Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Continuous weaknesses to be seen in industrial and general non-AI server semi demand starting 3Q23 and lasting into 1Q24 and some weaknesses in digital consumer semi demand starting 4Q23.</li>
<li>Memory semiconductor vendors see strengths in 4Q23 and continuous improvement in DRAM/NAND price in 1Q24.</li>
<li>We see a healthy mid single digit q/q and y/y decline on 4Q23 MOI but suggest vendors to avoid in next 1-2 months before they guide down the market.</li>
</ul>


Continuous weaknesses to be seen in industrial and general non-AI server semi demand starting 3Q23 and lasting into 1Q24 and some weaknesses in digital consumer semi demand starting 4Q23.
Memory semiconductor vendors see strengths in 4Q23 and continuous improvement in DRAM/NAND price in 1Q24.
We see a healthy mid single digit q/q and y/y decline on 4Q23 MOI but suggest vendors to avoid in next 1-2 months before they guide down the market.


First Run of Tech/Semis' Guidance Tells Us What Industries and Companies to Avoid

<ul>
<li>With a strong 20A/18A team, Intel might take some CPU shares back from AMD to affect TSMC but reduce geopolitical tensions from the US after Intel returning to the best. </li>
<li>SMIC can use DUV to do 3nm but different from others' because Moore's law is no longer using circuit line width but to use performance, power, density to determine 3nm. </li>
<li>New fabless industry opportunities are emerging in middle east countries, and south east Asia countries like Vietnam. Despite high cost issues, global expansion will help TSMC to attract global talents. </li>
</ul>


With a strong 20A/18A team, Intel might take some CPU shares back from AMD to affect TSMC but reduce geopolitical tensions from the US after Intel returning to the best. 
SMIC can use DUV to do 3nm but different from others' because Moore's law is no longer using circuit line width but to use performance, power, density to determine 3nm. 
New fabless industry opportunities are emerging in middle east countries, and south east Asia countries like Vietnam. Despite high cost issues, global expansion will help TSMC to attract global talents. 


A R&D Director Dr. Young Was at TSMC, SMIC, and Intel Foundry Shared Views on 3-1nm Competitions

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>As recently reported by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/brian-freitas" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:4091" rel="noopener">Brian Freitas</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nan-ya-printed-circuit-board-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2699:1" rel="noopener">Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board (8046 TT)</a> is one of the primary candidates to be added to the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF.</li>
<li>The stock has been identified by several analysts as a leading dark horse for inclusion in the ETF's constituent reshuffle.</li>
<li>This insight evaluates the stock's current price for investors who want to position ahead of the potential rally driven by the upcoming inclusion in the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF.</li>
</ul>


As recently reported by Brian Freitas , Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board (8046 TT) is one of the primary candidates to be added to the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF.
The stock has been identified by several analysts as a leading dark horse for inclusion in the ETF's constituent reshuffle.
This insight evaluates the stock's current price for investors who want to position ahead of the potential rally driven by the upcoming inclusion in the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF.


Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board (8046 TT) Tactical Outlook Ahead of Potential Inclusion in Top 50 ETF

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 8th. The aggregated holding was USD2,409.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD6,235mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Wiwynn, MediaTek, TSMC, Unimicron Technology, Zhen Ding Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 8th. The aggregated holding was USD2,409.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD6,235mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Wiwynn, MediaTek, TSMC, Unimicron Technology, Zhen Ding Technology.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 8th): Wiwynn, MediaTek, TSMC, Unimicron Technology

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 9th. The aggregated short interest was USD41.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, UMC, Zhen Ding Technology, Winbond Electronics, MediaTek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 9th. The aggregated short interest was USD41.5bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, UMC, Zhen Ding Technology, Winbond Electronics, MediaTek.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Oct 9th): Shin Kong Financial, UMC, Zhen Ding Technology, MediaTek

Taiwan

Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board Corporation manufactures and markets printed circuit boards (PCBs) and integrated circuit (IC) substrates.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board (8046 TT)

First Run of Tech/Semis' Guidance Tells Us What Industries and Companies to Avoid

First Run of Tech/Semis' Guidance Tells Us What Industries and Companies to Avoid; Weaknesses to be seen in industrial, general non-AI server semi,...

Andrew Lu

A R&D Director Dr. Young Was at TSMC, SMIC, and Intel Foundry Shared Views on 3-1nm Competitions

A R&D Director Dr. Young Was at TSMC, SMIC, and Intel Foundry Shared Views on 3-1nm Competitions. Intel might ramp up its 20A/18A ahead of TSMC 2nm...

Andrew Lu