing home last week, new home sales also posted positive YoY growth. 
LI is getting ready for its major battle of the year with BEV launch. It is focused, but we doubt it is enough;
MNSO guided down its C4Q24 and we believe it will miss 2025 as well. Offline grocery is under constant assault by O2O and online e-commerce. 


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 9/52] New Home Sales Also Turned Positive YoY

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

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Cross Asset Strategy

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China

MIXUE Group is a leading company specializing in the development, production, and franchise operation of freshly-made ice cream and tea beverages, including fruit drinks and coffee, under its Mixue and Lucky Cup brands. The company also supplies ingredients, packaging materials, and equipment to its extensive franchisee network. MIXUE Group was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Zhengzhou, China.

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MIXUE (2097 HK)

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[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 9/52] New Home Sales Also Turned Positive YoY

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China & HK Strategy: Which Stocks Will Thrive?

The stocks with a domestic focus, cash position, secure demand, consumption benefits, and high dividends are more insulated: Xinhua Winshare,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 9/52] New Home Sales Also Turned Positive YoY

​Latest week saw positive YoY growth in new home sales, LI prepares for major battle with BEV launch, MNSO guidance down for C4Q24 and likely to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: Holiday Spending Gives Chinese Consumption a Needed Boost

TOP STORIES Consumption / In Depth: Holiday spending gives Chinese consumption a needed boost The biggest highlight of the recent Lunar New Year...

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Latest week saw positive YoY growth in new home sales, LI prepares for major battle with BEV launch, MNSO guidance down for C4Q24 and likely to...