Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The bank is starting to perform both absolutely and relative to both the Topix and the Megabanks</li>
<li>The core thesis is intact as  Net Interest Income improves from a changed asset mix </li>
<li>The move into digital currencies is groundbreaking for this institution</li>
</ul>


The bank is starting to perform both absolutely and relative to both the Topix and the Megabanks
The core thesis is intact as  Net Interest Income improves from a changed asset mix 
The move into digital currencies is groundbreaking for this institution


Japan Post Bank- Adding Some Sizzle with a Move into Digital Currencies!

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 29th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,417m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Ryohin Keikaku, Disco, Yoshinoya, Advantest, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Fast Retailing, Nintendo, Fujikura, Furukawa Electric, Ryohin Keikaku, Disco, Yoshinoya, Advantest.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 29th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,417m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Ryohin Keikaku, Disco, Yoshinoya, Advantest, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Fast Retailing, Nintendo, Fujikura, Furukawa Electric, Ryohin Keikaku, Disco, Yoshinoya, Advantest.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 29th): Ryohin Keikaku, Disco, Yoshinoya, Advantest

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Kyoto Financial Group  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Kyoto Financial has equity holdings relative to market cap of 135%, well above its larger cap Japanese peer banks, and amounting to a market value of over JPY1.1trillion</li>
<li>Management has stated that it is targeting JPY100bn+ of disposals in terms of market value by March 2029, but we believe that the market expected more</li>
<li>Sizeable disposals of equity holdings is Kyoto’s primary source of prospective shareholder value creation; aside from this, its fundamental attractions are limited and so we downgrade Kyoto to a neutral</li>
</ul>


Kyoto Financial has equity holdings relative to market cap of 135%, well above its larger cap Japanese peer banks, and amounting to a market value of over JPY1.1trillion
Management has stated that it is targeting JPY100bn+ of disposals in terms of market value by March 2029, but we believe that the market expected more
Sizeable disposals of equity holdings is Kyoto’s primary source of prospective shareholder value creation; aside from this, its fundamental attractions are limited and so we downgrade Kyoto to a neutral


Kyoto Financial Group (5844 JP): Disposals Plan for Equity Holdings Warrants More Ambitious Target

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A group of shareholders are looking to raise up to US$1.2bn via selling most of their stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daiichi-sankyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3014:1" rel="noopener">Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP)</a> .</li>
<li>While the deal shouldn’t come as a surprise, given the ongoing cross-shareholding unwind,  the last deal in the stock didn’t do well.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


A group of shareholders are looking to raise up to US$1.2bn via selling most of their stake in Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP) .
While the deal shouldn’t come as a surprise, given the ongoing cross-shareholding unwind,  the last deal in the stock didn’t do well.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Daiichi Sankyo Placement - US$1.2bn Deal but Momentum Isn’t the Best, Last Deal Didn’t Do Well

<ul>
<li>We update our proprietary scorecard and many of our charts based on the latest data; despite the recent lack of BoJ rate hikes, interest rate spreads are widening</li>
<li>The JGB yield curve has continued to steepen, which is constructive for Japanese banks; in addition, market lending rates to June continue to rise faster than deposit rates</li>
<li>We stick with our focus on two core attributes; gearing to higher interest rates and cross-holdings to market capitalization keeping Resona, Mizuho, Shizuoka and Kyoto on our list of buys</li>
</ul>


We update our proprietary scorecard and many of our charts based on the latest data; despite the recent lack of BoJ rate hikes, interest rate spreads are widening
The JGB yield curve has continued to steepen, which is constructive for Japanese banks; in addition, market lending rates to June continue to rise faster than deposit rates
We stick with our focus on two core attributes; gearing to higher interest rates and cross-holdings to market capitalization keeping Resona, Mizuho, Shizuoka and Kyoto on our list of buys


Japanese Big Cap Banks – Stick with Our Key Positive Picks

Japan

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. provides comprehensive financial services through its subsidiaries. The Group provides variety of financial services such as general banking, securities brokerage, trust banking, and assets management.

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Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)

Japan Post Bank- Adding Some Sizzle with a Move into Digital Currencies!

The bank is outperforming peers, with a move into longer duration JGBs raising domestic interest income while a groundbreaking move into digital...

Rikki Malik

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 29th): Ryohin Keikaku, Disco, Yoshinoya, Advantest

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP), Disco (6146 JP), Yoshinoya (9861 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Kyoto Financial Group (5844 JP): Disposals Plan for Equity Holdings Warrants More Ambitious Target

Kyoto's planned equity holdings disposals are key to shareholder value creation, but company targets may not meet market expectations, and its...

Victor Galliano

Daiichi Sankyo Placement - US$1.2bn Deal but Momentum Isn’t the Best, Last Deal Didn’t Do Well

A group of shareholders are looking to raise up to US$1.2bn via selling most of their stake in Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP) . In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Japanese Big Cap Banks – Stick with Our Key Positive Picks

Despite the recent lack of BoJ rate hikes, JGB yield curve steepening benefits Japanese banks, focus remains on gearing to higher rates and equity...

Victor Galliano

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Post Bank- Adding Some Sizzle with a Move into Digital Currencies!

​The bank is outperforming peers, with a move into longer duration JGBs raising domestic interest income while a groundbreaking move into digital...

Rikki Malik

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 29th): Ryohin Keikaku, Disco, Yoshinoya, Advantest

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP), Disco (6146 JP), Yoshinoya (9861 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Kyoto Financial Group (5844 JP): Disposals Plan for Equity Holdings Warrants More Ambitious Target

​Kyoto's planned equity holdings disposals are key to shareholder value creation, but company targets may not meet market expectations, and its...

Victor Galliano

Daiichi Sankyo Placement - US$1.2bn Deal but Momentum Isn’t the Best, Last Deal Didn’t Do Well

A group of shareholders are looking to raise up to US$1.2bn via selling most of their stake in Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP) . In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Japanese Big Cap Banks – Stick with Our Key Positive Picks

Despite the recent lack of BoJ rate hikes, JGB yield curve steepening benefits Japanese banks, focus remains on gearing to higher rates and equity...

Victor Galliano

The bank is outperforming peers, with a move into longer duration JGBs raising domestic interest income while a groundbreaking move into digital...

Kyoto's planned equity holdings disposals are key to shareholder value creation, but company targets may not meet market expectations, and its...