Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Macronix International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>While DRAM has led the memory cycle, Macronix has budgeted NT$15.8bn for advanced capacity, roughly 8x its last four quarters of capex combined, on NOR and NAND strength.</li>
<li>Second quarter revenue grew 181% with gross margin at 64.4%, earned off a written down fab that is now full. NAND supplied close to 60% of the increase.</li>
<li>New capacity could carry real depreciation into a cost base that has almost none, and most tools are ds after this shortage.</li>
</ul>


While DRAM has led the memory cycle, Macronix has budgeted NT$15.8bn for advanced capacity, roughly 8x its last four quarters of capex combined, on NOR and NAND strength.
Second quarter revenue grew 181% with gross margin at 64.4%, earned off a written down fab that is now full. NAND supplied close to 60% of the increase.
New capacity could carry real depreciation into a cost base that has almost none, and most tools are ds after this shortage.


TechChain Insights Q&A: Memory Maker Macronix Will Increase Capex by 8x on Non-DRAM Strength

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Q124 DRAM revenue $18.2 billion, up 6% QoQ and up 88% YoY. NAND revenue $14.1 billion, up 23.4% QoQ and 68.8% YoY</li>
<li>ASP increases, HBM, NAND for enterprise SSD and looming shortages for legacy products are all mounting tailwinds for the beleaguered memory segment</li>
<li>First quarter ASP increases for DRAM &amp; NAND for Micron, SK Hynix &amp; Samsung were almost identical. That's quite a coincidence..</li>
</ul>


Q124 DRAM revenue $18.2 billion, up 6% QoQ and up 88% YoY. NAND revenue $14.1 billion, up 23.4% QoQ and 68.8% YoY
ASP increases, HBM, NAND for enterprise SSD and looming shortages for legacy products are all mounting tailwinds for the beleaguered memory segment
First quarter ASP increases for DRAM &amp; NAND for Micron, SK Hynix &amp; Samsung were almost identical. That's quite a coincidence..


Semiconductor Memory. Profits Return & Tailwinds Mount On Surging (& Very Similar) ASP Increases

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cxmt-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44129:1" rel="noopener">CXMT Corporation (688825 CH)</a> beats its prospectus forecast in 1H26 earnings, posting net profit of Rmb77.6bn. In 2Q26, it made Rmb52.8bn. </li>
<li>Demand outlook will stay encouraging in 2H26, and the market consensus appears conservative now. This means upside potential for earnings forecasts.</li>
<li>While at 22x FY26 PER, CXMT looks expensive, its high 3-year EPS CAGR justifies it. Moreover, its 0.05x PEG is below the sector average.  </li>
</ul>



CXMT Corporation (688825 CH) beats its prospectus forecast in 1H26 earnings, posting net profit of Rmb77.6bn. In 2Q26, it made Rmb52.8bn. 
Demand outlook will stay encouraging in 2H26, and the market consensus appears conservative now. This means upside potential for earnings forecasts.
While at 22x FY26 PER, CXMT looks expensive, its high 3-year EPS CAGR justifies it. Moreover, its 0.05x PEG is below the sector average.  


CXMT Corporation (688825 CH): Blown Through the Roof

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 28th. The aggregated holding was USD2,277.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,814mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, E.SUN Financial, Nanya Technology, Unimicron Technology, MediaTek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 28th. The aggregated holding was USD2,277.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,814mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, E.SUN Financial, Nanya Technology, Unimicron Technology, MediaTek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 28th): TSMC, E.SUN Financial, Nanya Technology, MediaTek

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 28th. The aggregated short interest was USD43.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Jentech Precision Industrial, Winbond Electronics, Evergreen Marine, FOSITEK.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 28th. The aggregated short interest was USD43.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Jentech Precision Industrial, Winbond Electronics, Evergreen Marine, FOSITEK.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 28th): Shin Kong Financial, Jentech Precision Industrial, FOSITEK

Taiwan

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

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Nanya Technology (2408 TT)

TechChain Insights Q&A: Memory Maker Macronix Will Increase Capex by 8x on Non-DRAM Strength

While DRAM has led the memory cycle, Macronix has budgeted NT$15.8bn for advanced capacity, roughly 8x its last four quarters of capex combined, on...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Semiconductor Memory. Profits Return & Tailwinds Mount On Surging (& Very Similar) ASP Increases

Q124 DRAM revenue $18.2 billion, up 6% QoQ and up 88% YoY. NAND revenue $14.1 billion, up 23.4% QoQ and 68.8% YoY. Q124 ASP increases for Micron,...

William Keating

CXMT Corporation (688825 CH): Blown Through the Roof

CXMT's 1H26 results beat its prospectus forecast significantly, with stronger revenue growth and margin expansion. Its 3-year PEG is below sector...

Osbert Tang, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 28th): TSMC, E.SUN Financial, Nanya Technology, MediaTek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, E.SUN Financial, Nanya Technology,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 28th): Shin Kong Financial, Jentech Precision Industrial, FOSITEK

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Jentech Precision...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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