Director, Head of Research, Smartkarma

Pranav Rao

Director, Head of Research

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Welcome to Curator’s Cut, a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,200+ insights published over the past two weeks on Smartkarma</li>
<li>In this cut, we look through the <em>bubble </em>in Chinese tea company listings, the recent entertainment provided by Japanese M&amp;A situations and the varied ways analysts look at TSMC on Smartkarma</li>
<li>Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you think should be highlighted next time</li>
</ul>


Welcome to Curator’s Cut, a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,200+ insights published over the past two weeks on Smartkarma
In this cut, we look through the bubble in Chinese tea company listings, the recent entertainment provided by Japanese M&amp;A situations and the varied ways analysts look at TSMC on Smartkarma
Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you think should be highlighted next time


Curator's Cut: "Bubble" Tea, Japan M&A 🍿& TSMC from Different Lenses

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)

<ul>
<li>The SEHK recently issued an update in response to its consultation paper in December 2025, with new mechanisms proposed for the IPO in the future.</li>
<li>In this note, we summarize the conclusion by HKEx and the rules to be implemented.</li>
<li>We are of the view that overall, the changes will benefit ECM investors with greater certainty in allocations.</li>
</ul>


The SEHK recently issued an update in response to its consultation paper in December 2025, with new mechanisms proposed for the IPO in the future.
In this note, we summarize the conclusion by HKEx and the rules to be implemented.
We are of the view that overall, the changes will benefit ECM investors with greater certainty in allocations.


HKEx Consultation Paper (Conclusion) - What Matters for ECM Investors

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/auntea-jenny-shanghai-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40891:1" rel="noopener">Auntea Jenny (Shanghai) Industrial (2589 HK)</a>'s IPO price is set at HK$113.12, which is aggressive based on its financial and operational metrics. </li>
<li>At 29.3x FY25F PER, Auntea Jenny's multiple is close to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (2097 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings (1364 HK)</a>, but it is significantly smaller in scale and lower in profitability. </li>
<li>Our fair value of 25x PER and 5.3x P/B for FY25 means a share price of HK$94.70-96.68. Initial euphoria may inflate its debut, but we will exit on the rally.</li>
</ul>



Auntea Jenny (Shanghai) Industrial (2589 HK)'s IPO price is set at HK$113.12, which is aggressive based on its financial and operational metrics. 
At 29.3x FY25F PER, Auntea Jenny's multiple is close to Mixue Group (2097 HK) and Guming Holdings (1364 HK), but it is significantly smaller in scale and lower in profitability. 
Our fair value of 25x PER and 5.3x P/B for FY25 means a share price of HK$94.70-96.68. Initial euphoria may inflate its debut, but we will exit on the rally.


Auntea Jenny (2589 HK): What Is the Fair Value?

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (2097 HK)</a> is forecasted to be added to Global All-World at the September 2025 review with a low free float prior to the IPO lock-up expiry.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (2097 HK)</a> is expected to undergo a significant upweight at the December 2025 review following the 6-month lock-up expiry.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (2097 HK)</a> is forecasted to be added to Global Standard at the May <em>2026</em> review following the 12-month lock-up expiry.</li>
</ul>



Mixue Group (2097 HK) is forecasted to be added to Global All-World at the September 2025 review with a low free float prior to the IPO lock-up expiry.

Mixue Group (2097 HK) is expected to undergo a significant upweight at the December 2025 review following the 6-month lock-up expiry.

Mixue Group (2097 HK) is forecasted to be added to Global Standard at the May 2026 review following the 12-month lock-up expiry.


MIXUE (2097 HK): Chill but Powerful Global Index Inclusion

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Both the revenue growth rate and the store number growth rate accelerated in 2025.</li>
<li>We believe the new CEO was appointed to explore the overseas market.</li>
<li>We set an upside of 47% and a price target HK$500 for the next twelve months.</li>
</ul>


Both the revenue growth rate and the store number growth rate accelerated in 2025.
We believe the new CEO was appointed to explore the overseas market.
We set an upside of 47% and a price target HK$500 for the next twelve months.


Mixue (2097 HK): 2025, Store Number and Revenue Accelerating, New CEO for Overseas Market

China

MIXUE Group is a leading company specializing in the development, production, and franchise operation of freshly-made ice cream and tea beverages, including fruit drinks and coffee, under its Mixue and Lucky Cup brands. The company also supplies ingredients, packaging materials, and equipment to its extensive franchisee network. MIXUE Group was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Zhengzhou, China.

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MIXUE (2097 HK)

Curator's Cut: "Bubble" Tea, Japan M&A 🍿& TSMC from Different Lenses

Introducing the Curator's Cut fortnightly newsletter, featuring interesting themes from the Smartkarma network. Share your thoughts!

Pranav Rao

HKEx Consultation Paper (Conclusion) - What Matters for ECM Investors

SEHK updates IPO rules with new rules proposed. We looked at the rules to be implemented and concluded that it will benefit ECM investors in general.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Auntea Jenny (2589 HK): What Is the Fair Value?

Auntea Jenny's IPO price of HK$113.12 is aggressive based on financial and operational metrics. We arrive at a fair value estimate of HK$94.70...

Osbert Tang, CFA

MIXUE (2097 HK): Chill but Powerful Global Index Inclusion

MIXUE went public on 3 Mar 2025 and was added to Global All-World at the Mar26 review following its 6-month lock-up expiry which increased free...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Mixue (2097 HK): 2025, Store Number and Revenue Accelerating, New CEO for Overseas Market

Both the revenue growth rate and the store number growth rate accelerated in 2025. We believe the new CEO was appointed to explore the overseas...

Ming Lu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Curator's Cut: "Bubble" Tea, Japan M&A 🍿& TSMC from Different Lenses

​Introducing the Curator's Cut fortnightly newsletter, featuring interesting themes from the Smartkarma network. Share your thoughts!

Pranav Rao

HKEx Consultation Paper (Conclusion) - What Matters for ECM Investors

​SEHK updates IPO rules with new rules proposed. We looked at the rules to be implemented and concluded that it will benefit ECM investors in general.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Auntea Jenny (2589 HK): What Is the Fair Value?

​Auntea Jenny's IPO price of HK$113.12 is aggressive based on financial and operational metrics. We arrive at a fair value estimate of HK$94.70...

Osbert Tang, CFA

MIXUE (2097 HK): Chill but Powerful Global Index Inclusion

MIXUE went public on 3 Mar 2025 and was added to Global All-World at the Mar26 review following its 6-month lock-up expiry which increased free...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Mixue (2097 HK): 2025, Store Number and Revenue Accelerating, New CEO for Overseas Market

Both the revenue growth rate and the store number growth rate accelerated in 2025. We believe the new CEO was appointed to explore the overseas...

Ming Lu

Introducing the Curator's Cut fortnightly newsletter, featuring interesting themes from the Smartkarma network. Share your thoughts!

SEHK updates IPO rules with new rules proposed. We looked at the rules to be implemented and concluded that it will benefit ECM investors in general.

Auntea Jenny's IPO price of HK$113.12 is aggressive based on financial and operational metrics. We arrive at a fair value estimate of HK$94.70...