Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/freee-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28424:1" rel="noopener">Freee KK (4478 JP)</a> ’s 1QFY06/2024 results beat consensus estimates. Introduction of qualified invoicing system in October has resulted in strong corporate user growth for the company.</li>
<li>Upfront investment in selling and marketing has helped freee onboard a large no. of corporate clients prior to the introduction of the new invoice system.</li>
<li>Freee expects selling and advertising spending to decline going forward which should help the company reach break-even in FY06/2025E.</li>
</ul>



Freee KK (4478 JP) ’s 1QFY06/2024 results beat consensus estimates. Introduction of qualified invoicing system in October has resulted in strong corporate user growth for the company.
Upfront investment in selling and marketing has helped freee onboard a large no. of corporate clients prior to the introduction of the new invoice system.
Freee expects selling and advertising spending to decline going forward which should help the company reach break-even in FY06/2025E.


Freee 1Q: Earnings Beat; Qualified Invoice System to Further Drive Earnings

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Topix fell 2.3% due to Wall Street losses as Jerome Powell cited high inflation, and global stocks were pressured by surging bond yields.</li>
<li>Major Movers: Small-cap, high growth stocks got killed, especially on any slight earnings miss. Consumer staples, regional banks outperformed</li>
<li>Activist Watch: Investors lifting stakes in Rinnai (-3.4%), Topcon (+1.6%) and Kureha (+1%); Yaizu Suisan's outcome remains uncertain after a failed tender offer</li>
</ul>


Topix fell 2.3% due to Wall Street losses as Jerome Powell cited high inflation, and global stocks were pressured by surging bond yields.
Major Movers: Small-cap, high growth stocks got killed, especially on any slight earnings miss. Consumer staples, regional banks outperformed
Activist Watch: Investors lifting stakes in Rinnai (-3.4%), Topcon (+1.6%) and Kureha (+1%); Yaizu Suisan's outcome remains uncertain after a failed tender offer


Japan Weekly | Stocks Sink; Activists Lift Stakes in Rinnai, Topcon, Kureha

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a> raised around US$370m in its Japan IPO in Mar 2023. Its IPO linked lockup is set to expire on 24th Sep 2023.</li>
<li>SBI Sumishin Net Bank is a Japanese digital bank set up as a 50-50 joint venture between Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, Japan’s largest trust bank, and SBI Group.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) raised around US$370m in its Japan IPO in Mar 2023. Its IPO linked lockup is set to expire on 24th Sep 2023.
SBI Sumishin Net Bank is a Japanese digital bank set up as a 50-50 joint venture between Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, Japan’s largest trust bank, and SBI Group.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


SBI Sumishin Net Bank IPO Lock-Up - A US$1bn Lockup Release, Will Sell a Little at Some Point

<ul>
<li>Freee reported 4QFY06/23 results today. Revenue increased 39.6% YoY to ¥5.4bn (vs consensus ¥5.32bn) while operating losses increased to ¥3.0bn from ¥724m in 4QFY06/2022 (vs consensus ¥2.5bn).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/freee-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28424:1" rel="noopener">Freee KK (4478 JP)</a> ’s full-year revenues and operating losses were in line with the company’s guidance, and increased losses were due to investments related to growth and customer acquisition.</li>
<li>The company’s medium-term plan expects revenues of more than ¥50.0bn by FY06/2027E and operating profits by FY06/2025E which seems attainable to us.</li>
</ul>


Freee reported 4QFY06/23 results today. Revenue increased 39.6% YoY to ¥5.4bn (vs consensus ¥5.32bn) while operating losses increased to ¥3.0bn from ¥724m in 4QFY06/2022 (vs consensus ¥2.5bn).

Freee KK (4478 JP) ’s full-year revenues and operating losses were in line with the company’s guidance, and increased losses were due to investments related to growth and customer acquisition.
The company’s medium-term plan expects revenues of more than ¥50.0bn by FY06/2027E and operating profits by FY06/2025E which seems attainable to us.


Freee: Earnings in Line With Guidance; Medium-Term Plan Seems Attainable

Equity Capital Markets

Rakuten Securities / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-securities-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39933:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Securities (RAKUSEC JP)</a>, the online securities arm of Rakuten, aims to raise around US$500m (estimated) in its Japan listing.</li>
<li>It is the largest online securities firm in Japan with a 33.7% market share. In FY22, it had over 8.64m accounts, with around JPY18.2tn (US$131bn) of assets under custody.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Rakuten Securities (RAKUSEC JP), the online securities arm of Rakuten, aims to raise around US$500m (estimated) in its Japan listing.
It is the largest online securities firm in Japan with a 33.7% market share. In FY22, it had over 8.64m accounts, with around JPY18.2tn (US$131bn) of assets under custody.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Rakuten Securities IPO Early Look - The Positives - Has Been Gaining Market Share

Japan

Money Forward, Inc. develops mobile application software. The Company produces automatic household account book softwares, household account book application softwares, and other products. Money Forward also provides personal financial management, cloud based accounting solutions, and other services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Money Forward (3994 JP)

Freee 1Q: Earnings Beat; Qualified Invoice System to Further Drive Earnings

Freee's upfront investment in S&M has enabled to onboard a large no. of corporate clients prior to the introduction of the new invoice system....

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Japan Weekly | Stocks Sink; Activists Lift Stakes in Rinnai, Topcon, Kureha

Wall Street losses and concerns over inflation led to a 2.3% drop in Topix, while small-cap stocks suffered. Activist investors increased their...

Mark Chadwick

SBI Sumishin Net Bank IPO Lock-Up - A US$1bn Lockup Release, Will Sell a Little at Some Point

SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) raised around US$370m in its Japan IPO in Mar 2023. Its IPO linked lockup is set to expire on 24th Sep 2023.

Sumeet Singh

Freee: Earnings in Line With Guidance; Medium-Term Plan Seems Attainable

As guided, freee's operating losses have widened during the quarter. Corporate paying users have grown significantly and Mid-term plan aims for...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Freee 1Q: Earnings Beat; Qualified Invoice System to Further Drive Earnings

Freee's upfront investment in S&M has enabled to onboard a large no. of corporate clients prior to the introduction of the new invoice system....

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Japan Weekly | Stocks Sink; Activists Lift Stakes in Rinnai, Topcon, Kureha

​Wall Street losses and concerns over inflation led to a 2.3% drop in Topix, while small-cap stocks suffered. Activist investors increased their...

Mark Chadwick

SBI Sumishin Net Bank IPO Lock-Up - A US$1bn Lockup Release, Will Sell a Little at Some Point

SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) raised around US$370m in its Japan IPO in Mar 2023. Its IPO linked lockup is set to expire on 24th Sep 2023.

Sumeet Singh

Freee: Earnings in Line With Guidance; Medium-Term Plan Seems Attainable

As guided, freee's operating losses have widened during the quarter. Corporate paying users have grown significantly and Mid-term plan aims for...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Rakuten Securities IPO Early Look - The Positives - Has Been Gaining Market Share

Rakuten Securities, the online securities arm of Rakuten, aims to raise around US$500m (estimated) in its Japan listing.

Sumeet Singh

Wall Street losses and concerns over inflation led to a 2.3% drop in Topix, while small-cap stocks suffered. Activist investors increased their...