A Value Investing Journal, Acid Investments

Acid Investments

A Value Investing Journal

I love stonks and I love rambling. Sometimes, I feel it unfair to subject those around me with the inundation of my thoughts, so I tweet and I spill ink on here. Jokes aside, I love investing and edgy ideas; I hope to become a better investor and this is my journal to that end. I will be sharing value/special situations I come across organically or through other blogs/13F and I hope to provide a variant analytical view to said situations. I hope to receive constructive feedback and let’s grab some of dem benjamins together!

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Last week, I wrote a quick article flagging the seemingly absurd valuation discrepancy of Chagee vis-a-vis beverage peers on the HK stock exchange i.e. Mixue and Guming, as well as Luckin Coffee on the OTC markets.</li><li>Chagee currently trades around ~31 (doing extremely poorly on a good day), and at the bottom of its recent trading range; there is no analyst coverage and the firm has yet to report its Q1 25 results so it’s just really stuck in no-man’s land.</li><li>I postulated then that delisting risk was an overhang on Chagee, a Chinese ADR, but lo and behold, it appears that the market has shrugged off a large portion of it for the large cap Chinese tech companies.</li></ul>

Last week, I wrote a quick article flagging the seemingly absurd valuation discrepancy of Chagee vis-a-vis beverage peers on the HK stock exchange i.e. Mixue and Guming, as well as Luckin Coffee on the OTC markets.Chagee currently trades around ~31 (doing extremely poorly on a good day), and at the bottom of its recent trading range; there is no analyst coverage and the firm has yet to report its Q1 25 results so it’s just really stuck in no-man’s land.I postulated then that delisting risk was an overhang on Chagee, a Chinese ADR, but lo and behold, it appears that the market has shrugged off a large portion of it for the large cap Chinese tech companies.

Part 2: What Could Go Wrong at Chagee (CHA)

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>China-U.S. /: Chinese exporters move quickly after tariff rollback, but remain cautious</li><li>Whales /In Depth: The precarious fate of China’s only nearshore whales</li><li>Covid-19 /: New Covid wave in Hong Kong is causing severe infections in children</li></ul>

China-U.S. /: Chinese exporters move quickly after tariff rollback, but remain cautiousWhales /In Depth: The precarious fate of China’s only nearshore whalesCovid-19 /: New Covid wave in Hong Kong is causing severe infections in children

CX Daily: Chinese Exporters Move Quickly After Tariff Rollback, but Remain Cautious 

<ul><li>As Peter Lynch famously promulgated, one really fun thing about investing is noticing trends, “flowers” that are blooming around you, and finding ways to cash in on that “insight”, the caveat being you have to be right about the trend of course.</li><li>Fad cycles may or may not have legs - see Funko in US and PopMart in HK.</li><li>Not too long ago, I noticed PopMart replacing a local major bank outlet in a central shopping mall near to where I live and heedlessly dismissing it with a mere “wth is this?”, to my chagrin of course as the stock has gone parabolic ever since.</li></ul>

As Peter Lynch famously promulgated, one really fun thing about investing is noticing trends, “flowers” that are blooming around you, and finding ways to cash in on that “insight”, the caveat being you have to be right about the trend of course.Fad cycles may or may not have legs - see Funko in US and PopMart in HK.Not too long ago, I noticed PopMart replacing a local major bank outlet in a central shopping mall near to where I live and heedlessly dismissing it with a mere “wth is this?”, to my chagrin of course as the stock has gone parabolic ever since.

Flagging a Recent IPO - Chagee (CHA) - Orphaned Security Trading at a Large Spread to Peers

<ul><li>Consumption / In Depth: Holiday spending gives Chinese consumption a needed boost </li><li>E-commerce /In Depth: Trump ends an era for Shein and Temu</li><li>Alibaba /: Alibaba’s $53 billion bet on an AI and cloud expansion windfall</li></ul>

Consumption / In Depth: Holiday spending gives Chinese consumption a needed boost E-commerce /In Depth: Trump ends an era for Shein and TemuAlibaba /: Alibaba’s $53 billion bet on an AI and cloud expansion windfall

CX Daily: Holiday Spending Gives Chinese Consumption a Needed Boost 

<ul><li>Funds / In Depth: Venture Capital in China flounders as state takes over</li><li>Flights /Chinese airlines skirt southern Russia after Azerbaijan plane crash</li><li>PMI /China manufacturing slows as exports decline, Caixin PMI shows</li></ul>

Funds / In Depth: Venture Capital in China flounders as state takes overFlights /Chinese airlines skirt southern Russia after Azerbaijan plane crashPMI /China manufacturing slows as exports decline, Caixin PMI shows

CX Daily: Venture Capital in China Flounders as State Takes Over (Part 1) 

China

MIXUE Group operates freshly-made drinks stores. The Company provides freshly-made fruit drinks, tea drinks, ice cream, and coffee. MIXUE Group conducts businesses across worldwide.

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Mixue Group (2097 HK)

Part 2: What Could Go Wrong at Chagee (CHA)

Chagee currently trades around ~31 (doing extremely poorly on a good day), and at the bottom of its recent trading range; there is no analyst...

Acid Investments

CX Daily: Chinese Exporters Move Quickly After Tariff Rollback, but Remain Cautious

TOP STORIES China-U. S. / Chinese exporters move quickly after tariff rollback, but remain cautious Chinese exporters are cautiously resuming...

Caixin Global

Flagging a Recent IPO - Chagee (CHA) - Orphaned Security Trading at a Large Spread to Peers

As Peter Lynch famously promulgated, one really fun thing about investing is noticing trends, “flowers” that are blooming around you, and finding...

Acid Investments

CX Daily: Holiday Spending Gives Chinese Consumption a Needed Boost

TOP STORIES Consumption / In Depth: Holiday spending gives Chinese consumption a needed boost The biggest highlight of the recent Lunar New Year...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: Venture Capital in China Flounders as State Takes Over (Part 1)

Funds / In Depth: Venture Capital in China flounders as state takes over (Part 1) “Recently I feel like I've turned into the Minister of...

Caixin Global

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